FBC Melgar vs Sporting Cristal Prediction
Peru · Clausura - 2
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.40
SignalHIGHModel47%SurpriseHighGap+7.4%
Value Analysis
80%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.40
SignalSTRONGModel40%SurpriseHighGap+14.7%
FBC Melgar Rest
8 days
Sporting Cristal Rest
3 days
FBC Melgar vs Sporting Cristal: result, form and history
FBC Melgar beat Sporting Cristal 2-1 in the Primera División on 26 Jul 2026. That went against recent form: Sporting Cristal had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for FBC Melgar.
FBC Melgar have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 1.8 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
145%1.69
X35%3.80
220%4.57
Double Chance
1X80%1.17
X255%2.10
Both Teams to Score
Yes52%1.66
No48%2.08
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.35 + 0.92 = 2.27
Over 1.572%1.20
Over 2.539%1.69
Over 3.521%2.69
Under 1.528%3.98
Under 2.561%2.08
Under 3.579%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.1 + 4.3 = 8.4
Over 8.546%1.39
Over 9.533%1.69
Over 10.529%2.08
Under 8.554%2.66
Under 9.567%2.02
Under 10.571%1.65
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.8 = 5.1
Over 3.572%-
Over 4.554%-
Under 3.528%-
Under 4.546%-
Match Events
28'N. Quagliata
29'K. MindaFoul
39'C. CabellosDiving
46'C. Cabellos INI. Wisdom out
46'L. Iberico INS. Gonzalez out
46'J. Gonzalez INR. Lutiger out
61'R. LutigerUnsportsmanlike conduct
62'J. Vidales(Penalty)
65'M. Hoyos INI. Avila out
65'M. Tavara INH. Barcos out
72'C. Bordacahar INJ. Caceres out
76'I. AvilaAssist: M. Castro
77'J. Vidales INM. Zegarra out
87'N. Quagliata INJ. D'Arrigo out
87'N. Cabanillas INM. Portillo out
89'Y. YotunUnsportsmanlike conduct
Lineups
FBC MelgarSporting Cristal
4-3-3Coach: Roberto MosqueraAvg ratingAvg rating
21J. Cabezudo
33M. Lazo
23J. Escobar
3L. González
27N. Cabanillas
24W. Tandazo
25K. Minda
7C. Bordacahar
10N. Quagliata
11J. Vidales
C9B. Cuesta
1D. Enríquez
18J. Cruz Gonzalez
20M. Araujo
96L. Abram
90Cristiano
21C. Cabellos
25M. Távara
C19Y. Yotún
23M. Castro
22M. Hoyos
16L. IbericoFBC Melgar Substitutes
16Jefferson Caceres72'for C. Bordacahar
45Matías Zegarra77'for J. Vidales
80Jhamir D'Arrigo87'for N. Quagliata
26Marcos Portillo87'for N. Cabanillas
12Carlos Cáceda
5Alec Deneumostier
90Jesus Alcantar
77Franco Zanelatto
8Lautaro Guzmán
Sporting Cristal Substitutes
5Rafael Lutiger46'for J. Gonzalez61'
26Ian Wisdom46'for C. Cabellos
7Santiago González46'for L. Iberico
11Irven Ávila65'for M. Hoyos76'
29Hernán Barcos65'for M. Tavara
33César Bautista
32Leonardo Díaz
2Duham Ballumbrosio
27Gabriel Santana
Match Stats
FBC MelgarSporting Cristal 56%Ball Possession44%
5Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards3
29Total Shots11
8Shots on Goal4
12Shots off Goal4
18Shots Inside Box5
11Shots Outside Box6
9Blocked Shots3
6Fouls12
3Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves6
543Total Passes419
466Passes Accurate342
86%Pass Accuracy82%
Team Comparison
FBC MelgarSporting Cristal1665Elo Rating 1689
1.56Attack 3.03
1.42Defense 1.63
36%Hit Rate 81%
12.9Shots per Game 17.1
4.7Shots on Target 5.4
4.5Corners per Game 6.1
2.6Cards per Game 1.9
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend30% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified
📊Away Overperforming
⚠️Away Rotation Risk90%
Game State Tendencies
FBC Melgar- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Sporting Cristal- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (2.3 vs 0.8 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
FBC Melgar6Wins · 60%Draws110%
Sporting Cristal3Wins · 30%
3Wins · 30%1.8Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
20%3+ goals2 of 10
Previous meetings
08/02/2026Sporting CristalFBC Melgar12
10/08/2025Sporting CristalFBC Melgar10
09/03/2025FBC MelgarSporting Cristal10
22/08/2024FBC MelgarSporting Cristal20
14/03/2024Sporting CristalFBC Melgar12
23/07/2023FBC MelgarSporting Cristal11
17/02/2023Sporting CristalFBC Melgar10
06/11/2022Sporting CristalFBC Melgar02
02/11/2022FBC MelgarSporting Cristal20
17/07/2022FBC MelgarSporting Cristal01
Recent Form
FBC Melgar4W4D2L
18/07/2026
CiencianoFBC MelgarFBC Melgar
UCV Moquegua
CiencianoFBC Melgar13
W29/06/2026FBC MelgarUCV Moquegua00
D18/06/2026
LDU de QuitoFBC Melgar
LDU de QuitoFBC Melgar00
D12/06/2026
Tacna HeroicaFBC Melgar
Tacna HeroicaFBC Melgar32
L31/05/2026FBC Melgar
Alianza Atletico
FBC MelgarAlianza Atletico31
W22/05/2026
Juan Pablo II CollegeFBC Melgar
Juan Pablo II CollegeFBC Melgar11
D16/05/2026FBC Melgar
Sport Huancayo
FBC MelgarSport Huancayo41
W10/05/2026
Comerciantes UnidosFBC Melgar
Comerciantes UnidosFBC Melgar11
D04/05/2026FBC Melgar
UTC Cajamarca
FBC MelgarUTC Cajamarca20
W28/04/2026
Deportivo GarcilasoFBC Melgar
Deportivo GarcilasoFBC Melgar10
LSporting Cristal5W2D3L
