Gimnasia M. vs Central Cordoba de Santiago Prediction

Víctor Legrotaglie, Mendoza· Carlos Andres Gariano, Argentina 24/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
72%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.60
SignalGOODModel49%RiskMediumGap+12.7%
Gimnasia M. Rest
80 days
Central Cordoba de Santiago Rest
83 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
55%1.95
X
26%3.10
2
19%4.50
Double Chance
1X
81%1.20
X2
45%1.80
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%2.33
No
51%1.53
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.29 + 0.97 = 2.26
Over 1.5
71%1.60
Over 2.5
37%2.83
Over 3.5
19%5.75
Under 1.5
29%2.31
Under 2.5
63%1.41
Under 3.5
81%1.12
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 4 = 9.6
Over 8.5
58%1.80
Over 9.5
44%2.28
Over 10.5
31%2.95
Under 8.5
42%1.93
Under 9.5
56%1.56
Under 10.5
69%1.32
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 3.3 = 5.7
Over 3.5
80%-
Over 4.5
64%1.51
Under 3.5
20%-
Under 4.5
36%2.32

Match Events

24'Alan Aguerre INJavier Vallejos out
46'Blas Armoa INJulian Ceballos out
64'Esteban Fernández INLuciano Cingolani out
66'Agustín ModicaAssist: Luciano Cingolani
70'Santiago MoyanoFoul
70'Fernando Martínez INAlan Laprida out
70'Santiago Moyano INJosé Goméz out
78'Matías Vera INLucas González out
78'Ezequiel Naya INMartín Cuitiño out
82'Fermin Antonini INNahuel Barboza out
82'Luciano Paredes INValentino Simoni out
83'Agustín Modica INLautaro Carrera out

Lineups

Gimnasia M.
Coach: Ariel Broggi
Central Cordoba de Santiago
Coach: Lucas Pusineri

Gimnasia M. Starting XI

23Cesar RigamontiG
32Luciano ParedesD
2Diego MondinoD
4Ezequiel MuñozD
3Matias RecaldeD
30Esteban FernándezM
21Fermin AntoniniM
26Facundo LencioniM
27Blas ArmoaF
9Agustín ModicaF
17Ignacio SabatiniF

Central Cordoba de Santiago Starting XI

1Alan AguerreG
33Santiago MoyanoD
2Alejandro MacielD
6Facundo MansillaD
3Leonardo MarchiD
20Fernando MartínezM
22Matías VeraM
5Tiago CraveroM
7Diego BarreraM
19Ezequiel NayaF
27Michael SantosF

Gimnasia M. Substitutes

19Julian CeballosM
7Luciano CingolaniF
5Nahuel BarbozaM
35Valentino SimoniF
42Lautaro CarreraM
31Lautaro PetruchiG
41Gerónimo PatrittiM
22Juan FrancoD
15Ulises SánchezM
25Martín ÚbedaD
10Nicolás RomanoF
11Santiago RodríguezF

Central Cordoba de Santiago Substitutes

25Javier VallejosG
13José GomézD
37Alan LapridaF
18Lucas GonzálezM
47Martín CuitiñoF
26Lucas BernabéuD
17Yuri CasermeiroD
55Juan CardozoM
11Horacio TijanovichF
24Agustín RomeroD
9Lucas VaraldoF
29Joaquin FloresF

Match Stats

Gimnasia M.Central Cordoba de Santiago
63%Ball Possession37%
3Corner Kicks3
0Yellow Cards1
22Total Shots8
7Shots on Goal3
9Shots off Goal5
10Shots Inside Box6
12Shots Outside Box2
6Blocked Shots0
6Fouls13
0Offsides5
3Goalkeeper Saves6
517Total Passes297
447Passes Accurate228
86%Pass Accuracy77%

Team Comparison

Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.
Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago
1663Elo Rating 1544
1.96Attack 0.91
1.53Defense 1.30
50%Hit Rate 0%
13.0Shots per Game 17.9
3.9Shots on Target 3.8
4.1Corners per Game 6.8
2.2Cards per Game 1.2

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+119 Elo
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Based on 2 historical meetings

Gimnasia M. 100%Draw 0%0% Central Cordoba de Santiago
1.46Avg Goals
0%BTTS Rate
0%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.
2W1D2L
04/05/2026
Gimnasia M.Defensa Y Justicia
21
W
26/04/2026
Independ. RivadaviaGimnasia M.
51
L
21/04/2026
Gimnasia M.Lanus
10
W
15/04/2026
Gimnasia M.Gimnasia Y Tiro
3040
L
12/04/2026
PlatenseGimnasia M.
11
D
Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago
1W1D3L
02/05/2026
Central Cordoba de SantiagoBoca Juniors
12
L
25/04/2026
LanusCentral Cordoba de Santiago
00
D
20/04/2026
Central Cordoba de SantiagoPlatense
43
W
14/04/2026
Velez SarsfieldCentral Cordoba de Santiago
10
L
06/04/2026
Central Cordoba de SantiagoNewells Old Boys
13
L

Referee Profile

Carlos Andres Gariano, Argentina · 14 matches analysed

4.3Avg Yellows
4.5Avg Cards
22.3Avg Fouls
Stricter than 46% of referees analysed

League Table

Liga Profesional Argentina 2026

Apertura - Group A

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1694319:7+1231LLWWD
2Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1686222:9+1330DWDDD
3Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1677218:12+628DWDWD
4Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1675417:13+426WDLWW
5IndependienteIndependiente1666424:20+424LDWDL
6LanusLanus1666418:15+324WWLDL
7San LorenzoSan Lorenzo1657414:14022DDDWD
8Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1656524:20+421DDWWW
9Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba1663717:17021LLDWW
10Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1647518:21-319WDDDD
11Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1654714:22-819LDDDL
12PlatensePlatense1637610:15-516DDDWD
13Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1644811:21-1016WDLWD
14Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1636715:27-1215DLLLD
15Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra161875:12-711LDDDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1619:731
2Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1622:930
3Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1618:1228
4Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1617:1326
5IndependienteIndependiente1624:2024
6LanusLanus1618:1524
7San LorenzoSan Lorenzo1614:1422
8Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1624:2021
9Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba1617:1721
10Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1618:2119
11Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1614:2219
12PlatensePlatense1610:1516
13Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1611:2116
14Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1615:2715
15Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra165:1211

Clausura - Group A

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba961210:6+419LLDWW
2Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1053213:11+218WDDDD
3Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1052314:9+517LDDDL
4Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield945012:7+517DWDWD
5IndependienteIndependiente1052310:8+217LDWDL
6Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors935112:11+114DWDDD
7LanusLanus941411:8+313WWLDL
8Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys934210:8+213DLLLD
9Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1041517:16+113DDWWW
10San LorenzoSan Lorenzo93244:6-211DDDWD
11Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.93159:9010LLWWD
12Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra102448:10-210LDDDD
13PlatensePlatense92349:14-59DDDWD
14Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba922510:14-48WDLWW
15Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago102267:13-68WDLWD

Gimnasia M. vs Central Cordoba de Santiago Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Liga Profesional Argentina fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

Gimnasia M. have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Gimnasia M. and Central Cordoba de Santiago have met 2 times recently, averaging 1.46 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.