Hercílio Luz vs Nação Prediction

Hercílio Luz
2-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Nação
26/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.22
SignalGOODModel70%SurpriseMediumGap-7.2%
Hercílio Luz Rest
7 days
Nação Rest
2 days

Hercílio Luz vs Nação: result, form and history

Hercílio Luz beat Nação 2-1 in the Copa Santa Catarina on 26 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Hercílio Luz had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Nação.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 3 previous meetings averaged 3.3 goals, and both sides scored in 3 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
73%1.22
X
18%5.00
2
9%10.50
Double Chance
1X
91%1.04
X2
27%3.52
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

5'
39'
74'

Team Comparison

Hercílio LuzHercílio Luz
NaçãoNação
1605Elo Rating 1426
1.07Attack 0.69
2.08Defense 1.28
39%Hit Rate 0%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+179 Elo
📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Hercílio LuzHercílio Luz
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
NaçãoNação
  • Tied at half-time in 75% of matches

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

Hercílio LuzHercílio Luz2Wins · 67%
Draws133%
NaçãoNação0Wins · 0%
3.3Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored3 of 3
100%3+ goals3 of 3

Previous meetings

Recent Form

Hercílio LuzHercílio Luz
8W1D1L
19/09/2026
Marcílio DiasHercílio Luz
42
L
12/09/2026
JoinvilleHercílio Luz
13
W
30/08/2026
Hercílio LuzMetropolitano
42
W
25/07/2026
NaçãoHercílio Luz
12
W
23/07/2026
Hercílio LuzCaravaggio
00
D
19/07/2026
TubaraoHercílio Luz
02
W
16/07/2026
Hercílio LuzJuventus SC
10
W
04/07/2026
Guarani de PalhoçaHercílio Luz
12
W
28/06/2026
Hercílio LuzFluminense-SC
42
W
21/06/2026
Hercílio LuzMetropolitano
30
W
NaçãoNação
2W3D5L
24/09/2026
BarraNação
33
D
19/09/2026
NaçãoJoinville
04
L
12/09/2026
FigueirenseNação
10
L
06/09/2026
NaçãoSanta Catarina
22
D
25/07/2026
NaçãoHercílio Luz
12
L
22/07/2026
BlumenauNação
02
W
18/07/2026
NaçãoCaravaggio
22
D
15/07/2026
JaraguáNação
02
W
12/07/2026
NaçãoFluminense-SC
12
L
05/07/2026
TubaraoNação
10
L

About the Hercílio Luz vs Nação forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Copa Santa Catarina

More Copa Santa Catarina fixtures and forecasts are on the Copa Santa Catarina Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.