Ferencvarosi TC vs MTK Budapest Prediction

NB IHungary Hungary · Regular Season - 11
Derby
Ferencvarosi TC
5-0
Finished
HT 3-0
MTK Budapest
Groupama Aréna, Budapest 25/10/2026
Ferencvarosi TCFerencvarosi TC
5-0
Finished
MTK BudapestMTK Budapest

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
66%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.40
SignalSOLIDModel70%SurpriseMediumGap-5.1%
Value Analysis
72%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.40
SignalGOODModel72%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
Ferencvarosi TC Rest
3 days
MTK Budapest Rest
8 days

Ferencvarosi TC vs MTK Budapest: result, form and history

Ferencvarosi TC beat MTK Budapest 5-0 in the NB I on 25 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Ferencvarosi TC have had the better of this fixture, winning 8 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 4.0 goals a game. Ferencvarosi TC tend to win more corners, 7.2 a game to 4.9 for MTK Budapest.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
67%1.40
X
19%4.75
2
14%6.00
Double Chance
1X
86%1.08
X2
33%2.70
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.55
No
42%2.30
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.13 + 0.89 = 3.02
Over 1.5
83%1.10
Over 2.5
66%1.38
Over 3.5
44%2.00
Under 1.5
17%6.00
Under 2.5
34%2.84
Under 3.5
56%1.78
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

5'Habib MaïgaFoul
15'Habib MaïgaAssist: Carlos Eduardo Lopes Cruz
17'Bamidele Isa YusufAssist: Veljko Birmančević
20'Habib MaïgaAssist: Attila Osváth
40'Ilia Beriashvili INBenedek Varju out
45'Gyorgy Komaromi INÁ Nyers out
48'Penalty confirmedToon Raemaekers
52'Kristoffer Zachariassen(Penalty)
58'Habib Maïga INÁdám Nagy out
58'Bamidele Isa Yusuf INLenny Joseph out
60'Mihály KataFoul
61'Mariano GómezFoul
68'marius corbuAssist: Kristoffer Zachariassen
72'Ádám Madarász INÁdám Gyula Bagi out
73'Kristoffer Zachariassen INJonathan Levi out
73'Á. Zubor INIstván Bognár out
73'Mark Kerezsi Zalan INKristof Hinora out
73'Adrian Zeljkovic INDániel Varga out
81'Veljko Birmančević INDaniel Arzani out
90'Carlos Eduardo Lopes CruzFoul

Lineups

Ferencvarosi TC
4-2-3-1Coach: B. Borbely
MTK Budapest
4-4-2Coach: Máté Pinezits
Avg rating7.21
Avg rating5.89
D. Dibusz6.890D. Dibusz
A. Osváth7.314A. Osváth
T. Raemaekers7.628T. Raemaekers
M. Gómez6.24M. Gómez
Cadu7.220Cadu
H. Maïga8.980H. Maïga
7272Á. Madarász
K. Zachariassen7.716K. Zachariassen
M. Corbu8.217M. Corbu
V. Birmančević7.27V. Birmančević
B. Yusuf7.911B. Yusuf
4343B. Varga
V. Armalas5.126V. Armalas
I. Beriashvili5.64I. Beriashvili
S. Radić5.555S. Radić
M. Timoteus5.713M. Timoteus
G. Jurek5.611G. Jurek
M. Kata6.26M. Kata
Adrian Zeljković5.980A. Zeljković
G. Komáromi5.977G. Komáromi
Zalán Márk Kerezsi6.420Z. Márk Kerezsi
A. G. Zubor6.38A. G. Zubor

Ferencvarosi TC Substitutes

15D. Arzani81'for Veljko Birmančević6.7
5G. Zohoré
1Á. Varga
18Á. Bagi72'replaced by Ádám Madarász6.8
75L. Joseph58'for Bamidele Isa Yusuf7.1
10J. Levi73'for Kristoffer Zachariassen6.9
76K. Lisztes
6Á. Nagy58'for Habib Maïga6.5
54O. Nagy
47C. O'Dowda
63Dániel István Radnóti
88P. Rommens

MTK Budapest Substitutes

9M. Klausz
17K. Hinora73'for Mark Kerezsi Zalan6.0
24T. Fadgyas
5D. Horváth
45D. Varga73'for Adrian Zeljkovic5.6
37Adam Nyers45'for Gyorgy Komaromi6.3
30Sámuel Barnabás Bakó
10I. Bognár73'for Á. Zubor5.9
2B. Varju40'for Ilia Beriashvili5.8

Match Stats

Ferencvarosi TCMTK Budapest
70%Ball Possession30%
10Corner Kicks1
3Yellow Cards1
24Total Shots4
10Shots on Goal0
8Shots off Goal2
17Shots Inside Box1
7Shots Outside Box3
6Blocked Shots2
12Fouls16
1Offsides0
0Goalkeeper Saves5
444Total Passes293
361Passes Accurate210
15Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

