FC Lugano vs FC Vaduz Prediction

FC Lugano
2-1
Finished
HT 2-0
FC Vaduz
Cornaredo, Lugano· Alessandro Dudic, Switzerland 26/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.60
SignalGOODModel52%RiskMediumGap+10.2%
FC Lugano Rest
2 days
FC Vaduz Rest
2 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
63%1.47
X
23%4.50
2
14%5.75
Double Chance
1X
86%1.11
X2
37%2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.63
No
49%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.78 + 1.04 = 2.82
Over 1.5
80%1.15
Over 2.5
55%1.50
Over 3.5
32%2.26
Under 1.5
20%5.00
Under 2.5
45%2.47
Under 3.5
68%1.60
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

29'Antonios PapadopoulosAssist: Lars Lukas Mai
32'Antonios PapadopoulosFoul
37'Lars Lukas MaiAssist: Renato Steffen
46'Dejan Đokić INDejan Sorgić out
57'Mischa Beeli INNicolas Hasler out
58'Juan Cabrera INMischa Eberhard out
59'Renato Steffen INDereck Moncada out
60'Ahmed Kendouci INDaniel Dos Santos out
66'Julian Stark INMiloš Cocić out
70'Elias Pihlström INKevin Behrens out
70'Yanis Cimignani INMattia Zanotti out
71'Lutfi DalipiAssist: Dejan Sorgić
74'Marcel MonsbergerFoul
80'Malik Sawadogo INDominik Schwizer out
82'Leon SchaffranProfessional foul (last man)
90'Ezgjan Alioski INCarbone out

Lineups

FC Lugano
Coach: Mattia Croci-Torti
FC Vaduz
Coach: Marc Schneider

FC Lugano Starting XI

16David von BallmoosG
6Antonios PapadopoulosD
17Lars Lukas MaiD
18Joel BichselD
21Yanis CimignaniM
25Uran BislimiM
8Anto GrgićM
7Ezgjan AlioskiM
14Ahmed KendouciF
11Renato SteffenF
24Elias PihlströmF

FC Vaduz Starting XI

25Leon SchaffranG
14Mischa BeeliD
27Niklas LangD
5Liridon BerishaD
29Malik SawadogoD
17Julian StarkM
20Luca MackM
10Juan CabreraM
11Lutfi DalipiM
9Marcel MonsbergerF
19Dejan ĐokićF

FC Lugano Substitutes

30Dereck MoncadaF
27Daniel Dos SantosM
46Mattia ZanottiD
91Kevin BehrensF
44CarboneD
28Felix GebhardtG
4Damian KelvinD
22Beckham CastroF
23Gjan AjdinM

FC Vaduz Substitutes

39Dejan SorgićF
4Nicolas HaslerD
22Mischa EberhardM
28Miloš CocićM
7Dominik SchwizerM
1Benjamin BüchelG
6Denis SimaniD
37Luca CelentanoD
23Mats HammerichM

Match Stats

FC LuganoFC Vaduz
49%Ball Possession51%
9Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards1
22Total Shots11
8Shots on Goal3
10Shots off Goal8
14Shots Inside Box9
8Shots Outside Box2
4Blocked Shots0
14Fouls10
0Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves6
410Total Passes441
332Passes Accurate353
81%Pass Accuracy80%

Team Comparison

FC LuganoFC Lugano
FC VaduzFC Vaduz
1793Elo Rating 1599
1.89Attack 2.26
1.93Defense 0.95
59%Hit Rate 39%
16.0Shots per Game 14.0
4.6Shots on Target 5.9
5.8Corners per Game 4.1
3.5Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+195 Elo
High Goal Expectancy2.82 goals
📈BTTS Trend58% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

FC LuganoFC Lugano
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.4 in first half)
FC VaduzFC Vaduz
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

FC Lugano 19%Draw 31%50% FC Vaduz
2.46Avg Goals
58%BTTS Rate
46%Over 2.5

Recent Form

FC LuganoFC Lugano
3W1D1L
23/07/2026
FC LuganoDukagjini
10
W
17/07/2026
FC LuganoFC Vaduz
12
L
10/07/2026
1. FC HeidenheimFC Lugano
01
W
07/07/2026
MemmingenFC Lugano
04
W
04/07/2026
FC LuganoRapperswil
11
D
FC VaduzFC Vaduz
4W0D1L
23/07/2026
FC VaduzAtlètic Club d'Escaldes
40
W
17/07/2026
FC LuganoFC Vaduz
12
W
10/07/2026
SCR AltachFC Vaduz
10
L
04/07/2026
FC VaduzAustria Lustenau
10
W
27/06/2026
SC KriensFC Vaduz
12
W

Referee Profile

Alessandro Dudic, Switzerland · 19 matches analysed

4.4Avg Yellows
4.7Avg Cards
25.0Avg Fouls
Stricter than 54% of referees analysed

League Table

Super League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC LuganoFC Lugano871023:7+1622WDWWW
2FC SionFC Sion860222:13+918WWWWL
3BSC Young BoysBSC Young Boys844028:16+1216DDWDW
4FC Basel 1893FC Basel 1893841316:14+213WLLDW
5Servette FCServette FC83149:10-110WWLLD
6FC ST. GallenFC ST. Gallen831413:18-510LLWLL
7FC ZurichFC Zurich831413:19-610WDLWL
8FC LuzernFC Luzern823312:17-59LDWDW
9GrasshoppersGrasshoppers822412:19-78LWDWL
10FC ThunFC Thun821513:22-97LLLDW
11FC VaduzFC Vaduz820617:19-26LWLWL
12LausanneLausanne81347:11-46LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FC LuganoFC Lugano823:722
2FC SionFC Sion822:1318
3BSC Young BoysBSC Young Boys828:1616
4FC Basel 1893FC Basel 1893816:1413
5Servette FCServette FC89:1010
6FC ST. GallenFC ST. Gallen813:1810
7FC ZurichFC Zurich813:1910
8FC LuzernFC Luzern812:179
9GrasshoppersGrasshoppers812:198
10FC ThunFC Thun813:227
11FC VaduzFC Vaduz817:196
12LausanneLausanne87:116
Relegation

FC Lugano vs FC Vaduz Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Super League fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Super League

ScorePredicts covers Switzerland football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

FC Lugano and FC Vaduz have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.46 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.