Fulham vs Chelsea Prediction

Fulham
2-3
Finished
HT 1-2
Chelsea
Craven Cottage, London· John Brooks, England 24/08/2026
FulhamFulham
2-3
Finished
ChelseaChelsea

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
7.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.23
SignalNEUTRALModel43%RiskHighGap-2.7%
Value Analysis
66%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Over 4.5
1.71
SignalGOODModel39%RiskHighGap+11.9%
Fulham Rest
9 days
Chelsea Rest
9 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
35%4.00
X
29%3.75
2
36%1.89
Double Chance
1X
64%1.92
X2
65%1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.67
No
43%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.59 + 1.3 = 2.89
Over 1.5
79%1.23
Over 2.5
57%1.79
Over 3.5
34%2.90
Under 1.5
21%3.90
Under 2.5
43%2.05
Under 3.5
66%1.39
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 4.3 = 10
Over 8.5
63%1.36
Over 9.5
53%1.61
Over 10.5
41%2.00
Under 8.5
37%2.87
Under 9.5
47%2.16
Under 10.5
59%1.73
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.4 = 4.6
Over 3.5
64%1.45
Over 4.5
47%1.93
Under 3.5
36%2.63
Under 4.5
53%1.80

Match Events

1'Joao PedroAssist: C. Palmer
5'L. ColwillTripping
12'R. LaviaRoughing
23'J. KingAssist: T. Castagne
41'M. RogersAssist: M. Lacroix
49'C. PalmerAssist: Joao Pedro
54'G. Garcia
65'R. Lavia INE. Fernandez out
65'J. Hato INP. Chavarria out
67'O. Bobb INS. Charles out
73'C. Palacios INKevin out
73'S. Berge INR. Sessegnon out
75'R. JamesHolding
76'M. Gusto INP. Neto out
76'C. BasseyDiving
82'A. Robinson INRodrigo Muniz out
82'M. Rogers ING. Quenda out
83'C. Palmer INEstevao out
88'T. CastagneTripping

Lineups

Fulham
4-2-3-1Coach: Alvaro Arbeloa
Chelsea
3-4-2-1Coach: Xabi Alonso
Bernd Leno1B. LenoBernd Leno
Timothy Castagne21T. CastagneTimothy Castagne
Calvin Bassey3C. BasseyCalvin Bassey
Jorge Cuenca4J. CuencaJorge Cuenca
Antonee Robinson33A. RobinsonAntonee Robinson
Sander Berge16S. BergeSander Berge
Alex Iwobi17A. IwobiAlex Iwobi
Oscar Bobb14O. BobbOscar Bobb
Joshua King24J. KingJoshua King
César Palacios8C. PalaciosCésar Palacios
Gonzalo García7G. GarcíaGonzalo García
Robert Sánchez1R. SánchezRobert Sánchez
Josh Acheampong34J. AcheampongJosh Acheampong
Maxence Lacroix5M. LacroixMaxence Lacroix
Levi Colwill6L. ColwillLevi Colwill
Malo Gusto27M. GustoMalo Gusto
Reece James24R. JamesReece James
Roméo Lavia45R. LaviaRoméo Lavia
Jorrel Hato21J. HatoJorrel Hato
Cole Palmer10C. PalmerCole Palmer
Morgan Rogers17M. RogersMorgan Rogers
João Pedro9J. PedroJoão Pedro

Fulham Substitutes

19Shea CharlesM
23Benjamin LecomteG
2Kenny TeteD
30Ryan SessegnonM
44Luc De FougerollesD
32Emile Smith RoweM
6Harrison ReedM
11KevinF
9Rodrigo MunizF

Chelsea Substitutes

29Pep ChavarríaD
8Enzo FernándezM
39Mike PendersG
4Valentín BarcoM
41EstêvãoF
11Jamie GittensF
7Pedro NetoF
23Geovany QuendaM
18Danny WelbeckF

