Kedus Giorgis vs Fasil Ketema Prediction

Kedus Giorgis
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Fasil Ketema
26/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.67
SignalSOLIDModel11%SurpriseHighGap+9.1%
Kedus Giorgis Rest
4 days
Fasil Ketema Rest
4 days

Kedus Giorgis vs Fasil Ketema: the result in context

Kedus Giorgis beat Fasil Ketema 1-0 in the Premier League on 26 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Fasil Ketema have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.1 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
39%2.22
X
29%2.65
2
32%3.55
Double Chance
1X
68%1.22
X2
61%1.53
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%2.45
No
56%1.45
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.67
Over 2.5
38%3.07
Over 3.5
18%6.75
Under 1.5
37%2.00
Under 2.5
62%1.30
Under 3.5
82%1.05
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

24'T. Fitsumi

Team Comparison

Kedus GiorgisKedus Giorgis
Fasil KetemaFasil Ketema
1509Elo Rating 1496
1.00Attack 0.39
1.91Defense 2.36
14%Hit Rate 17%
2.0Shots per Game -
1.0Shots on Target -
0.0Corners per Game -
2.0Cards per Game -

Game State Tendencies

Kedus GiorgisKedus Giorgis
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Fasil KetemaFasil Ketema
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.4 vs 0 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Kedus GiorgisKedus Giorgis4Wins · 40%
Draws00%
Fasil KetemaFasil Ketema6Wins · 60%
2.1Avg Goals
20%Both teams scored2 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Premier League01/02/2026
Fasil KetemaKedus Giorgis
10
Premier League07/04/2025
Fasil KetemaKedus Giorgis
21
Premier League22/09/2024
Kedus GiorgisFasil Ketema
12
Premier League04/07/2024
Kedus GiorgisFasil Ketema
40
Premier League18/01/2024
Fasil KetemaKedus Giorgis
01
Premier League22/04/2023
Kedus GiorgisFasil Ketema
10
Premier League06/11/2022
Fasil KetemaKedus Giorgis
20
Premier League22/05/2022
Fasil KetemaKedus Giorgis
10
Premier League29/01/2022
Kedus GiorgisFasil Ketema
40
Premier League28/02/2021
Fasil KetemaKedus Giorgis
10

Recent Form

Kedus GiorgisKedus Giorgis
5W3D2L
22/06/2026
Suhul ShireKedus Giorgis
00
D
14/06/2026
Kedus GiorgisMekelakeya
30
W
28/05/2026
Dire Dawa KenemaKedus Giorgis
12
W
20/05/2026
Kedus GiorgisAwassa Kenema
10
W
14/05/2026
Welayta DichaKedus Giorgis
00
D
09/05/2026
Kedus GiorgisMekelle Kenema
10
W
05/05/2026
Ethiopia Nigd BankKedus Giorgis
20
L
01/05/2026
Kedus GiorgisSidama Bunna
00
D
26/04/2026
Kedus GiorgisEthiopia Bunna
13
L
21/04/2026
Kedus GiorgisAdama Kenema
10
W
Fasil KetemaFasil Ketema
4W1D5L
22/06/2026
Fasil KetemaArba Minch Kenema
20
W
15/06/2026
Hadiya HosaenaFasil Ketema
01
W
29/05/2026
Fasil KetemaSheger Ketema
01
L
20/05/2026
Ethiopia BunnaFasil Ketema
21
L
16/05/2026
Fasil KetemaAdama Kenema
31
W
10/05/2026
Mebrat HaylFasil Ketema
31
L
06/05/2026
Fasil KetemaBahardar
02
L
30/04/2026
Negelle ArsiFasil Ketema
00
D
18/04/2026
Fasil KetemaMekelle Kenema
03
L
14/04/2026
Welayta DichaFasil Ketema
01
W

League Table

Premier League 2025
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Sidama BunnaSidama Bunna381911843:23+2068LWDWW
2Negelle ArsiNegelle Arsi381515837:30+760LWDWD
3MekelakeyaMekelakeya381415944:31+1357DLWLL
4Fasil KetemaFasil Ketema3814131128:28055WLWWL
5Mebrat HaylMebrat Hayl3813151032:26+654WDWDL
6Kedus GiorgisKedus Giorgis3814121233:31+254DWDWW
7Welayta DichaWelayta Dicha381118937:31+651DWLWD
8Ethiopia BunnaEthiopia Bunna3813121340:39+151DWDLL
9Awassa KenemaAwassa Kenema3812141237:32+550LDDLW
10Sheger KetemaSheger Ketema3811171034:31+350WWLDW
11BahardarBahardar38921828:28048DLDLD
12Hadiya HosaenaHadiya Hosaena3811151231:35-448DDWLD
13Ethiopia Nigd BankEthiopia Nigd Bank3811141345:45047DLDLW
14Ethiopian MedhinEthiopian Medhin3810161230:31-146LLLWD
15Adama KenemaAdama Kenema3810161235:39-446WLDWL
16Welwalo Adigrat UniWelwalo Adigrat Uni3810161232:36-446DWLDD
17Suhul ShireSuhul Shire389151424:32-842LWDLD
18Dire Dawa KenemaDire Dawa Kenema389151427:41-1442WDWLL
19Mekelle KenemaMekelle Kenema388161426:38-1240WLDDD
20Arba Minch KenemaArba Minch Kenema387141730:46-1635LLLWW
#TeamMPGPts
1Sidama BunnaSidama Bunna3843:2368
2Negelle ArsiNegelle Arsi3837:3060
3MekelakeyaMekelakeya3844:3157
4Fasil KetemaFasil Ketema3828:2855
5Mebrat HaylMebrat Hayl3832:2654
6Kedus GiorgisKedus Giorgis3833:3154
7Welayta DichaWelayta Dicha3837:3151
8Ethiopia BunnaEthiopia Bunna3840:3951
9Awassa KenemaAwassa Kenema3837:3250
10Sheger KetemaSheger Ketema3834:3150
11BahardarBahardar3828:2848
12Hadiya HosaenaHadiya Hosaena3831:3548
13Ethiopia Nigd BankEthiopia Nigd Bank3845:4547
14Ethiopian MedhinEthiopian Medhin3830:3146
15Adama KenemaAdama Kenema3835:3946
16Welwalo Adigrat UniWelwalo Adigrat Uni3832:3646
17Suhul ShireSuhul Shire3824:3242
18Dire Dawa KenemaDire Dawa Kenema3827:4142
19Mekelle KenemaMekelle Kenema3826:3840
20Arba Minch KenemaArba Minch Kenema3830:4635
Champions LeaguePromotionRelegation

About the Kedus Giorgis vs Fasil Ketema forecast

The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Kedus Giorgis and Fasil Ketema in the Premier League table

Fasil Ketema and Kedus Giorgis are close in the Premier League table, 4th and 6th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Kedus Giorgis 33-31, Fasil Ketema 28-28. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2025 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.