FC UFA vs Arsenal Tula Prediction

FC UFA
2-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Arsenal Tula
Neftyanik Stadium, Ufa 17/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
66%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.38
SignalSOLIDModel39%SurpriseMediumGap-6.8%
FC UFA Rest
5 days
Arsenal Tula Rest
7 days

FC UFA vs Arsenal Tula: the result in context

FC UFA beat Arsenal Tula 2-0 in the First League on 17 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 7 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
35%2.79
X
30%3.20
2
35%2.50
Double Chance
1X
65%1.50
X2
65%1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%1.83
No
51%1.86
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.37 + 0.94 = 2.31
Over 1.5
68%1.32
Over 2.5
44%2.13
Over 3.5
23%3.74
Under 1.5
32%2.88
Under 2.5
56%1.71
Under 3.5
77%1.19
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

15'Dilan Ortíz(Penalty)
27'Milos Brnovic
50'Andrey Evdokimov
52'Daniil Penchikov
52'Dilan Ortíz(Penalty missed)
58'Danil Lipovoy
59'Georgiy Uridia INDavid Davidyan out
60'Ivan Enin INAleksandr Alekhin out
60'Daniil Shamkin INIgor Gorbunov out
65'Artem Biryukov
68'Timur Melekestsev INIlya Zhigulev out
71'David Davidyan
73'Shamil Isaev INZalimkhan Yusupov out
73'Migran Ageyan INDanil Akhatov out
79'Dilan Ortíz INGeorgiy Gongadze out
86'Artem Biryukov INNikita Glushkov out

Lineups

FC UFA
4-1-2-3Coach: Omari Tetradze
Arsenal Tula
3-5-2Coach: D. Alenichev
A. Belenov31A. Belenov
V. Cherov2V. Cherov
D. Kutin5D. Kutin
A. Evdokimov99A. Evdokimov
A. Gilyazetdinov43A. Gilyazetdinov
Z. Tarba6Z. Tarba
D. Lipovoy9D. Lipovoy
S. Isaev8S. Isaev
M. Ageyan88M. Ageyan
D. Ortíz70D. Ortíz
M. Yakuev11M. Yakuev
A. Melikhov42A. Melikhov
D. Penchikov4D. Penchikov
K. Gotsuk24K. Gotsuk
I. Enin35I. Enin
D. Plotnikov77D. Plotnikov
A. Biryukov25A. Biryukov
D. Shamkin8D. Shamkin
M. Brnović14M. Brnović
G. Uridia22G. Uridia
T. Melekestsev23T. Melekestsev
R. Magomedov11R. Magomedov

FC UFA Substitutes

10G. Gongadze79'for Dilan Ortíz
7A. Davlitgereev
17D. Ozmanov
19E. Mayorov
97A. Polesovshchikov
20T. Shipunov
1T. Kraykov
69I. Khanenko
79K. Troyanov
22Z. Yusupov73'for Shamil Isaev
15A. Khabalov
23D. Akhatov73'for Migran Ageyan

Arsenal Tula Substitutes

10I. Zhigulev68'for Timur Melekestsev
75T. Zhamaletdinov
18M. Tsulaia
36M. Levashov
5Y. Krashevskiy
17I. Gorbunov60'for Daniil Shamkin
19N. Glushkov86'for Artem Biryukov
71A. Efremov
9D. Davidyan59'for Georgiy Uridia71'
82A. Alekhin60'for Ivan Enin
45N. Karmaev

Match Stats

FC UFAArsenal Tula
52%Ball Possession48%
6Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards4
9Total Shots0
9Shots on Goal0
0Shots off Goal0
0Blocked Shots0

Team Comparison

FC UFAFC UFA
Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula
1443Elo Rating 1404
0.60Attack 2.11
2.25Defense 0.56
23%Hit Rate 46%
5.9Shots per Game 3.6
3.2Shots on Target 2.5
4.3Corners per Game 3.4
1.4Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

FC UFAFC UFA
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

FC UFAFC UFA3Wins · 30%
Draws330%
Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula4Wins · 40%
2.6Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

