Guabirá vs The Strongest Prediction

Guabirá
3-1
Finished
HT 1-0
The Strongest
Estadio Gilberto Parada, Montero·C. Condori 15/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
68%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.47
SignalGOODModel28%SurpriseHighGap+4.9%
Guabirá Rest
8 days
The Strongest Rest
7 days

Guabirá vs The Strongest: result, form and history

Guabirá beat The Strongest 3-1 in the Primera División on 15 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Guabirá had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for The Strongest.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.2 goals, and both sides scored in 7 of them. Referee C. Condori averages 6.94 cards a game, 0.79 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
42%2.15
X
27%3.42
2
31%2.92
Double Chance
1X
69%1.36
X2
58%1.58
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.50
No
43%2.32
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.52 + 1.36 = 2.88
Over 1.5
76%1.19
Over 2.5
56%1.58
Over 3.5
32%2.49
Under 1.5
24%4.29
Under 2.5
44%2.15
Under 3.5
68%1.47
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

23'L. UrsinoAssist: Pablo Melgar
45+1'D. LomFoul
46'Thiago Ribeiro INA. Moreno out
46'J. Welch INV. Cuellar out
46'J. Cuellar INR. Ribera out
47'R. RiberaAssist: C. Ventura
62'S. Garzon INS. Gil out
62'Pablo Melgar INY. Baigorria out
71'G. Peredo INPedro out
75'J. Barro IND. Fernandez out
75'A. Estacio INK. F. Salvatierra Flores out
75'D. Lom ING. Sotomayor out
80'L. BanegasFoul
85'Pedro(Penalty)
86'A. JusinoFoul
88'J. ArrascaitaUnsportsmanlike conduct
89'V. Abrego(Penalty)
90+2'W. Saucedo INK. Romay out

Lineups

Guabirá
Coach: Leonardo Eguez
The Strongest
Coach: Carlos Paz Garcia Juan

Guabirá Starting XI

1M. Ferrel
16Pablo Melgar62'replaced by Y. Baigorria
2J. Barro75'replaced by D. Fernandez
21M. Portillo
29N. Masskooni
6C. Anez
77Thiago Ribeiro46'replaced by A. Moreno
88L. Ursino23'
7G. Peredo71'replaced by Pedro
11S. Garzon62'replaced by S. Gil
91V. Abrego89'

The Strongest Starting XI

1L. Banegas80'
22W. Saucedo90+2'replaced by K. Romay
5A. Jusino86'
29Y. Portuncho
19C. Roca
6J. Welch46'replaced by V. Cuellar
31J. Cuellar46'replaced by R. Ribera
17A. Estacio75'replaced by K. F. Salvatierra Flores
30J. Arrascaita88'
9C. Ventura
14D. Lom45+1'75'replaced by G. Sotomayor

Guabirá Substitutes

13J. Arauz
97S. Gil62'for S. Garzon
27R. Corrales
19J. Flores
8A. Moreno46'for Thiago Ribeiro
33D. Fernandez75'for J. Barro
22M. Tellez
14J. Parada
40P. Lujan
28Y. Baigorria62'for Pablo Melgar
99Pedro71'for G. Peredo85'
35D. Da Silva

The Strongest Substitutes

12D. Valdivia
4M. Chiatti
3P. Pedraza
10R. Castro
15S. Arce
16V. Cuellar46'for J. Welch
8K. F. Salvatierra Flores75'for A. Estacio
27Saavedra
38J. Lazaro
7K. Romay90+2'for W. Saucedo
26G. Sotomayor75'for D. Lom
36R. Ribera46'for J. Cuellar47'

Team Comparison

GuabiráGuabirá
The StrongestThe Strongest
1429Elo Rating 1559
0.91Attack 1.83
0.78Defense 0.77
14%Hit Rate 37%
13.0Shots per Game 20.4
2.9Shots on Target 7.5
3.5Corners per Game 4.6
2.7Cards per Game 2.8

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.88 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

GuabiráGuabirá
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
The StrongestThe Strongest
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

