Fenerbahçe vs Gornik Zabrze Prediction

Fenerbahçe
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Gornik Zabrze
Chobani Stadium, Istanbul· Manfredas Lukjancukas, Lithuania 21/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
6.6 / 10
Value Analysis
68%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.70
SignalHIGHModel62%RiskMediumGap+12.6%
Fenerbahçe Rest
7 days
Gornik Zabrze Rest
5 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
69%1.20
X
13%6.75
2
18%11.75
Double Chance
1X
82%1.03
X2
31%4.30
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.93
No
47%1.78
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.69 + 1.24 = 2.93
Over 1.5
77%1.12
Over 2.5
55%1.43
Over 3.5
34%2.10
Under 1.5
23%5.50
Under 2.5
45%2.64
Under 3.5
66%1.70
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 3.8 = 9.6
Over 8.5
58%1.48
Over 9.5
46%1.81
Over 10.5
37%2.27
Under 8.5
42%2.42
Under 9.5
54%1.88
Under 10.5
63%1.52
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2.2 = 4.5
Over 3.5
72%1.80
Over 4.5
59%2.60
Under 3.5
28%1.93
Under 4.5
41%1.40

Match Events

37'Talisca
46'N. Ake INL. Mercan out
70'K. Akturkoglu INO. Aydin out
70'B. Elmaz INM. Asensio out
73'K. Urbanski INS. Liseth out
73'Y. Ikia Dimi INO. Zmrzly out
76'M. Dietz INB. Donio out
83'I. Kahveci INM. Greenwood out
87'Talisca INS. Cherif out
90+2'M. Khlan INP. Warczak out

Lineups

Fenerbahçe
4-2-3-1Coach: Ismail Kartal
Gornik Zabrze
4-3-3Coach: Michal Gasparik
Mert Günok34M. GünokMert Günok
Nélson Semedo27N. SemedoNélson Semedo
Milan Škriniar37M. ŠkriniarMilan Škriniar
Nathan Aké15N. AkéNathan Aké
Jayden Oosterwolde24J. OosterwoldeJayden Oosterwolde
Mattéo Guendouzi6M. GuendouziMattéo Guendouzi
Bartuğ Elmaz28B. ElmazBartuğ Elmaz
İrfan Can Kahveci17İ. Can Kahveciİrfan Can Kahveci
Fred7FredFred
Kerem Aktürkoğlu9K. AktürkoğluKerem Aktürkoğlu
Talisca94TaliscaTalisca
Philipp Schulze1P. SchulzePhilipp Schulze
Michal Sáček61M. SáčekMichal Sáček
Rafał Janicki26R. JanickiRafał Janicki
Josema20JosemaJosema
Erik Janža64E. JanžaErik Janža
Lukáš Sadílek18L. SadílekLukáš Sadílek
Maximilian Dietz66M. DietzMaximilian Dietz
Kacper Urbański82K. UrbańskiKacper Urbański
Yvan Ikia Dimi7Y. Ikia DimiYvan Ikia Dimi
Erik Prekop11E. PrekopErik Prekop
Maksym Khlan33M. KhlanMaksym Khlan

Fenerbahçe Substitutes

22Levent MercanD
10Marco AsensioM
70Oğuz AydınF
13Tarık ÇetinG
31EdersonG
3Archie BrownD
4Çağlar SöyüncüD
18Mert MüldürD
5İsmail YüksekM
20Anthony MusabaF
11Mason GreenwoodF
26Sidiki CherifF

Gornik Zabrze Substitutes

21Ondřej ZmrzlýD
23Sondre LisethF
29Wiktor KaniaG
2Patryk WarczakD
4Paweł BochniewiczD
19Peter GonzálezM
28Bastien DonioM
34Bruno DurdovF

Match Stats

FenerbahçeGornik Zabrze
80%Ball Possession20%
9Corner Kicks2
15Total Shots2
6Shots on Goal1
5Shots off Goal1
6Shots Inside Box1
9Shots Outside Box1
4Blocked Shots1
14Fouls11
1Goalkeeper Saves5
754Total Passes187
694Passes Accurate138
92%Pass Accuracy74%

Team Comparison

FenerbahçeFenerbahçe
Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze
1841Elo Rating 1650
1.04Attack 1.63
2.24Defense 1.48
31%Hit Rate 69%
11.7Shots per Game 11.7
5.0Shots on Target 4.5
3.6Corners per Game 5.1
2.7Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+190 Elo
High Goal Expectancy2.93 goals
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

FenerbahçeFenerbahçe
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.4 in first half)

Recent Form

FenerbahçeFenerbahçe
4W1D0L
14/07/2026
Lask LinzFenerbahçe
12
W
11/07/2026
FenerbahçePogon Szczecin
40
W
08/07/2026
Admira WackerFenerbahçe
05
W
17/05/2026
FenerbahçeEyüpspor
33
D
09/05/2026
KonyasporFenerbahçe
03
W
Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze
2W1D2L
16/07/2026
Lech PoznanGornik Zabrze
31
L
10/07/2026
FC NordsjaellandGornik Zabrze
02
W
04/07/2026
WSG WattensGornik Zabrze
00
D
04/07/2026
Red Bull SalzburgGornik Zabrze
21
L
28/06/2026
Hallescher FCGornik Zabrze
12
W

