GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Penybont Prediction

Essity Stadium, Flint·I. A. Griffith 03/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.17
SignalHIGHModel55%SurpriseMediumGap-7.7%
GAP Connah S Quay FC Rest
7 days
Penybont Rest
7 days

GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Penybont: the result in context

GAP Connah S Quay FC beat Penybont 1-0 in the Premier League on 3 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Penybont had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 3 for GAP Connah S Quay FC.

Their history points to a close game: 10 previous meetings produced 1.9 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
54%1.78
X
25%3.50
2
21%4.00
Double Chance
1X
79%1.17
X2
46%1.87
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

39'T. Mehew
56'D. Barrow
59'D. Jefferies
61'J. Jones INR. Watson out
64'L. Shephard
72'T. Walker INC. Venables out
72'D. Barrow INE. Cann out
75'J. Hodkin INH. Mehasseb out
75'F. Deane INA. Sharif out
75'M. Woodcock INF. Redshaw out
82'M. Manga
83'E. Vaughan
88'H. Mehasseb
90'I. Murray INC. Partridge out

Team Comparison

GAP Connah S Quay FCGAP Connah S Quay FC
PenybontPenybont
1706Elo Rating 1615
2.57Attack 2.53
2.66Defense 1.73
100%Hit Rate 81%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend30% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

GAP Connah S Quay FCGAP Connah S Quay FC
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.9 in first half)
PenybontPenybont
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

GAP Connah S Quay FCGAP Connah S Quay FC5Wins · 50%
Draws330%
PenybontPenybont2Wins · 20%
1.9Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Premier League21/03/2026
GAP Connah S Quay FCPenybont
21
Premier League14/02/2026
PenybontGAP Connah S Quay FC
00
Premier League08/11/2025
GAP Connah S Quay FCPenybont
40
Premier League30/08/2025
PenybontGAP Connah S Quay FC
01
Premier League04/01/2025
PenybontGAP Connah S Quay FC
10
Premier League15/09/2024
GAP Connah S Quay FCPenybont
01
Premier League13/01/2024
PenybontGAP Connah S Quay FC
01
Premier League30/09/2023
GAP Connah S Quay FCPenybont
42
Premier League15/04/2023
GAP Connah S Quay FCPenybont
00
Premier League11/03/2023
PenybontGAP Connah S Quay FC
11

Recent Form

GAP Connah S Quay FCGAP Connah S Quay FC
8W1D1L
26/09/2026
Barry TownGAP Connah S Quay FC
14
W
18/09/2026
GAP Connah S Quay FCCardiff MET
10
W
15/09/2026
GAP Connah S Quay FCAirbus UK
30
W
12/09/2026
Colwyn BayGAP Connah S Quay FC
21
L
04/09/2026
GAP Connah S Quay FCHaverfordwest County AFC
11
D
31/08/2026
Flint Town UnitedGAP Connah S Quay FC
12
W
28/08/2026
GAP Connah S Quay FCCambrian & Clydach
30
W
22/08/2026
Ammanford AFCGAP Connah S Quay FC
02
W
14/08/2026
GAP Connah S Quay FCTrefelin
60
W
07/08/2026
HolywellGAP Connah S Quay FC
13
W
PenybontPenybont
8W2D0L
26/09/2026
PenybontAirbus UK
21
W
18/09/2026
Ammanford AFCPenybont
15
W
15/09/2026
PenybontBriton Ferry
32
W
11/09/2026
TrefelinPenybont
01
W
05/09/2026
PenybontColwyn Bay
10
W
31/08/2026
Cambrian & ClydachPenybont
22
D
28/08/2026
PenybontFlint Town United
11
D
21/08/2026
PenybontLlandudno
21
W
14/08/2026
Haverfordwest County AFCPenybont
03
W
07/08/2026
Caernarfon TownPenybont
12
W

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1The New SaintsThe New Saints14131053:6+4740WWWWW
2GAP Connah S Quay FCGAP Connah S Quay FC14111232:9+2334WWWWW
3PenybontPenybont1393125:11+1430WLWWW
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon Town1492340:16+2429WWLDW
5Colwyn BayColwyn Bay1482424:17+726DWLWW
6Barry TownBarry Town1381428:23+525LWLLD
7Airbus UKAirbus UK1480628:20+824WWWLW
8Cardiff METCardiff MET1464426:18+822DLWWD
9Cambrian & ClydachCambrian & Clydach1453623:36-1318LLLWL
10LlandudnoLlandudno1451822:25-316LLLLL
11Briton FerryBriton Ferry1433813:25-1212LLWDD
12Flint Town UnitedFlint Town United1432914:25-1111WLWWL
13Haverfordwest County AFCHaverfordwest County AFC133198:19-1110LLLLW
14Ammanford AFCAmmanford AFC1423910:41-319LWWLL
15TrefelinTrefelin1413108:33-256LWLLD
16HolywellHolywell13021114:44-302LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1The New SaintsThe New Saints1453:640
2GAP Connah S Quay FCGAP Connah S Quay FC1432:934
3PenybontPenybont1325:1130
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon Town1440:1629
5Colwyn BayColwyn Bay1424:1726
6Barry TownBarry Town1328:2325
7Airbus UKAirbus UK1428:2024
8Cardiff METCardiff MET1426:1822
9Cambrian & ClydachCambrian & Clydach1423:3618
10LlandudnoLlandudno1422:2516
11Briton FerryBriton Ferry1413:2512
12Flint Town UnitedFlint Town United1414:2511
13Haverfordwest County AFCHaverfordwest County AFC138:1910
14Ammanford AFCAmmanford AFC1410:419
15TrefelinTrefelin148:336
16HolywellHolywell1314:442
Conference LeaguePromotionRelegation

About the GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Penybont forecast

The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

GAP Connah S Quay FC and Penybont in the Premier League table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: GAP Connah S Quay FC are 2nd in the Premier League, 4 points ahead of Penybont in 3rd. League goal record so far: GAP Connah S Quay FC 32-9, Penybont 25-11. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

GAP Connah S Quay FC have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.