First League16/11/2025
FC UFAArsenal Tula
12
First League20/09/2025
Arsenal TulaFC UFA
22
First League18/05/2025
FC UFAArsenal Tula
12
First League29/09/2024
Arsenal TulaFC UFA
00
First League26/03/2023
Arsenal TulaFC UFA
21
First League02/09/2022
FC UFAArsenal Tula
02
Premier League14/05/2022
FC UFAArsenal Tula
21
Premier League06/11/2021
Arsenal TulaFC UFA
00
Premier League16/05/2021
FC UFAArsenal Tula
21
Premier League14/08/2020
Arsenal TulaFC UFA
23

Recent Form

FC UFAFC UFA
2W4D4L
11/10/2026
FC SochiFC UFA
10
L
27/09/2026
FC UFATorpedo Moskva
00
D
18/09/2026
ChelyabinskFC UFA
21
L
13/09/2026
FC UFAVolga Ulyanovsk
22
D
09/09/2026
KalugaFC UFA
10
L
05/09/2026
FC UFAVeles
11
D
28/08/2026
FK NeftekhimikFC UFA
01
W
23/08/2026
FC UFAEnisey
31
W
17/08/2026
Spartak KostromaFC UFA
11
D
08/08/2026
UralFC UFA
30
L
Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula
2W3D5L
09/10/2026
Arsenal TulaSpartak Kostroma
32
W
04/10/2026
CSKA MoscowArsenal Tula
31
L
16/09/2026
EniseyArsenal Tula
31
L
13/09/2026
Arsenal TulaSka-khabarovsk
22
D
08/09/2026
TekstilshchikArsenal Tula
10
L
05/09/2026
Volga UlyanovskArsenal Tula
30
L
29/08/2026
Arsenal TulaUral
22
D
24/08/2026
VelesArsenal Tula
20
L
20/08/2026
Arsenal TulaRotor Volgograd
21
W
15/08/2026
LeningradetsArsenal Tula
00
D

League Table

First League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod15131144:15+2940WWWWW
2FC SochiFC Sochi15102326:15+1132WWWDW
3Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva1584327:12+1528DWWDD
4UralUral1584325:11+1428WLLWW
5Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma1583421:15+627LWLLW
6VelesVeles1683520:19+127LDWLD
7Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl1558220:15+523WDWDL
8FC UFAFC UFA1556418:15+321LWLDL
9Volga UlyanovskVolga Ulyanovsk1663721:22-121WWDWL
10Rotor VolgogradRotor Volgograd1554623:18+519DLDWW
11Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula1554619:29-1019WLWLD
12ChelyabinskChelyabinsk1543819:26-715LLWDW
13EniseyEnisey1535716:30-1414LLLDW
14LeningradetsLeningradets1535712:26-1414DLLWL
15KAMAZKAMAZ1534819:27-813LWDWD
16FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik15411011:22-1113DLLLL
17Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk1524918:28-1010WLDDD
18TekstilshchikTekstilshchik1524911:25-1410LWLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod1544:1540
2FC SochiFC Sochi1526:1532
3Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva1527:1228
4UralUral1525:1128
5Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma1521:1527
6VelesVeles1620:1927
7Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl1520:1523
8FC UFAFC UFA1518:1521
9Volga UlyanovskVolga Ulyanovsk1621:2221
10Rotor VolgogradRotor Volgograd1523:1819
11Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula1519:2919
12ChelyabinskChelyabinsk1519:2615
13EniseyEnisey1516:3014
14LeningradetsLeningradets1512:2614
15KAMAZKAMAZ1519:2713
16FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik1511:2213
17Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk1518:2810
18TekstilshchikTekstilshchik1511:2510

About the FC UFA vs Arsenal Tula forecast

The forecasts for this First League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

FC UFA and Arsenal Tula in the First League table

In the First League table, FC UFA are 8th and Arsenal Tula 11th, 2 points apart. League goal record so far: FC UFA 18-15, Arsenal Tula 19-29. The full standings are on the First League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.