FC Luzern vs FC Thun Prediction

FC Luzern
1-3
Finished
HT 1-1
FC Thun
Thermoplan Arena, Luzern· Nico Gianforte, Switzerland 25/07/2026
FC LuzernFC Luzern
1-3
Finished
FC ThunFC Thun

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
78%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 5.5
1.45
SignalGOODModel45%RiskMediumGap+14.5%
FC Luzern Rest
7 days
FC Thun Rest
4 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
48%1.95
X
30%3.82
2
22%3.25
Double Chance
1X
78%1.32
X2
52%1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.37
No
44%2.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.68 + 1.2 = 2.88
Over 1.5
80%1.11
Over 2.5
57%1.41
Over 3.5
33%2.00
Under 1.5
20%5.80
Under 2.5
43%2.73
Under 3.5
67%1.78
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 4 = 9.7
Over 8.5
62%1.39
Over 9.5
52%1.73
Over 10.5
41%2.10
Under 8.5
38%2.65
Under 9.5
48%2.01
Under 10.5
59%1.62
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.5 = 4.7
Over 3.5
60%-
Over 4.5
42%-
Under 3.5
40%-
Under 4.5
58%-

Match Events

2'S. KnezevicAssist: O. Kabwit
8'N. MaierAssist: M. Gutbub
50'P. DornFoul
51'M. GutbubAssist: N. Burgy
60'N. Zoukit INJ. Roth out
60'A. Balaruban INM. Heule out
61'N. Maier INV. Matoshi out
64'L. Silva INA. Oehlers out
72'N. BurgyFoul
74'D. Derbaci INN. Reichmuth out
74'L. Villiger INM. Zimmermann out
74'R. Dantas Fernandes INA. Ciganiks out
80'L. Stewart INB. Labeau out
83'A. CiganiksFoul
84'N. BurgyAssist: L. Dahler
85'T. Owusu INS. Meyer out
85'M. Di Giusto INS. Wyss out
89'M. ZimmermannFoul

Lineups

FC Luzern
4-4-2Coach: Jorg Portmann
FC Thun
4-2-2-2Coach: Luca Privitelli Gian
Simon Simoni1S. SimoniSimon Simoni
Pius Dorn20P. DornPius Dorn
Stefan Knežević5S. KneževićStefan Knežević
Loïc Lüthi21L. LüthiLoïc Lüthi
Rúben Dantas22R. DantasRúben Dantas
Lucas Silva10L. SilvaLucas Silva
Tyron Owusu24T. OwusuTyron Owusu
Leonardo Bertone6L. BertoneLeonardo Bertone
Matteo Di Giusto11M. Di GiustoMatteo Di Giusto
Oscar Kabwit16O. KabwitOscar Kabwit
Lars Villiger27L. VilligerLars Villiger
Niklas Steffen1N. SteffenNiklas Steffen
Lucien Dähler37L. DählerLucien Dähler
Nicolas Bürgy5N. BürgyNicolas Bürgy
Jan Bamert19J. BamertJan Bamert
Ashvin Balaruban17A. BalarubanAshvin Balaruban
Nassim Zoukit13N. ZoukitNassim Zoukit
Fabio Saiz8F. SaizFabio Saiz
Nico Maier30N. MaierNico Maier
Dorian Derbaci21D. DerbaciDorian Derbaci
Marc Gutbub33M. GutbubMarc Gutbub
Layton Stewart11L. StewartLayton Stewart

FC Luzern Substitutes

63Raphael RadtkeG
13Bung Hua FreimannD
3Jesper LofgrenD
14Andrejs CigaņiksD
80Mio ZimmermannM
7Aurelio OehlersF
28Ronaldo Dantas FernandesM
17Sandro WyssF
71Sascha MeyerF

FC Thun Substitutes

25Tim SpycherG
47Fabio FehrD
27Michael HeuleD
54Louis PassavantD
70Nils ReichmuthM
16Justin RothM
78Valmir MatoshiM
96Brighton LabeauF
80Simon LengenF

Match Stats

FC LuzernFC Thun
54%Ball Possession46%
10Corner Kicks6
3Yellow Cards1
19Total Shots20
4Shots on Goal7
10Shots off Goal9
16Shots Inside Box14
3Shots Outside Box6
5Blocked Shots4
13Fouls10
4Goalkeeper Saves3
381Total Passes332
290Passes Accurate260
76%Pass Accuracy78%

Team Comparison

FC LuzernFC Luzern
FC ThunFC Thun
1615Elo Rating 1558
2.86Attack 1.49
0.92Defense 0.69
44%Hit Rate 14%
18.5Shots per Game 16.7
6.6Shots on Target 2.9
3.8Corners per Game 6.2
2.5Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

High Goal Expectancy2.88 goals
📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

FC LuzernFC Luzern
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2 vs 0.9 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
FC ThunFC Thun
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

FC Luzern 0%Draw 31%69% FC Thun
3.43Avg Goals
100%BTTS Rate
83%Over 2.5

Recent Form

FC LuzernFC Luzern
4W0D1L
18/07/2026
FC LuzernSt. Truiden
12
L
10/07/2026
FC WIL 1900FC Luzern
02
W
04/07/2026
FC LuzernFC Winterthur
32
W
27/06/2026
FC LuzernStade Lausanne-Ouchy
32
W
16/05/2026
FC WinterthurFC Luzern
03
W
FC ThunFC Thun
0W3D2L
21/07/2026
FC ThunDinamo Zagreb
11
D
11/07/2026
FC ThunWaldhof Mannheim
12
L
11/07/2026
FC ThunSV Elversberg
11
D
17/05/2026
FC ST. GallenFC Thun
11
D
14/05/2026
FC ThunBSC Young Boys
38
L

Referee Profile

Nico Gianforte, Switzerland · 17 matches analysed

4.5Avg Yellows
4.9Avg Cards
25.8Avg Fouls
Stricter than 63% of referees analysed

League Table

Super League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC LuganoFC Lugano871023:7+1622WDWWW
2FC SionFC Sion860222:13+918WWWWL
3BSC Young BoysBSC Young Boys844028:16+1216DDWDW
4FC Basel 1893FC Basel 1893841316:14+213WLLDW
5Servette FCServette FC83149:10-110WWLLD
6FC ST. GallenFC ST. Gallen831413:18-510LLWLL
7FC ZurichFC Zurich831413:19-610WDLWL
8FC LuzernFC Luzern823312:17-59LDWDW
9GrasshoppersGrasshoppers822412:19-78LWDWL
10FC ThunFC Thun821513:22-97LLLDW
11FC VaduzFC Vaduz820617:19-26LWLWL
12LausanneLausanne81347:11-46LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FC LuganoFC Lugano823:722
2FC SionFC Sion822:1318
3BSC Young BoysBSC Young Boys828:1616
4FC Basel 1893FC Basel 1893816:1413
5Servette FCServette FC89:1010
6FC ST. GallenFC ST. Gallen813:1810
7FC ZurichFC Zurich813:1910
8FC LuzernFC Luzern812:179
9GrasshoppersGrasshoppers812:198
10FC ThunFC Thun813:227
11FC VaduzFC Vaduz817:196
12LausanneLausanne87:116
Relegation

FC Luzern vs FC Thun Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Super League fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Super League

ScorePredicts covers Switzerland football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

FC Luzern and FC Thun have met 5 times recently, averaging 3.43 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.