Galway United vs Dundalk Prediction

Galway United
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Dundalk
Eamonn Deacy Park, Galway 12/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
67%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.57
SignalSOLIDModel11%SurpriseHighGap+3.1%
Galway United Rest
14 days
Dundalk Rest
14 days

Galway United vs Dundalk: the result in context

Dundalk beat Galway United 1-0 in the Premier Division on 12 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 7 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them. Dundalk tend to win more corners, 5.2 a game to 2.9 for Galway United.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
39%2.75
X
28%3.50
2
33%2.32
Double Chance
1X
67%1.57
X2
61%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.52
No
47%2.34
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.49 + 1.09 = 2.58
Over 1.5
72%1.19
Over 2.5
47%1.65
Over 3.5
27%2.55
Under 1.5
28%4.24
Under 2.5
53%2.17
Under 3.5
73%1.45
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

21'R. CornwallFoul
51'C. McCormackFoul
53'J. CaulfieldUnsportsmanlike conduct
57'C. KilduffUnsportsmanlike conduct
61'L. Devitt INF. Pierrot out
61'C. McCormack INW. Williams out
61'E. McCarthy INA. Piesold out
62'A. Parker INA. Kazeem out
72'D. Mullen INS. Tracey out
72'D. McDaid INK. Buckley out
80'S. Walsh INN. Fleuriau Chateau out
88'A. KazeemFoul
90+1'T. Wilson
90+4'D. Horgan INH. Groome out

Lineups

Galway United
4-2-3-1Coach: John Caulfield
Dundalk
4-2-3-1Coach: Ciaran Kilduff
Avg rating6.73
Avg rating6.86
Evan Watts7.01E. Watts
Arthur Parker7.22A. Parker
Gianfranco Facchineri6.912G. Facchineri
Killian Brouder7.35K. Brouder
Lee Devitt6.920L. Devitt
Conor McCormack6.322C. McCormack
Aaron Bolger7.08A. Bolger
Jimmy KeohaneC6.94J. Keohane
David Hurley6.910D. Hurley
Edward McCarthy7.324E. McCarthy
Stephen Walsh6.27S. Walsh
Enda Minogue6.21E. Minogue
John Ross Wilson7.331J. Ross Wilson
Robert Cornwall7.324R. Cornwall
Bobby Burns7.33B. Burns
Tyreke Wilson9.322T. Wilson
Aodh Dervin7.96A. Dervin
Ronan Teahan6.911R. Teahan
Declan McDaid6.327D. McDaid
Eoin Kenny6.216E. Kenny
Daryl HorganC6.37D. Horgan
Danny Mullen5.721D. Mullen

Galway United Substitutes

15Wasiri Ola Williams61'for C. McCormack6.2
6Axel Piesold61'for E. McCarthy6.7
23Frantz Pierrot6.2
30Al-Amin Kazeem62'for A. Parker88'6.2
29Nicolas Fleuriau Chateau80'for S. Walsh6.5
16Hugo Cunha
28James Morahan
17Junior Thiam
14Matthew Wolfe

Dundalk Substitutes

17Shane Tracey72'for D. Mullen6.2
18Keith Buckley72'for D. McDaid6.3
13Peter Cherrie
19Sean Spaight
12Luke Mulligan
23Aaron Keogh
8Harry Groome90+4'for D. Horgan
9Gbemi Arubi
29TJ Molloy

Match Stats

Galway UnitedDundalk
42%Ball Possession58%
6Corner Kicks9
2Yellow Cards1
14Total Shots25
2Shots on Goal5
6Shots off Goal11
8Shots Inside Box11
6Shots Outside Box14
6Blocked Shots9
14Fouls11
2Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves2
269Total Passes374
142Passes Accurate264
53%Pass Accuracy71%

Team Comparison

Galway UnitedGalway United
DundalkDundalk
1522Elo Rating 1521
0.72Attack 1.68
1.59Defense 1.32
17%Hit Rate 27%
9.5Shots per Game 18.6
4.0Shots on Target 5.8
2.9Corners per Game 5.2
1.5Cards per Game 1.4

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Galway UnitedGalway United
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
DundalkDundalk
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.1 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

Galway UnitedGalway United4Wins · 57%
Draws229%
DundalkDundalk1Wins · 14%
2.7Avg Goals
43%Both teams scored3 of 7
43%3+ goals3 of 7

Previous meetings

Premier Division17/04/2026
DundalkGalway United
21
Premier Division06/03/2026
Galway UnitedDundalk
22
Premier Division04/10/2024
Galway UnitedDundalk
11
Premier Division02/08/2024
DundalkGalway United
02
Premier Division24/05/2024
Galway UnitedDundalk
20
Premier Division23/02/2024
DundalkGalway United
02
FAI Cup15/09/2023
Galway UnitedDundalk
40

Recent Form

Galway UnitedGalway United
3W4D3L
29/05/2026
ShelbourneGalway United
11
D
22/05/2026
Galway UnitedBohemians
24
L
16/05/2026
Sligo RoversGalway United
14
W
08/05/2026
Galway UnitedShamrock Rovers
13
L
04/05/2026
Derry CityGalway United
11
D
01/05/2026
Galway UnitedSt Patrick's Athl.
22
D
24/04/2026
WaterfordGalway United
11
D
17/04/2026
DundalkGalway United
21
L
06/04/2026
Drogheda UnitedGalway United
23
W
03/04/2026
Galway UnitedDerry City
21
W
DundalkDundalk
4W3D3L
29/05/2026
DundalkDerry City
21
W
22/05/2026
Drogheda UnitedDundalk
11
D
15/05/2026
DundalkShamrock Rovers
10
W
08/05/2026
DundalkBohemians
13
L
04/05/2026
WaterfordDundalk
33
D
01/05/2026
DundalkShelbourne
12
L
25/04/2026
Sligo RoversDundalk
20
L
17/04/2026
DundalkGalway United
21
W
10/04/2026
DundalkDerry City
22
D
06/04/2026
DundalkSt Patrick's Athl.
20
W

League Table

Premier Division 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers36208859:38+2168LWLWW
2BohemiansBohemians36198963:44+1965WLWLW
3St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.361791055:31+2460LDLLW
4ShelbourneShelbourne3612131152:50+249LWWWD
5Derry CityDerry City3611151050:47+348DWWLW
6DundalkDundalk3611121355:59-445WLDLL
7WaterfordWaterford3610131354:61-743WWWLL
8Galway UnitedGalway United3610121446:53-742LDLWD
9Drogheda UnitedDrogheda United3610101644:57-1340WLWLL
10Sligo RoversSligo Rovers365102128:66-3825DLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers3659:3868
2BohemiansBohemians3663:4465
3St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.3655:3160
4ShelbourneShelbourne3652:5049
5Derry CityDerry City3650:4748
6DundalkDundalk3655:5945
7WaterfordWaterford3654:6143
8Galway UnitedGalway United3646:5342
9Drogheda UnitedDrogheda United3644:5740
10Sligo RoversSligo Rovers3628:6625
Relegation

About the Galway United vs Dundalk forecast

The forecasts for this Premier Division match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Galway United and Dundalk in the Premier Division table

Dundalk and Galway United are close in the Premier Division table, 6th and 8th, with 3 points between them. League goal record so far: Galway United 46-53, Dundalk 55-59. The full standings are on the Premier Division Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.