Guayaquil City FC vs Mushuc Runa SC Prediction

12/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.39
SignalNEUTRALModel39%RiskMediumGap-3.3%
Value Analysis
72%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.39
SignalGOODModel72%RiskMediumGap+3.8%
Guayaquil City FC Rest
4 days
Mushuc Runa SC Rest
4 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
39%2.50
X
32%3.00
2
29%2.72
Double Chance
1X
71%1.39
X2
61%1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.89
No
44%1.77
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.49 + 1.23 = 2.72
Over 1.5
74%1.40
Over 2.5
52%2.28
Over 3.5
31%4.14
Under 1.5
26%2.69
Under 2.5
48%1.59
Under 3.5
69%1.20
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

23'Edinson MeroAssist: R. Arias
34'Ronny BiojóFoul
36'Jeremy CusmeFoul
38'Alex IbarraFoul
45+6'Alex Ibarra INNazareno Bazán out
45+11'R. AriasFoul
45'Freddy Mina INElian Caicedo out
51'Edinson MeroAssist: Junior Ayovi
55'Miguel PereaAssist: Arnaldo Zambrano
57'P. González INPablo Mancilla out
57'R. Arias INErick Patricio Ladines Calvache out
57'Edinson Mero INMiller Bolaños out
65'Arnaldo Zambrano INBryan Corozo out
65'Joshue·Quinonez INEsnaider Cabezas out
68'Nazareno BazánViolent conduct
70'Diego DorregarayFoul
73'Pablo MancillaFoul
76'S Laurino INKevin Sambonino out
83'Cristopher Angulo INKevin Peralta out
83'José Hernández INJefferson Caicedo out
84'Diego DorregarayAssist: Dixon Arroyo

Lineups

Guayaquil City FC
4-4-2Coach: P. Gavilánez
Mushuc Runa SC
4-4-2Coach: P. Vélez
J. Pinos30J. PinosJ. Pinos
J. Ayovi17J. AyoviJ. Ayovi
Y. Rodríguez3Y. RodríguezY. Rodríguez
J. Quiñónez29J. QuiñónezJ. Quiñónez
R. Arias6R. AriasR. Arias
P. González80P. GonzálezP. González
D. Arroyo14D. ArroyoD. Arroyo
S. Laurino20S. LaurinoS. Laurino
A. Naula19A. NaulaA. Naula
D. Dorregaray21D. DorregarayD. Dorregaray
E. Mero11E. MeroE. Mero
R. Formento25R. FormentoR. Formento
Cristopher Adonis Angulo Caicedo99C. Adonis Angulo CaicedoCristopher Adonis Angulo Caicedo
Ronny Alfonso Biojo Preciado4R. Alfonso Biojo PreciadoRonny Alfonso Biojo Preciado
J. Cusme50J. CusmeJ. Cusme
M. Hernández33M. HernándezM. Hernández
F. Mina10F. MinaF. Mina
Esteban Nicolás Dávila Alarcón5E. Nicolás Dávila AlarcónEsteban Nicolás Dávila Alarcón
A. Zambrano8A. ZambranoA. Zambrano
M. Perea28M. PereaM. Perea
Alex Renato Ibarra Mina30A. Renato Ibarra MinaAlex Renato Ibarra Mina
T. Minda7T. MindaT. Minda

Guayaquil City FC Substitutes

51E. CabezasD
33R. CaicedoD
7J. CaicedoF
4E. LadinesD
70P. MancillaD
1G. NapaG
16J. OrdóñezM
9M. PalmaF
12Rodrigo Ramiro Perea SalazarG
15K. SamboninoM
23M. BolañosF

Mushuc Runa SC Substitutes

11N. BazánF
61J. CaicedoF
14E. CaicedoF
12F. CarabalíD
19B. CorozoM
18J. GonzalezM
52D. MerinoM
23L. LemosM
42W. PabónG
26K. PeraltaD
37J. QuiñonesD
58Anthony Renatho Chila CobeñaF

Match Stats

Guayaquil City FCMushuc Runa SC
59%Ball Possession41%
4Corner Kicks4
3Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards1
8Total Shots16
6Shots on Goal3
2Shots off Goal8
7Shots Inside Box4
1Shots Outside Box12
0Blocked Shots5
10Fouls12
3Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves3
500Total Passes304
421Passes Accurate233
11Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC
Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC
1543Elo Rating 1500
2.25Attack 0.66
1.17Defense 1.96
58%Hit Rate 17%
8.4Shots per Game 11.3
4.0Shots on Target 2.9
2.9Corners per Game 5.4
2.1Cards per Game 2.1

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend81% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.9 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Guayaquil City FC 54%Draw 27%19% Mushuc Runa SC
4.11Avg Goals
81%BTTS Rate
100%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC
2W1D2L
08/09/2026
Orense SCGuayaquil City FC
43
L
02/09/2026
Deportivo CuencaGuayaquil City FC
10
L
29/08/2026
Guayaquil City FCLDU de Quito
21
W
22/08/2026
Tecnico UniversitarioGuayaquil City FC
23
W
15/08/2026
Guayaquil City FCLibertad
22
D
Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC
1W4D0L
08/09/2026
Mushuc Runa SCLeones del Norte
11
D
02/09/2026
LDU de QuitoMushuc Runa SC
00
D
28/08/2026
Mushuc Runa SCDelfin SC
10
W
22/08/2026
Deportivo CuencaMushuc Runa SC
00
D
16/08/2026
Mushuc Runa SCBarcelona SC
00
D

League Table

Liga Pro 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle30242473:33+4074WWLDW
2Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica30149751:27+2451WWDDW
3MacaraMacara30156941:33+851WLWWL
4AucasAucas30148833:28+550DDDWW
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito301371031:24+746DWDLW
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC301111832:25+744DDWLW
7LibertadLibertad301181133:34-141LWDLW
8Leones del NorteLeones del Norte301091131:32-139LDWLL
9Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC301091133:36-339WLLWW
10Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC309111035:38-338LDDWD
11EmelecEmelec301091125:34-936LWDWL
12Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca301061425:37-1236DLWLD
13Orense SCOrense SC30961536:47-1133LWLLL
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario301021828:42-1432WLLWL
15Delfin SCDelfin SC30771619:31-1228DLWLL
16Manta FCManta FC30561917:42-2521DLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle3073:3374
2Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica3051:2751
3MacaraMacara3041:3351
4AucasAucas3033:2850
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito3031:2446
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC3032:2544
7LibertadLibertad3033:3441
8Leones del NorteLeones del Norte3031:3239
9Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC3033:3639
10Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC3035:3838
11EmelecEmelec3025:3436
12Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca3025:3736
13Orense SCOrense SC3036:4733
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario3028:4232
15Delfin SCDelfin SC3019:3128
16Manta FCManta FC3017:4221
Relegation

Guayaquil City FC vs Mushuc Runa SC Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Liga Pro fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Liga Pro

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Key Factors for This Match

Guayaquil City FC and Mushuc Runa SC have met 5 times recently, averaging 4.11 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.