Figueirense vs Marcílio Dias Prediction

Figueirense
2-1
After Penalties
HT 0-0AET 0-0PEN 3-4
Marcílio Dias
14/11/2026
FigueirenseFigueirense
2-1
After Penalties
Marcílio DiasMarcílio Dias

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
6.3 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalGOODModel45%SurpriseMediumGap-6.1%
Figueirense Rest
5 days
Marcílio Dias Rest
5 days

Figueirense vs Marcílio Dias: result, form and history

Marcílio Dias beat Figueirense on penalties (4-3) after a 2-1 draw in the Copa Santa Catarina on 14 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
45%1.95
X
27%3.30
2
28%3.40
Double Chance
1X
72%1.25
X2
55%1.69
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

61'Mailson
77'Mailson
82'Evaristo
90+2'

Penalty Shootout3 - 4

1(Penalty)
1(Penalty)
2(Penalty)
2(Penalty)
3(Penalty missed)
3(Penalty missed)
4(Penalty)
4(Penalty)
5(Penalty)
5(Penalty missed)

Team Comparison

FigueirenseFigueirense
Marcílio DiasMarcílio Dias
1559Elo Rating 1566
1.46Attack 1.73
1.80Defense 1.56
54%Hit Rate 14%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

FigueirenseFigueirense
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Marcílio DiasMarcílio Dias
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

FigueirenseFigueirense3Wins · 30%
Draws220%
Marcílio DiasMarcílio Dias5Wins · 50%
2.1Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Copa Santa Catarina08/11/2026
Marcílio DiasFigueirense
10
Copa Santa Catarina17/10/2026
Marcílio DiasFigueirense
22
Catarinense - 121/02/2026
FigueirenseMarcílio Dias
01
Catarinense - 113/02/2026
Marcílio DiasFigueirense
10
Catarinense - 110/01/2026
FigueirenseMarcílio Dias
10
Catarinense - 122/02/2025
Marcílio DiasFigueirense
21
Catarinense - 122/02/2024
Marcílio DiasFigueirense
20
Catarinense - 109/02/2023
FigueirenseMarcílio Dias
21
Catarinense - 111/02/2022
FigueirenseMarcílio Dias
32
Catarinense - 122/04/2021
FigueirenseMarcílio Dias
00

Recent Form

FigueirenseFigueirense
6W2D2L
08/11/2026
Marcílio DiasFigueirense
10
L
31/10/2026
BlumenauFigueirense
32
L
24/10/2026
FigueirenseJoinville
10
W
17/10/2026
Marcílio DiasFigueirense
22
D
10/10/2026
FigueirenseHercílio Luz
10
W
27/09/2026
MetropolitanoFigueirense
01
W
20/09/2026
Santa CatarinaFigueirense
12
W
12/09/2026
FigueirenseNação
10
W
05/09/2026
FigueirenseBarra
11
D
29/08/2026
FigueirenseMaranhão
21
W
Marcílio DiasMarcílio Dias
4W4D2L
08/11/2026
Marcílio DiasFigueirense
10
W
01/11/2026
Marcílio DiasBarra
22
D
17/10/2026
Marcílio DiasFigueirense
22
D
09/10/2026
NaçãoMarcílio Dias
00
D
26/09/2026
BlumenauMarcílio Dias
11
D
19/09/2026
Marcílio DiasHercílio Luz
42
W
13/09/2026
Santa CatarinaMarcílio Dias
21
L
07/09/2026
MetropolitanoMarcílio Dias
25
W
30/08/2026
Marcílio DiasJoinville
42
W
11/07/2026
PortuguesaMarcílio Dias
20
L

Bracket

Semi-finals

About the Figueirense vs Marcílio Dias forecast

As a knockout tie in the Copa Santa Catarina, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

About Copa Santa Catarina

More Copa Santa Catarina fixtures and forecasts are on the Copa Santa Catarina Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Marcílio Dias have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some of the data for this fixture is limited, so the model gives it a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.