FC Basel 1893 vs FC Thun Prediction

FC Basel 1893
4-2
Finished
HT 2-0
FC Thun
St. Jakob-Park, Basel· Luca Cibelli, Switzerland 09/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
64%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.73
SignalGOODModel43%RiskMediumGap+11.2%
FC Basel 1893 Rest
7 days
FC Thun Rest
2 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
44%1.79
X
28%4.03
2
28%3.77
Double Chance
1X
72%1.25
X2
56%1.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.41
No
44%2.65
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.43 + 1.35 = 2.78
Over 1.5
78%1.12
Over 2.5
58%1.40
Over 3.5
32%2.05
Under 1.5
22%5.65
Under 2.5
42%2.70
Under 3.5
68%1.73
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 4.8 = 10.5
Over 8.5
74%1.35
Over 9.5
64%1.61
Over 10.5
52%2.00
Under 8.5
26%2.92
Under 9.5
36%2.16
Under 10.5
48%1.73
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 2.1 = 4.5
Over 3.5
62%1.45
Over 4.5
44%1.95
Under 3.5
38%2.47
Under 4.5
56%1.76

Match Events

4'A. SowAssist: K. Olaigbe
31'A. SowAssist: L. Leroy
38'N. ReichmuthFoul
46'N. Zoukit INJ. Roth out
46'S. Lengen INM. Gutbub out
53'Z. CelarAssist: A. Sow
54'N. Reichmuth INN. Maier out
60'K. Olaigbe INP. Otele out
60'L. Thorell INX. Shaqiri out
61'F. FehrFoul
67'F. Fehr INM. Heule out
73'L. StewartAssist: M. Gutbub
74'L. Stewart INB. Labeau out
75'Z. Celar ING. Koloto out
75'X. ShaqiriAssist: A. Sow
88'L. LeroyFoul
89'B. Omeragic INJ. Harder out
89'M. Cisse INN. Vouilloz out
90+1'B. LabeauAssist: D. Derbaci
90+2'J. RothFoul

Lineups

FC Basel 1893
4-3-3Coach: Stephan Lichtsteiner
FC Thun
4-4-2Coach: Luca Privitelli Gian
Mirko Salvi13M. SalviMirko Salvi
Keigo Tsunemoto6K. TsunemotoKeigo Tsunemoto
Flavius Daniliuc24F. DaniliucFlavius Daniliuc
Akpe Victory55A. VictoryAkpe Victory
Moussa Cissé29M. CisséMoussa Cissé
Leo Leroy22L. LeroyLeo Leroy
Bećir Omeragić4B. OmeragićBećir Omeragić
Ludwig Thorell8L. ThorellLudwig Thorell
Asane Sow18A. SowAsane Sow
Žan Celar9Ž. CelarŽan Celar
Kazeem Olaigbe11K. OlaigbeKazeem Olaigbe
Niklas Steffen1N. SteffenNiklas Steffen
Lucien Dähler37L. DählerLucien Dähler
Nicolas Bürgy5N. BürgyNicolas Bürgy
Jan Bamert19J. BamertJan Bamert
Fabio Fehr47F. FehrFabio Fehr
Nils Reichmuth70N. ReichmuthNils Reichmuth
Fabio Saiz8F. SaizFabio Saiz
Nassim Zoukit13N. ZoukitNassim Zoukit
Dorian Derbaci21D. DerbaciDorian Derbaci
Layton Stewart11L. StewartLayton Stewart
Simon Lengen80S. LengenSimon Lengen

FC Basel 1893 Substitutes

49Renato Widmer D'AutiliaG
3Nicolas VouillozD
5MetinhoM
10Xherdan ShaqiriM
7Philip OteleF
44Jonas HarderM
14Andrej BačaninM
37Giacomo KolotoF
23Albian AjetiF

FC Thun Substitutes

25Tim SpycherG
17Ashvin BalarubanD
27Michael HeuleD
16Justin RothM
78Valmir MatoshiM
52Adam IlicM
96Brighton LabeauF
30Nico MaierM
33Marc GutbubF

Match Stats

FC Basel 1893FC Thun
47%Ball Possession53%
1Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards3
11Total Shots13
7Shots on Goal2
3Shots off Goal6
9Shots Inside Box7
2Shots Outside Box6
1Blocked Shots5
10Fouls15
3Offsides1
0Goalkeeper Saves3
385Total Passes421
307Passes Accurate339
80%Pass Accuracy81%

Team Comparison

FC Basel 1893FC Basel 1893
FC ThunFC Thun
1612Elo Rating 1558
2.28Attack 1.49
0.75Defense 0.69
41%Hit Rate 14%
11.8Shots per Game 16.7
4.2Shots on Target 2.9
3.2Corners per Game 6.2
2.1Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

FC Basel 1893FC Basel 1893
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
FC ThunFC Thun
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 4 historical meetings

FC Basel 1893 51%Draw 0%49% FC Thun
3.77Avg Goals
100%BTTS Rate
100%Over 2.5

Referee Profile

Luca Cibelli, Switzerland · 21 matches analysed

5.2Avg Yellows
5.5Avg Cards
25.0Avg Fouls
Stricter than 92% of referees analysed

League Table

Super League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC LuganoFC Lugano871023:7+1622WDWWW
2BSC Young BoysBSC Young Boys954031:18+1319WDDWD
3FC SionFC Sion961223:14+919DWWWW
4FC Basel 1893FC Basel 1893841316:14+213WLLDW
5FC LuzernFC Luzern933317:18-112WLDWD
6FC ZurichFC Zurich932414:20-611DWDLW
7Servette FCServette FC931511:13-210LWWLL
8FC ST. GallenFC ST. Gallen831413:18-510LLWLL
9GrasshoppersGrasshoppers922513:24-118LLWDW
10FC ThunFC Thun821513:22-97LLLDW
11FC VaduzFC Vaduz820617:19-26LWLWL
12LausanneLausanne81347:11-46LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FC LuganoFC Lugano823:722
2BSC Young BoysBSC Young Boys931:1819
3FC SionFC Sion923:1419
4FC Basel 1893FC Basel 1893816:1413
5FC LuzernFC Luzern917:1812
6FC ZurichFC Zurich914:2011
7Servette FCServette FC911:1310
8FC ST. GallenFC ST. Gallen813:1810
9GrasshoppersGrasshoppers913:248
10FC ThunFC Thun813:227
11FC VaduzFC Vaduz817:196
12LausanneLausanne87:116
Relegation

FC Basel 1893 vs FC Thun Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Super League fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Super League

ScorePredicts covers Switzerland football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

FC Basel 1893 and FC Thun have met 4 times recently, averaging 3.77 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.