23/07/2026Sporting Cristal
RB BragantinoSporting CristalDeportivo Garcilaso
Sporting CristalRB Bragantino00
D17/07/2026Sporting CristalDeportivo Garcilaso10
W11/07/2026Sporting Cristal
Bentín Tacna Heroica
Sporting CristalBentín Tacna Heroica4131
W27/06/2026Sporting Cristal
Union Comercio
Sporting CristalUnion Comercio20
W21/06/2026
Estudiantil CNISporting Cristal
Estudiantil CNISporting Cristal12
W13/06/2026
ComerciantesSporting Cristal
ComerciantesSporting Cristal11
D01/06/2026CiencianoSporting Cristal
CiencianoSporting Cristal32
L29/05/2026
Cerro PortenoSporting Cristal
Cerro PortenoSporting Cristal20
L24/05/2026Sporting Cristal
ADT
Sporting CristalADT21
W21/05/2026
JuniorSporting Cristal
JuniorSporting Cristal32
LReferee Profile
5.56Cards per match
5.09Yellow cards per match
0.47Red cards per match
26.1Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.56 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.39).
Cards come from 127 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Primera Division: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alianza Lima | 33 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 54:24 | +30 | 69 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Universitario | 33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 59:39 | +20 | 61 | DLDWL |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 56:38 | +18 | 57 | DWDWL |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 50:35 | +15 | 55 | DWWWW |
| 5 | Sporting Cristal | 33 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 63:48 | +15 | 51 | WLDDL |
| 6 |  Cusco | 33 | 16 | 3 | 14 | 46:47 | -1 | 51 | WLDDW |
| 7 | Cienciano | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 54:46 | +8 | 50 | DLWWD |
| 8 | Sport Huancayo | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 48:49 | -1 | 50 | DLWLL |
| 9 | Alianza Atletico | 33 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 49:48 | +1 | 49 | DWLWW |
| 10 |  Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 40:52 | -12 | 48 | LWDLL |
| 11 |  Sport Boys | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 37:35 | +2 | 42 | DWDLD |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 48:59 | -11 | 41 | DLLLD |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 33 | 8 | 13 | 12 | 44:47 | -3 | 37 | DLDLW |
| 14 |  Atletico Grau | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 32:41 | -9 | 37 | LWLLL |
| 15 | ADT | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36:48 | -12 | 31 | LWDWW |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 27:48 | -21 | 30 | DLDLW |
| 17 |  FC Cajamarca | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 46:65 | -19 | 29 | DWWWL |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 33 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 38:58 | -20 | 14 | DLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 33 | 54:24 | 69 |
| 2 | Universitario | 33 | 59:39 | 61 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 33 | 56:38 | 57 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 33 | 50:35 | 55 |
| 5 | Sporting Cristal | 33 | 63:48 | 51 |
| 6 | Cusco | 33 | 46:47 | 51 |
| 7 | Cienciano | 33 | 54:46 | 50 |
| 8 | Sport Huancayo | 33 | 48:49 | 50 |
| 9 | Alianza Atletico | 33 | 49:48 | 49 |
| 10 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 33 | 40:52 | 48 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 33 | 37:35 | 42 |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 33 | 48:59 | 41 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 33 | 44:47 | 37 |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 33 | 32:41 | 37 |
| 15 | ADT | 33 | 36:48 | 31 |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 33 | 27:48 | 30 |
| 17 | FC Cajamarca | 33 | 46:65 | 29 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 33 | 38:58 | 14 |
Primera Division: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | +22 | 40 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | +4 | 34 | LWDLL |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | +12 | 33 | DLWWD |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | +9 | 29 | DLDWL |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | +9 | 28 | DWDWL |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 | WLDDW |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | +3 | 26 | DWWWW |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | +2 | 21 | DWLWW |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | DLDLW |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | +1 | 20 | LWDWW |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 | DWDLD |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 | WLDDL |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 | DLLLD |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 | DLDLW |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 | DWWWL |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 | LWLLL |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 | DLWLL |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 | DLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 30:8 | 40 |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 25:21 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 34:22 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 24:15 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 29:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 21:24 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 21:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 18:20 | 21 |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 22:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 15:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 28:30 | 19 |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 21:26 | 18 |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 17:24 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 23:28 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 21:31 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 22:40 | 16 |
Primera Division: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sport Huancayo | 16 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 27:18 | +9 | 34 | DLWLL |
| 2 | Sporting Cristal | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 35:18 | +17 | 32 | WLDDL |
| 3 | Universitario | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 35:24 | +11 | 32 | DLDWL |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 29:17 | +12 | 29 | DWWWW |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 27:18 | +9 | 29 | DWDWL |
| 6 | Alianza Lima | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 24:16 | +8 | 29 | WWDWW |
| 7 | Alianza Atletico | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 29:30 | -1 | 28 | DWLWW |
| 8 | Sport Boys | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 22:16 | +6 | 26 | DWDLD |
| 9 | Juan Pablo II College | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 26:19 | +7 | 25 | DLLLD |
| 10 | Cusco | 16 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 25:23 | +2 | 24 | WLDDW |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 21 | LWLLL |
| 12 | Cienciano | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 20:24 | -4 | 17 | DLWWD |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 26:27 | -1 | 16 | DLDLW |
| 14 | FC Cajamarca | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 23:37 | -14 | 14 | DWWWL |
| 15 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15:31 | -16 | 14 | LWDLL |
| 16 | ADT | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14:27 | -13 | 12 | LWDWW |
| 17 | UCV Moquegua | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 10:24 | -14 | 12 | DLDLW |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17:32 | -15 | 6 | DLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sport Huancayo | 16 | 27:18 | 34 |
| 2 | Sporting Cristal | 16 | 35:18 | 32 |
| 3 | Universitario | 16 | 35:24 | 32 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 16 | 29:17 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 16 | 27:18 | 29 |
| 6 | Alianza Lima | 16 | 24:16 | 29 |
| 7 | Alianza Atletico | 16 | 29:30 | 28 |
| 8 | Sport Boys | 16 | 22:16 | 26 |
| 9 | Juan Pablo II College | 16 | 26:19 | 25 |
| 10 | Cusco | 16 | 25:23 | 24 |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 16 | 20:23 | 21 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 16 | 20:24 | 17 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 16 | 26:27 | 16 |
| 14 | FC Cajamarca | 16 | 23:37 | 14 |
| 15 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 16 | 15:31 | 14 |
| 16 | ADT | 16 | 14:27 | 12 |
| 17 | UCV Moquegua | 16 | 10:24 | 12 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 16 | 17:32 | 6 |
PromotionRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera División matches
- Universitario vs Cusco 25/07/26
- Sport Boys vs ADT 25/07/26
- Sport Huancayo vs Atletico Grau 25/07/26
- Juan Pablo II College vs Cienciano 25/07/26
- UTC Cajamarca vs UCV Moquegua 26/07/26
- Comerciantes Unidos vs Alianza Lima 26/07/26
- Deportivo Garcilaso vs FC Cajamarca 27/07/26
- Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Comerciantes Unidos 31/07/26
About the FBC Melgar vs Sporting Cristal forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
FBC Melgar and Sporting Cristal in the Primera División table
FBC Melgar and Sporting Cristal are close in the Primera División table, 3rd and 5th, with 6 points between them. League goal record so far: FBC Melgar 56-38, Sporting Cristal 63-48. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
FBC Melgar have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.