FC Winterthur vs Stade Nyonnais Prediction

A. Dudic 23/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.20
SignalGOODModel73%SurpriseMediumGap-8.6%
FC Winterthur Rest
6 days
Stade Nyonnais Rest
7 days

FC Winterthur vs Stade Nyonnais: the result in context

FC Winterthur beat Stade Nyonnais 4-0 in the Challenge League on 23 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: FC Winterthur had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Stade Nyonnais.

Referee A. Dudic averages 5.40 cards a game, 0.60 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
74%1.20
X
15%6.25
2
11%10.18
Double Chance
1X
88%1.03
X2
26%3.94
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

10'A. Marchesano
29'E. Kehrer
38'A. TurkesAssist: F. Rohner
46'M. Miguel INF. Hysenaj out
46'F. Rohner INE. Maluvunu out
51'J. MandakaFoul
58'M. RegilloUnsportsmanlike conduct
61'J. Mandaka INP. Moulin out
61'R. Londja ING. Figueiredo out
61'F. Lentini INE. Ndjoko out
67'A. Turkes INR. Buess out
67'A. Marchesano INA. Jankewitz out
75'E. Kehrer INB. Beyer out
75'E. Maluvunu
77'M. Regillo INC. Betoubam out
80'R. OuchardFoul
81'Y. Odin INE. Essiam out
85'K. ThermoncyFoul

Team Comparison

FC WinterthurFC Winterthur
Stade NyonnaisStade Nyonnais
1494Elo Rating 1320
1.55Attack 0.53
2.02Defense 0.00
58%Hit Rate 19%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+174 Elo

Game State Tendencies

FC WinterthurFC Winterthur
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.6 in second half)
Stade NyonnaisStade Nyonnais
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.4 vs 0.1 in first half)

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

FC WinterthurFC Winterthur0Wins · 0%
Draws1100%
Stade NyonnaisStade Nyonnais0Wins · 0%
4.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
100%3+ goals1 of 1

Previous meetings

Challenge League01/09/2026
Stade NyonnaisFC Winterthur
22

Recent Form

FC WinterthurFC Winterthur
6W2D2L
17/10/2026
FC WinterthurFC Luzern
01
L
09/10/2026
Neuchatel Xamax FCFC Winterthur
30
L
03/10/2026
FC WinterthurFC Basel 1893
73
W
30/09/2026
SeuzachFC Winterthur
14
W
18/09/2026
FC WinterthurFC Aarau
21
W
11/09/2026
Étoile CarougeFC Winterthur
01
W
04/09/2026
FC WinterthurNeuchatel Xamax FC
40
W
01/09/2026
Stade NyonnaisFC Winterthur
22
D
28/08/2026
FC WinterthurStade Lausanne-Ouchy
11
D
21/08/2026
RapperswilFC Winterthur
02
W
Stade NyonnaisStade Nyonnais
2W2D6L
16/10/2026
Stade NyonnaisFC Basel 1893
03
L
09/10/2026
Stade NyonnaisFC Aarau
21
W
18/09/2026
FC WIL 1900Stade Nyonnais
50
L
11/09/2026
Stade NyonnaisNeuchatel Xamax FC
13
L
06/09/2026
Yverdon SportStade Nyonnais
41
L
01/09/2026
Stade NyonnaisFC Winterthur
22
D
28/08/2026
SC KriensStade Nyonnais
30
L
21/08/2026
Stade NyonnaisÉtoile Carouge
00
D
15/08/2026
Amical Saint-PrexStade Nyonnais
13
W
07/08/2026
FC AarauStade Nyonnais
21
L

Referee Profile

A. Dudic124 matches

5.40Cards per match
5.06Yellow cards per match
0.35Red cards per match
23.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

A. Dudic5.40
Other referees4.80

5.40 cards a match, 0.60 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.80).

Cards come from 89 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Challenge League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Stade Lausanne-OuchyStade Lausanne-Ouchy1174020:3+1725DWDWW
2Yverdon SportYverdon Sport1164121:11+1022WWDLW
3FC WinterthurFC Winterthur1163223:11+1221WLWWW
4Neuchatel Xamax FCNeuchatel Xamax FC1151515:17-216DWLWL
5SC KriensSC Kriens1143419:17+215LDWDL
6FC AarauFC Aarau1133516:20-412LLLDW
7Étoile CarougeÉtoile Carouge1133510:15-512WLLLD
8RapperswilRapperswil1132617:21-411DLWWL
9FC WIL 1900FC WIL 19001125418:24-611DDWLD
10Stade NyonnaisStade Nyonnais111288:28-205LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Stade Lausanne-OuchyStade Lausanne-Ouchy1120:325
2Yverdon SportYverdon Sport1121:1122
3FC WinterthurFC Winterthur1123:1121
4Neuchatel Xamax FCNeuchatel Xamax FC1115:1716
5SC KriensSC Kriens1119:1715
6FC AarauFC Aarau1116:2012
7Étoile CarougeÉtoile Carouge1110:1512
8RapperswilRapperswil1117:2111
9FC WIL 1900FC WIL 19001118:2411
10Stade NyonnaisStade Nyonnais118:285
PromotionRelegation

About the FC Winterthur vs Stade Nyonnais forecast

The forecasts for this Challenge League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

FC Winterthur and Stade Nyonnais in the Challenge League table

The table shows a wide gap: FC Winterthur are 3rd in the Challenge League, while Stade Nyonnais sit 10th, 16 points behind. League goal record so far: FC Winterthur 23-11, Stade Nyonnais 8-28. The full standings are on the Challenge League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

FC Winterthur and Stade Nyonnais have met only 1 time recently, with 4.0 goals in that meeting. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.