Fasil Ketema vs Arba Minch Kenema Prediction

22/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
65%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.44
SignalSOLIDModel10%SurpriseHighGap-4.3%
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.66
SignalSOLIDModel9%SurpriseHighGap+8.8%
Fasil Ketema Rest
6 days
Arba Minch Kenema Rest
7 days

Fasil Ketema vs Arba Minch Kenema: the result in context

Fasil Ketema beat Arba Minch Kenema 2-0 in the Premier League on 22 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 7 previous meetings produced 2.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
35%2.45
X
31%2.62
2
34%3.14
Double Chance
1X
66%1.26
X2
65%1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%2.38
No
56%1.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.66
Over 2.5
37%3.00
Over 3.5
18%6.20
Under 1.5
37%2.07
Under 2.5
63%1.30
Under 3.5
82%1.06
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

25'T. Eyasu
80'T. Eyasu

Team Comparison

Fasil KetemaFasil Ketema
Arba Minch KenemaArba Minch Kenema
1496Elo Rating 1451
0.39Attack 0.88
2.36Defense 1.70
17%Hit Rate 31%
-Shots per Game 8.4
-Shots on Target 2.8
-Corners per Game 1.1
-Cards per Game 1.9

Game State Tendencies

Fasil KetemaFasil Ketema
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.4 vs 0 in first half)
Arba Minch KenemaArba Minch Kenema
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.6 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

Fasil KetemaFasil Ketema2Wins · 29%
Draws343%
Arba Minch KenemaArba Minch Kenema2Wins · 28%
2.0Avg Goals
57%Both teams scored4 of 7
14%3+ goals1 of 7

Previous meetings

Premier League25/01/2026
Arba Minch KenemaFasil Ketema
23
Premier League01/03/2025
Arba Minch KenemaFasil Ketema
10
Premier League29/10/2024
Fasil KetemaArba Minch Kenema
01
Premier League08/05/2023
Fasil KetemaArba Minch Kenema
11
Premier League19/11/2022
Arba Minch KenemaFasil Ketema
11
Premier League26/04/2022
Arba Minch KenemaFasil Ketema
01
Premier League27/11/2021
Fasil KetemaArba Minch Kenema
11

Recent Form

Fasil KetemaFasil Ketema
4W1D5L
15/06/2026
Hadiya HosaenaFasil Ketema
01
W
29/05/2026
Fasil KetemaSheger Ketema
01
L
20/05/2026
Ethiopia BunnaFasil Ketema
21
L
16/05/2026
Fasil KetemaAdama Kenema
31
W
10/05/2026
Mebrat HaylFasil Ketema
31
L
06/05/2026
Fasil KetemaBahardar
02
L
30/04/2026
Negelle ArsiFasil Ketema
00
D
18/04/2026
Fasil KetemaMekelle Kenema
03
L
14/04/2026
Welayta DichaFasil Ketema
01
W
09/04/2026
Fasil KetemaAwassa Kenema
10
W
Arba Minch KenemaArba Minch Kenema
3W4D3L
15/06/2026
Arba Minch KenemaSuhul Shire
20
W
28/05/2026
MekelakeyaArba Minch Kenema
12
W
21/05/2026
Arba Minch KenemaSidama Bunna
03
L
16/05/2026
Awassa KenemaArba Minch Kenema
00
D
10/05/2026
Arba Minch KenemaWelayta Dicha
23
L
05/05/2026
Mekelle KenemaArba Minch Kenema
02
W
30/04/2026
Arba Minch KenemaEthiopia Nigd Bank
00
D
19/04/2026
Ethiopia BunnaArba Minch Kenema
11
D
13/04/2026
Arba Minch KenemaKedus Giorgis
22
D
09/04/2026
Arba Minch KenemaHadiya Hosaena
01
L

League Table

Premier League 2025
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Sidama BunnaSidama Bunna381911843:23+2068LWDWW
2Negelle ArsiNegelle Arsi381515837:30+760LWDWD
3MekelakeyaMekelakeya381415944:31+1357DLWLL
4Fasil KetemaFasil Ketema3814131128:28055WLWWL
5Mebrat HaylMebrat Hayl3813151032:26+654WDWDL
6Kedus GiorgisKedus Giorgis3814121233:31+254DWDWW
7Welayta DichaWelayta Dicha381118937:31+651DWLWD
8Ethiopia BunnaEthiopia Bunna3813121340:39+151DWDLL
9Awassa KenemaAwassa Kenema3812141237:32+550LDDLW
10Sheger KetemaSheger Ketema3811171034:31+350WWLDW
11BahardarBahardar38921828:28048DLDLD
12Hadiya HosaenaHadiya Hosaena3811151231:35-448DDWLD
13Ethiopia Nigd BankEthiopia Nigd Bank3811141345:45047DLDLW
14Ethiopian MedhinEthiopian Medhin3810161230:31-146LLLWD
15Adama KenemaAdama Kenema3810161235:39-446WLDWL
16Welwalo Adigrat UniWelwalo Adigrat Uni3810161232:36-446DWLDD
17Suhul ShireSuhul Shire389151424:32-842LWDLD
18Dire Dawa KenemaDire Dawa Kenema389151427:41-1442WDWLL
19Mekelle KenemaMekelle Kenema388161426:38-1240WLDDD
20Arba Minch KenemaArba Minch Kenema387141730:46-1635LLLWW
#TeamMPGPts
1Sidama BunnaSidama Bunna3843:2368
2Negelle ArsiNegelle Arsi3837:3060
3MekelakeyaMekelakeya3844:3157
4Fasil KetemaFasil Ketema3828:2855
5Mebrat HaylMebrat Hayl3832:2654
6Kedus GiorgisKedus Giorgis3833:3154
7Welayta DichaWelayta Dicha3837:3151
8Ethiopia BunnaEthiopia Bunna3840:3951
9Awassa KenemaAwassa Kenema3837:3250
10Sheger KetemaSheger Ketema3834:3150
11BahardarBahardar3828:2848
12Hadiya HosaenaHadiya Hosaena3831:3548
13Ethiopia Nigd BankEthiopia Nigd Bank3845:4547
14Ethiopian MedhinEthiopian Medhin3830:3146
15Adama KenemaAdama Kenema3835:3946
16Welwalo Adigrat UniWelwalo Adigrat Uni3832:3646
17Suhul ShireSuhul Shire3824:3242
18Dire Dawa KenemaDire Dawa Kenema3827:4142
19Mekelle KenemaMekelle Kenema3826:3840
20Arba Minch KenemaArba Minch Kenema3830:4635
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About the Fasil Ketema vs Arba Minch Kenema forecast

The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Fasil Ketema and Arba Minch Kenema in the Premier League table

The table shows a wide gap: Fasil Ketema are 4th in the Premier League, while Arba Minch Kenema sit 20th, 20 points behind. League goal record so far: Fasil Ketema 28-28, Arba Minch Kenema 30-46. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2025 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Arba Minch Kenema have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.