Ferencvarosi TCFerencvarosi TC
MTK BudapestMTK Budapest
1819Elo Rating 1510
2.00Attack 0.94
2.00Defense 1.64
46%Hit Rate 44%
17.9Shots per Game 15.8
5.2Shots on Target 5.3
7.2Corners per Game 4.9
2.3Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+309 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.02 goals
📈BTTS Trend90% in H2H
🔥Derby Match
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Ferencvarosi TCFerencvarosi TC
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.3 in first half)
MTK BudapestMTK Budapest
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Ferencvarosi TCFerencvarosi TC8Wins · 80%
Draws220%
MTK BudapestMTK Budapest0Wins · 0%
4.0Avg Goals
90%Both teams scored9 of 10
80%3+ goals8 of 10

Previous meetings

NB I23/02/2026
MTK BudapestFerencvarosi TC
13
NB I01/11/2025
Ferencvarosi TCMTK Budapest
41
NB I26/07/2025
MTK BudapestFerencvarosi TC
11
NB I27/04/2025
MTK BudapestFerencvarosi TC
23
Magyar Kupa23/04/2025
Ferencvarosi TCMTK Budapest
31
NB I02/02/2025
Ferencvarosi TCMTK Budapest
00
NB I20/09/2024
MTK BudapestFerencvarosi TC
13
NB I28/04/2024
MTK BudapestFerencvarosi TC
12
NB I06/02/2024
Ferencvarosi TCMTK Budapest
51
NB I30/09/2023
MTK BudapestFerencvarosi TC
16
Full head-to-head record

Recent Form

Ferencvarosi TCFerencvarosi TC
6W4D0L
22/10/2026
Ferencvarosi TCTorreense
41
W18/10/2026
Kisvarda FCFerencvarosi TC
11
D15/10/2026
Ferencvarosi TCPlzen
21
W10/10/2026
Ferencvarosi TCDebreceni VSC
11
D20/09/2026
NyiregyhazaFerencvarosi TC
11
D17/09/2026
CelticFerencvarosi TC
13
W
12/09/2026
DEACFerencvarosi TC
07
W
06/09/2026
Ferencvarosi TCUjpest
22
D
03/09/2026
Gyori ETO FCFerencvarosi TC
03
W
30/08/2026
Puskas AcademyFerencvarosi TC
12
W
MTK BudapestMTK Budapest
3W3D4L
16/10/2026
MTK BudapestVasas
10
W
10/10/2026
PaksMTK Budapest
30
L
20/09/2026
MTK BudapestGyori ETO FC
12
L
12/09/2026
Mezokovesd-zsoryMTK Budapest
02
W
05/09/2026
MTK BudapestKisvarda FC
12
L28/08/2026
Debreceni VSCMTK Budapest
22
D22/08/2026
MTK BudapestNyiregyhaza
21
W
15/08/2026
UjpestMTK Budapest
11
D
07/08/2026
MTK BudapestPuskas Academy
23
L01/08/2026
Budapest HonvedMTK Budapest
33
D

League Table

NB I 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Gyori ETO FCGyori ETO FC1163219:12+721WWLWW
2Puskas AcademyPuskas Academy1170416:12+421LWWWL
3Ferencvarosi TCFerencvarosi TC1045118:10+817WDDDD
4PaksPaks1152422:19+317WLWWL
5Debreceni VSCDebreceni VSC1144318:16+216WWDLW
6VasasVasas1143418:15+315LLDWW
7UjpestUjpest1143418:16+215LLDWD
8Kisvarda FCKisvarda FC1126312:13-112DDDLW
9MTK BudapestMTK Budapest1133516:22-612LWLLL
10NyiregyhazaNyiregyhaza1132612:21-911WLLDL
11Budapest HonvedBudapest Honved1024413:17-410LWDLL
12Zalaegerszegi TEZalaegerszegi TE1131713:22-910DLWLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Gyori ETO FCGyori ETO FC1119:1221
2Puskas AcademyPuskas Academy1116:1221
3Ferencvarosi TCFerencvarosi TC1018:1017
4PaksPaks1122:1917
5Debreceni VSCDebreceni VSC1118:1616
6VasasVasas1118:1515
7UjpestUjpest1118:1615
8Kisvarda FCKisvarda FC1112:1312
9MTK BudapestMTK Budapest1116:2212
10NyiregyhazaNyiregyhaza1112:2111
11Budapest HonvedBudapest Honved1013:1710
12Zalaegerszegi TEZalaegerszegi TE1113:2210
Relegation

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About the Ferencvarosi TC vs MTK Budapest forecast

As a derby, this NB I meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Ferencvarosi TC and MTK Budapest in the NB I table

The table shows a wide gap: Ferencvarosi TC are 3rd in the NB I, while MTK Budapest sit 9th, 5 points behind. League goal record so far: Ferencvarosi TC 18-10, MTK Budapest 16-22. The full standings are on the NB I Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.