Forge vs Supra du Quebec Prediction

Forge
3-2
Finished
HT 2-2
Supra du Quebec
Tim Hortons Field 20/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
60%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.61
SignalNEUTRALModel64%SurpriseMediumGap-1.8%
Value Analysis
64%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.61
SignalSOLIDModel46%SurpriseHighGap+8.2%
Forge Rest
4 days
Supra du Quebec Rest
3 days

Forge vs Supra du Quebec: the result in context

Forge beat Supra du Quebec 3-2 in the Canadian Premier League on 20 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
64%1.61
X
19%3.79
2
17%4.63
Double Chance
1X
83%1.16
X2
36%2.12
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.69
No
47%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.93 + 0.9 = 2.83
Over 1.5
76%1.20
Over 2.5
55%1.69
Over 3.5
32%2.71
Under 1.5
24%3.98
Under 2.5
45%2.04
Under 3.5
68%1.40
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

12'I. Conde
22'H. MassundaAssist: T. Borges
29'C. AugusteFoul
30'D. Nimick(Penalty)
39'I. CondeAssist: D. Choiniere
46'T. Borges INA. Sadek out
64'K. Bekker INA. Aromatario out
64'R. Bey INL. A. Kwemi out
65'A. AromatarioFoul
69'N. Ampomah INM. Babouli out
69'I. Oketokoun INB. Wright out
73'L. A. KwemiHandling
75'H. Massunda INK. Tavernier out
77'A. SadekAssist: M. Bourgeois
81'A. Biello INA. Sissoko out
81'T. Lebeuf INA. Makarova out
81'D. Choiniere INC. Bayiha out
90'C. Auguste INZ. Fernandez out
90+1'A. Sadek INZ. Bruno out

Team Comparison

ForgeForge
Supra du QuebecSupra du Quebec
1638Elo Rating 1510
2.62Attack 2.48
2.08Defense 1.50
59%Hit Rate 63%
18.8Shots per Game 17.0
6.7Shots on Target 5.8
6.8Corners per Game 5.5
1.5Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+129 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.83 goals
📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

ForgeForge
  • Leads at half-time in 100% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Supra du QuebecSupra du Quebec
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

ForgeForge2Wins · 100%
Draws00%
Supra du QuebecSupra du Quebec0Wins · 0%
2.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

Canadian Premier League05/07/2026
Supra du QuebecForge
12
Canadian Premier League13/05/2026
ForgeSupra du Quebec
10

Recent Form

ForgeForge
6W2D2L
15/08/2026
Cavalry FCForge
21
L
08/08/2026
ForgeVancouver FC
01
L
03/08/2026
HFX Wanderers FCForge
00
D
26/07/2026
York UnitedForge
13
W
12/07/2026
ForgeSaint-Laurent
21
W
08/07/2026
Saint-LaurentForge
11
D
05/07/2026
Supra du QuebecForge
12
W
01/07/2026
ForgeVancouver FC
32
W
11/06/2026
ForgeHFX Wanderers FC
10
W
07/06/2026
York UnitedForge
14
W
Supra du QuebecSupra du Quebec
3W2D5L

League Table

Canadian Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Cavalry FCCavalry FC28186458:23+3560WWDLL
2ForgeForge28177449:22+2758DWWWD
3Atlético OttawaAtlético Ottawa281341142:45-343LLWWW
4Supra du QuebecSupra du Quebec281151247:50-338WWDWW
5Vancouver FCVancouver FC281071139:37+237LWDDD
6York UnitedYork United28791242:65-2330WLLLW
7HFX Wanderers FCHFX Wanderers FC28771444:50-628LLDDL
8Pacific FCPacific FC28291733:62-2915DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Cavalry FCCavalry FC2858:2360
2ForgeForge2849:2258
3Atlético OttawaAtlético Ottawa2842:4543
4Supra du QuebecSupra du Quebec2847:5038
5Vancouver FCVancouver FC2839:3737
6York UnitedYork United2842:6530
7HFX Wanderers FCHFX Wanderers FC2844:5028
8Pacific FCPacific FC2833:6215

About the Forge vs Supra du Quebec forecast

The forecasts for this Canadian Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Forge and Supra du Quebec in the Canadian Premier League table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Forge are 2nd in the Canadian Premier League, 20 points ahead of Supra du Quebec in 4th. League goal record so far: Forge 49-22, Supra du Quebec 47-50. The full standings are on the Canadian Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Forge have led at half-time in 100% of their recent matches. Supra du Quebec have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Forge and Supra du Quebec have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.0 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.