Match Stats

FulhamChelsea
61%Ball Possession39%
6Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards3
12Total Shots17
5Shots on Goal6
3Shots off Goal4
7Shots Inside Box12
5Shots Outside Box5
4Blocked Shots7
12Fouls7
0Offsides3
3Goalkeeper Saves3
600Total Passes384
521Passes Accurate315
87%Pass Accuracy82%

Team Comparison

FulhamFulham
ChelseaChelsea
1757Elo Rating 1843
1.24Attack 3.05
1.70Defense 0.89
17%Hit Rate 54%
16.3Shots per Game 15.2
4.2Shots on Target 6.4
7.0Corners per Game 6.2
1.4Cards per Game 1.4

AI Insights

High Goal Expectancy2.89 goals
📈BTTS Trend63% in H2H
🔥Derby Match
📊Away Overperforming
⚠️Away Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

FulhamFulham
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
ChelseaChelsea
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.1 vs 1 in first half)

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Fulham 44%Draw 0%56% Chelsea
2.49Avg Goals
63%BTTS Rate
63%Over 2.5

Recent Form

FulhamFulham
2W2D1L
15/08/2026
FulhamVfB Stuttgart
10
W
12/08/2026
MalagaFulham
22
D
07/08/2026
FulhamCrystal Palace
12
L
01/08/2026
FarenseFulham
12
W
28/07/2026
Al-Ahli JeddahFulham
11
D
ChelseaChelsea
2W1D2L
15/08/2026
ChelseaReal Sociedad
31
W
09/08/2026
Johor Darul Takzim FCChelsea
33
D
08/08/2026
ChelseaAC Milan
30
W
05/08/2026
ChelseaJuventus
01
L
01/08/2026
ChelseaTottenham
12
L

Referee Profile

John Brooks, England · 14 matches analysed

4.2Avg Yellows
4.4Avg Cards
21.8Avg Fouls
Stricter than 58% of referees analysed

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ArsenalArsenal44008:1+712WWWW
2Manchester CityManchester City44008:2+612WWWW
3LeedsLeeds42207:3+48WDDW
4Hull CityHull City42205:2+38DDWW
5BrightonBrighton421113:5+87WDLW
6ChelseaChelsea421110:9+17DLWW
7BrentfordBrentford41307:4+36DDDW
8LiverpoolLiverpool41306:4+26DWDD
9EvertonEverton41305:3+26DDDW
10IpswichIpswich42027:10-36WLLW
11Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest41214:405WDDL
12NewcastleNewcastle41217:8-15LDWD
13Manchester UnitedManchester United41127:704LDWL
14SunderlandSunderland41123:5-24LDWL
15BournemouthBournemouth40316:7-13DDDL
16Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace41036:11-53LWLL
17TottenhamTottenham40220:5-52DDLL
18FulhamFulham40134:7-31DLLL
19Aston VillaAston Villa40131:7-61LDLL
20CoventryCoventry40040:10-100LLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1ArsenalArsenal48:112
2Manchester CityManchester City48:212
3LeedsLeeds47:38
4Hull CityHull City45:28
5BrightonBrighton413:57
6ChelseaChelsea410:97
7BrentfordBrentford47:46
8LiverpoolLiverpool46:46
9EvertonEverton45:36
10IpswichIpswich47:106
11Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest44:45
12NewcastleNewcastle47:85
13Manchester UnitedManchester United47:74
14SunderlandSunderland43:54
15BournemouthBournemouth46:73
16Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace46:113
17TottenhamTottenham40:52
18FulhamFulham44:71
19Aston VillaAston Villa41:71
20CoventryCoventry40:100
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

Fulham vs Chelsea Prediction

This Premier League meeting between Fulham and Chelsea carries extra rivalry weight, and our AI model factors that context in alongside team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history across six independent markets.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Premier League

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Key Factors for This Match

This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.0 out of 10 by our context model. Fulham and Chelsea have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.49 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.