Referee Profile

Manfredas Lukjancukas, Lithuania · 5 matches analysed

4.6Avg Yellows
4.7Avg Cards
25.3Avg Fouls
Stricter than 77% of referees analysed

League Table

UEFA Champions League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain11006:1+53W
2Bayern MünchenBayern München11005:0+53W
3BarcelonaBarcelona11005:1+43W
4Manchester UnitedManchester United11004:0+43W
5ComoComo11004:1+33W
6VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart11003:1+23W
7Sporting CPSporting CP11003:1+23W
8Manchester CityManchester City11002:0+23W
9Aston VillaAston Villa11003:2+13W
10LensLens11003:2+13W
11Real BetisReal Betis11003:2+13W
12Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund11003:2+13W
13LiverpoolLiverpool11002:1+13W
14Real MadridReal Madrid11002:1+13W
15ArsenalArsenal11001:0+13W
16AEK Athens FCAEK Athens FC11001:0+13W
17AS RomaAS Roma10101:101D
18Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar Donetsk10101:101D
19PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven10101:101D
20FenerbahçeFenerbahçe10101:101D
21VillarrealVillarreal10012:3-10L
22LilleLille10012:3-10L
23Slavia PrahaSlavia Praha10012:3-10L
24Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV10012:3-10L
25InterInter10011:2-10L
26Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid10011:2-10L
27NapoliNapoli10010:1-10L
28Lask LinzLask Linz10010:1-10L
29VikingViking10011:3-20L
30GalatasarayGalatasaray10011:3-20L
31FC PortoFC Porto10010:2-20L
32RB LeipzigRB Leipzig10011:4-30L
33FeyenoordFeyenoord10011:5-40L
34Sabah FASabah FA10010:4-40L
35Slovan BratislavaSlovan Bratislava10011:6-50L
36Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt10010:5-50L
#TeamMPGPts
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain16:13
2Bayern MünchenBayern München15:03
3BarcelonaBarcelona15:13
4Manchester UnitedManchester United14:03
5ComoComo14:13
6VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart13:13
7Sporting CPSporting CP13:13
8Manchester CityManchester City12:03
9Aston VillaAston Villa13:23
10LensLens13:23
11Real BetisReal Betis13:23
12Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund13:23
13LiverpoolLiverpool12:13
14Real MadridReal Madrid12:13
15ArsenalArsenal11:03
16AEK Athens FCAEK Athens FC11:03
17AS RomaAS Roma11:11
18Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar Donetsk11:11
19PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven11:11
20FenerbahçeFenerbahçe11:11
21VillarrealVillarreal12:30
22LilleLille12:30
23Slavia PrahaSlavia Praha12:30
24Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV12:30
25InterInter11:20
26Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid11:20
27NapoliNapoli10:10
28Lask LinzLask Linz10:10
29VikingViking11:30
30GalatasarayGalatasaray11:30
31FC PortoFC Porto10:20
32RB LeipzigRB Leipzig11:40
33FeyenoordFeyenoord11:50
34Sabah FASabah FA10:40
35Slovan BratislavaSlovan Bratislava11:60
36Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt10:50
Champions League

Bracket

Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
AEK Athens FC
Seeded
Viking
Seeded
Celtic
Seeded
Lask Linz
Seeded
Sparta Praha
Seeded
Lyon
Seeded
Union St. Gilloise
Seeded
Bodo/Glimt
Seeded
Olympiakos Piraeus
Seeded
NEC Nijmegen
Seeded
Mjallby AIF
Seeded
Slovan Bratislava
Seeded
Aarhus
Seeded
Lech Poznan
Seeded
FC Thun
Seeded
Dinamo Zagreb
Seeded
Fenerbahçe
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
Sturm Graz
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Seeded
FK Crvena Zvezda
Seeded
Omonia Nicosia
Seeded
Celje
Seeded
AEK Athens FC
Seeded
Viking
Seeded
Celtic
Seeded
Lask Linz
Seeded
Sparta Praha
Seeded
Lyon
Seeded
Union St. Gilloise
Seeded
Bodo/Glimt
Seeded
Olympiakos Piraeus
Seeded
NEC Nijmegen
Seeded
AEK Athens FC
Seeded
Viking
Seeded
Celtic
Seeded
Lask Linz
Seeded
AEK Athens FC
Seeded
Viking
Seeded
Celtic
Seeded
Lask Linz
Seeded
Sparta Praha
Seeded
Lyon
Seeded
Union St. Gilloise
Seeded
Bodo/Glimt
Seeded
Olympiakos Piraeus
Seeded
NEC Nijmegen
Seeded

Fenerbahçe vs Gornik Zabrze Prediction

As a knockout-stage UEFA Champions League fixture, this match carries added importance for both sides. Our AI model analyses team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history to build forecasts across six independent markets.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About UEFA Champions League

ScorePredicts covers UEFA Champions League across every knockout round. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Fenerbahçe and Gornik Zabrze have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.