GuabiráGuabirá4Wins · 40%
Draws110%
The StrongestThe Strongest5Wins · 50%
3.2Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Copa de la División Profesional26/11/2025
GuabiráThe Strongest
4352
Copa de la División Profesional19/11/2025
The StrongestGuabirá
21
Primera División21/09/2025
GuabiráThe Strongest
21
Primera División03/05/2025
The StrongestGuabirá
51
Primera División20/10/2024
GuabiráThe Strongest
10
Primera División24/05/2024
The StrongestGuabirá
32
Primera División08/11/2023
GuabiráThe Strongest
41
Copa de la División Profesional27/10/2023
The StrongestGuabirá
10
Copa de la División Profesional02/07/2023
GuabiráThe Strongest
11
Primera División10/05/2023
The StrongestGuabirá
10

Recent Form

GuabiráGuabirá
5W2D3L
07/08/2026
ABBGuabirá
01
W
05/08/2026
GuabiráReal Tomayapo
30
W
31/07/2026
Universitario de VintoGuabirá
11
D
18/07/2026
BolívarGuabirá
40
L
29/05/2026
San Antonio Bulo BuloGuabirá
12
W
18/05/2026
GuabiráNacional Potosí
21
W
15/05/2026
Oriente PetroleroGuabirá
22
D
09/05/2026
GuabiráGualberto Villarroel SJ
30
W
02/05/2026
AuroraGuabirá
42
L
26/04/2026
GuabiráAlways Ready
12
L
The StrongestThe Strongest
5W4D1L
08/08/2026
The StrongestIndependiente Petrolero
12
L
06/08/2026
Nacional PotosíThe Strongest
23
W
31/07/2026
The StrongestAurora
11
D
26/07/2026
BloomingThe Strongest
11
D
19/07/2026
Gualberto Villarroel SJThe Strongest
00
D
16/07/2026
The StrongestOriente Petrolero
21
W
14/05/2026
Always ReadyThe Strongest
01
W
10/05/2026
The StrongestReal Potosí
00
D
03/05/2026
The StrongestABB
31
W
26/04/2026
Real OruroThe Strongest
23
W

Referee Profile

C. Condori35 matches

6.94Cards per match
6.35Yellow cards per match
0.59Red cards per match
24.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

C. Condori6.94
Other referees6.15

6.94 cards a match, 0.79 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (6.15).

Cards come from 17 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BolívarBolívar25193361:24+3760WWWWW
2Always ReadyAlways Ready25176261:19+4257WWWLW
3The StrongestThe Strongest25146546:29+1748LWLWL
4Oriente PetroleroOriente Petrolero25125842:30+1241WDWDW
5Real PotosíReal Potosí251010532:18+1440DDLWW
6AuroraAurora25812536:32+436DDWLD
7Nacional PotosíNacional Potosí25961037:33+433DDWLD
8GuabiráGuabirá25961040:50-1033WLLDL
9BloomingBlooming25710833:27+631LWLDL
10Real OruroReal Oruro25941241:58-1731WDLWW
11Independiente PetroleroIndependiente Petrolero25861132:42-1030LDWDL
12San Antonio Bulo BuloSan Antonio Bulo Bulo25831428:50-2227LWWLD
13Real TomayapoReal Tomayapo25651419:42-2323WLLWD
14Universitario de VintoUniversitario de Vinto25641532:49-1722DLLWL
15Gualberto Villarroel SJGualberto Villarroel SJ25481330:47-1720LLWLW
16ABBABB25621737:57-2020LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1BolívarBolívar2561:2460
2Always ReadyAlways Ready2561:1957
3The StrongestThe Strongest2546:2948
4Oriente PetroleroOriente Petrolero2542:3041
5Real PotosíReal Potosí2532:1840
6AuroraAurora2536:3236
7Nacional PotosíNacional Potosí2537:3333
8GuabiráGuabirá2540:5033
9BloomingBlooming2533:2731
10Real OruroReal Oruro2541:5831
11Independiente PetroleroIndependiente Petrolero2532:4230
12San Antonio Bulo BuloSan Antonio Bulo Bulo2528:5027
13Real TomayapoReal Tomayapo2519:4223
14Universitario de VintoUniversitario de Vinto2532:4922
15Gualberto Villarroel SJGualberto Villarroel SJ2530:4720
16ABBABB2537:5720

About the Guabirá vs The Strongest forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Guabirá and The Strongest in the Primera División table

In the Primera División table, The Strongest are 3rd and Guabirá 8th, 15 points apart. League goal record so far: Guabirá 40-50, The Strongest 46-29. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.