FK Tobol Kostanay vs Atyrau Prediction

FK Tobol Kostanay
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Atyrau
Centralnyj Stadion, Kostanay 26/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
59%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.72
SignalSOLIDModel59%RiskMediumGap+0.8%
Value Analysis
60%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.72
SignalGOODModel42%RiskHighGap+7.8%
FK Tobol Kostanay Rest
2 days
Atyrau Rest
7 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
59%1.72
X
23%3.45
2
18%4.30
Double Chance
1X
82%1.17
X2
41%1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.81
No
56%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.27
Over 2.5
38%1.93
Over 3.5
18%3.20
Under 1.5
37%3.20
Under 2.5
62%1.80
Under 3.5
82%1.28
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

26'U. MilovanovicAssist: L. Guerra
45+2'P. Ndiaye
46'K. Dorofeev IND. Maksimovic out
46'M. Stanic IND. Pantelic out
46'I. Chesnokov
56'D. Zhumat INA. Tagybergen out
57'U. Milovanovic INA. Zhailaubayev out
65'E. Khvalko
67'M. Rabiu INHenrique out
76'Y. Trufanov INE. Ofori out
80'K. Kalmuratov
81'A. Zuev INR. Senhadji out
83'S. Satanov
87'S. Satanov
87'S. Satanov
90'Y. Tkachenko IND. Orynbasar out
90+6'A. Zhailaubayev INE. Musaev out

Lineups

FK Tobol Kostanay
4-2-3-1Coach: Miroslav Romashchenko
Atyrau
3-4-3Coach: Vladimir Cheburin
Danil Ustimenko44D. UstimenkoDanil Ustimenko
Dauren Zhumat19D. ZhumatDauren Zhumat
Aleksandr Marochkin22A. MarochkinAleksandr Marochkin
Pape Alioune Ndiaye5P. Alioune NdiayePape Alioune Ndiaye
Roman Asrankulov3R. AsrankulovRoman Asrankulov
Aleksander Zuev17A. ZuevAleksander Zuev
Maksim Myakish6M. MyakishMaksim Myakish
Islam Chesnokov10I. ChesnokovIslam Chesnokov
Amine Talal14A. TalalAmine Talal
Luis Guerra30L. GuerraLuis Guerra
Uroš Milovanović18U. MilovanovićUroš Milovanović
Nurasyl Tokhtarov35N. TokhtarovNurasyl Tokhtarov
Egor Tkachenko2E. TkachenkoEgor Tkachenko
Egor Khvalko78E. KhvalkoEgor Khvalko
Sanzhar Satanov5S. SatanovSanzhar Satanov
Mato Stanić8M. StanićMato Stanić
Mario Rabiu4M. RabiuMario Rabiu
Arsen Buranchiev20A. BuranchievArsen Buranchiev
Kuanysh Kalmuratov17K. KalmuratovKuanysh Kalmuratov
Konstantin Dorofeev14K. DorofeevKonstantin Dorofeev
Franjo Prce71F. PrceFranjo Prce
Yan Trufanov18Y. TrufanovYan Trufanov

FK Tobol Kostanay Substitutes

35Yuriy MelikhovG
38Amanzhol BakitzhanovD
25Antonio BoršićD
4Nemanja CavnićD
72Rayan SenhadjiD
34Sultan BakhytkirievM
56Emin MussayevM
8Askhat TagybergenM
50Alibek ZhaylaubaevM
57Azamat ZinadinM

Atyrau Substitutes

1Egor KhatkevichG
23Berik ShaikhovD
25Sayat ZhumagaliD
9Aybar AbdullaM
10Rinat DzhumatovM
99Beibit KereevM
15Ebenezer OforiM
90Đorđe PantelićM
11Asylbek SeitkalyevM
7Henrique DevensF
44Đorđe MaksimovićF
21Dias OrynbasarF

Team Comparison

FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay
AtyrauAtyrau
1557Elo Rating 1416
1.92Attack 0.53
1.59Defense 1.18
56%Hit Rate 19%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+141 Elo

Game State Tendencies

FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
AtyrauAtyrau
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

FK Tobol Kostanay 19%Draw 58%23% Atyrau
2.07Avg Goals
44%BTTS Rate
19%Over 2.5

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1OrdabasyOrdabasy25184348:18+3058WLWWW
2Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty25176251:19+3257LWWWW
3FC AstanaFC Astana24136541:25+1645LWWDW
4OkzhetpesOkzhetpes26136741:35+645WLWWW
5AktobeAktobe26126838:31+742DWWLW
6Yelimay SemeyYelimay Semey25108735:33+238WWLLD
7FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay261041233:35-234LWWLW
8ZhenysZhenys26881026:32-632LWLLW
9UlytauUlytau26881024:32-832DLLWL
10KaspiyKaspiy26851327:36-929WLLWD
11IrtyshIrtysh25681126:34-826WWLWL
12Kyzyl-ZharKyzyl-Zhar26671328:39-1125DLLLD
13KaisarKaisar264121022:33-1124DWLLL
14AtyrauAtyrau24411918:25-723LWLLD
15AltayAltay26581325:38-1323LWWLL
16ZhetysuZhetysu26571426:44-1822LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1OrdabasyOrdabasy2548:1858
2Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty2551:1957
3FC AstanaFC Astana2441:2545
4OkzhetpesOkzhetpes2641:3545
5AktobeAktobe2638:3142
6Yelimay SemeyYelimay Semey2535:3338
7FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay2633:3534
8ZhenysZhenys2626:3232
9UlytauUlytau2624:3232
10KaspiyKaspiy2627:3629
11IrtyshIrtysh2526:3426
12Kyzyl-ZharKyzyl-Zhar2628:3925
13KaisarKaisar2622:3324
14AtyrauAtyrau2418:2523
15AltayAltay2625:3823
16ZhetysuZhetysu2626:4422
Relegation

FK Tobol Kostanay vs Atyrau Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Premier League fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Premier League

ScorePredicts covers Kazakhstan football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

FK Tobol Kostanay and Atyrau have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.07 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.