FC Aarau vs Étoile Carouge Prediction

FC Aarau
1-2
Finished
HT 1-0
Étoile Carouge
24/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.22
SignalHIGHModel56%SurpriseMediumGap-3.9%
FC Aarau Rest
6 days
Étoile Carouge Rest
7 days

FC Aarau vs Étoile Carouge: result, form and history

Étoile Carouge beat FC Aarau 2-1 in the Challenge League on 24 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.0 goals, and both sides scored in 6 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
54%1.70
X
23%3.88
2
23%3.90
Double Chance
1X
77%1.22
X2
46%1.96
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

2'H. KoideAssist: B. Senyurt
26'L. EssienaFoul
31'B. SenyurtFoul
46'B. Senyurt INL. Obexer out
46'T. Escorza INO. Correia out
54'H. Koide INA. Beka Beka out
62'I. AliuHandling
65'M. Holcbecher
68'Ricardo AlvesFoul
75'I. Aliu INK. Ndau out
80'M. Holcbecher INM. El Jaouhari out
80'S. Bossiwa INT. Nunez out
82'O. CorreiaAssist: Ricardo Alves
85'M. Guindo INE. Jordan out
85'M. Dickenmann INA. Bizzarri out
90'Ricardo Alves ING. Zrankeon out

Team Comparison

FC AarauFC Aarau
Étoile CarougeÉtoile Carouge
1520Elo Rating 1457
1.37Attack 0.70
1.46Defense 0.85
23%Hit Rate 27%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

FC AarauFC Aarau
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Étoile CarougeÉtoile Carouge
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

FC AarauFC Aarau5Wins · 50%
Draws110%
Étoile CarougeÉtoile Carouge4Wins · 40%
3.0Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
80%3+ goals8 of 10

Previous meetings

Challenge League24/07/2026
Étoile CarougeFC Aarau
30
Challenge League07/04/2026
FC AarauÉtoile Carouge
13
Challenge League06/03/2026
Étoile CarougeFC Aarau
03
Challenge League12/12/2025
FC AarauÉtoile Carouge
21
Challenge League26/09/2025
Étoile CarougeFC Aarau
13
Challenge League16/05/2025
Étoile CarougeFC Aarau
13
Challenge League28/03/2025
FC AarauÉtoile Carouge
22
Schweizer Cup05/12/2024
FC AarauÉtoile Carouge
01
Challenge League01/11/2024
Étoile CarougeFC Aarau
21
Challenge League24/08/2024
FC AarauÉtoile Carouge
10

Recent Form

FC AarauFC Aarau
4W2D4L
18/10/2026
FC AarauFC Zurich
20
W
09/10/2026
Stade NyonnaisFC Aarau
21
L
02/10/2026
FC AarauBSC Young Boys
12
L
18/09/2026
FC WinterthurFC Aarau
21
L
12/09/2026
FC AarauSC Kriens
22
D
04/09/2026
FC AarauRapperswil
32
W
31/08/2026
FC WIL 1900FC Aarau
22
D
28/08/2026
FC AarauNeuchatel Xamax FC
21
W
23/08/2026
Yverdon SportFC Aarau
21
L
16/08/2026
Biel-BienneFC Aarau
1242
W
Étoile CarougeÉtoile Carouge
2W2D6L
16/10/2026
Stade Lausanne-OuchyÉtoile Carouge
30
L
09/10/2026
Étoile CarougeYverdon Sport
02
L
18/09/2026
SC KriensÉtoile Carouge
41
L
11/09/2026
Étoile CarougeFC Winterthur
01
L
04/09/2026
Étoile CarougeFC WIL 1900
11
D
01/09/2026
Stade Lausanne-OuchyÉtoile Carouge
30
L
28/08/2026
Étoile CarougeRapperswil
21
W
21/08/2026
Stade NyonnaisÉtoile Carouge
00
D
15/08/2026
Collex-BossyÉtoile Carouge
02
W
07/08/2026
Étoile CarougeNeuchatel Xamax FC
01
L

League Table

Challenge League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Stade Lausanne-OuchyStade Lausanne-Ouchy1174020:3+1725DWDWW
2Yverdon SportYverdon Sport1164121:11+1022WWDLW
3FC WinterthurFC Winterthur1163223:11+1221WLWWW
4Neuchatel Xamax FCNeuchatel Xamax FC1151515:17-216DWLWL
5SC KriensSC Kriens1143419:17+215LDWDL
6FC AarauFC Aarau1133516:20-412LLLDW
7Étoile CarougeÉtoile Carouge1133510:15-512WLLLD
8RapperswilRapperswil1132617:21-411DLWWL
9FC WIL 1900FC WIL 19001125418:24-611DDWLD
10Stade NyonnaisStade Nyonnais111288:28-205LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Stade Lausanne-OuchyStade Lausanne-Ouchy1120:325
2Yverdon SportYverdon Sport1121:1122
3FC WinterthurFC Winterthur1123:1121
4Neuchatel Xamax FCNeuchatel Xamax FC1115:1716
5SC KriensSC Kriens1119:1715
6FC AarauFC Aarau1116:2012
7Étoile CarougeÉtoile Carouge1110:1512
8RapperswilRapperswil1117:2111
9FC WIL 1900FC WIL 19001118:2411
10Stade NyonnaisStade Nyonnais118:285
PromotionRelegation

About the FC Aarau vs Étoile Carouge forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

FC Aarau and Étoile Carouge in the Challenge League table

In the Challenge League table, FC Aarau (6th) and Étoile Carouge (7th) are level on 12 points. League goal record so far: FC Aarau 16-20, Étoile Carouge 10-15. The full standings are on the Challenge League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.