Hammarby FF vs IF Elfsborg Prediction

Hammarby FF
4-1
Finished
HT 1-0
IF Elfsborg
3Arena, Stockholm·Kristoffer Karlsson 06/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.32
SignalGOODModel74%SurpriseMediumGap-4.1%
Value Analysis
77%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.32
SignalHIGHModel77%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
Hammarby FF Rest
5 days
IF Elfsborg Rest
5 days

Hammarby FF vs IF Elfsborg: the result in context

Hammarby FF beat IF Elfsborg 4-1 in the Allsvenskan on 6 Nov 2026. It was in line with recent form: Hammarby FF had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for IF Elfsborg.

Hammarby FF have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.1 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
68%1.32
X
19%5.19
2
13%7.93
Double Chance
1X
86%1.07
X2
32%3.27
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.78
No
46%1.93
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.63 + 1.16 = 2.79
Over 1.5
82%1.13
Over 2.5
60%1.50
Over 3.5
38%2.25
Under 1.5
18%5.25
Under 2.5
40%2.50
Under 3.5
62%1.59
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.1 + 4.3 = 10.3
Over 8.5
68%1.28
Over 9.5
57%1.52
Over 10.5
46%1.93
Under 8.5
32%3.20
Under 9.5
43%2.37
Under 10.5
54%1.85
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.4 + 2.1 = 3.5
Over 3.5
46%-
Over 4.5
27%-
Under 3.5
54%-
Under 4.5
73%-

Match Events

22'Julius MagnussonFoul
39'Paulos AbrahamAssist: Frank Junior Adjei
45'Niklas Hult INOssian nordvall out
58'Paulos AbrahamAssist: Warner Hahn
60'Marcus Rohdén INAri Sigurpalsson out
65'Thomas IsherwoodOG
76'Montader MadjedAssist: Paulos Abraham
79'Simon Olsson INArbër Zeneli out
79'Momoh Ibrahim Kamara INSimon Hedlund out
80'Victor Lind INOscar Johansson out
80'Montader Madjed INNahir Besara out
80'Paulos Abraham INOscar Steinke Brånby out
81'Leo Hakan OstmanAssist: Arbër Zeneli
88'Sebastian Holmen INJonathan Esenga out

Lineups

Hammarby FF
4-3-3Coach: H. Rydström
IF Elfsborg
5-4-1Coach: Björn Hamberg
Avg rating7.18
Avg rating6.05
W. Hahn6.91W. Hahn
E. Skoglund7.12E. Skoglund
I. Fofana7.16I. Fofana
F. Winther7.43F. Winther
N. Persson6.216N. Persson
F. Adjei7.728F. Adjei
T. Tekie7.15T. Tekie
M. Karlsson7.08M. Karlsson
M. Madjed8.226M. Madjed
P. Abraham9.67P. Abraham
V. Lind6.89V. Lind
T. Sander5.612T. Sander
A. Jensen5.716A. Jensen
S. Holmén6.38S. Holmén
J. Magnússon6.218J. Magnússon
T. Isherwood5.44T. Isherwood
N. Hult5.523N. Hult
M. Rohdén5.97M. Rohdén
J. Beck6.419J. Beck
S. Olsson6.010S. Olsson
M. Kamara6.329M. Kamara
L. Östman7.721L. Östman

Hammarby FF Substitutes

20N. Besara80'for Montader Madjed6.5
4V. Eriksson
27F. Jakobsson
34Filip Jakobsson
11O. Johansson80'for Victor Lind6.5
30S. Kebbeh
42O. Moczarny
31O. Steinke Branby80'for Paulos Abraham6.6
24W. Renecke

IF Elfsborg Substitutes

22D. Krasniqi
5O. Nordvall45'for Niklas Hult5.9
27Oladimeji Oluwatimilehin Abdulmuiz
31I. Pettersson
25A. Sigurpálsson60'for Marcus Rohdén6.4
9A. Zeneli79'for Simon Olsson6.1
15S. Hedlund79'for Momoh Ibrahim Kamara5.8
3J. Esenga88'for Sebastian Holmen5.7
20K. Berndtsson

Match Stats

Hammarby FFIF Elfsborg
63%Ball Possession37%
4Corner Kicks2
0Yellow Cards2
17Total Shots8
6Shots on Goal2
4Shots off Goal3
12Shots Inside Box6
5Shots Outside Box2
7Blocked Shots3
10Fouls8
1Offsides2
0Goalkeeper Saves3
719Total Passes414
655Passes Accurate351
8Free Kicks10

Team Comparison

Hammarby FFHammarby FF
IF ElfsborgIF Elfsborg
1845Elo Rating 1722
2.40Attack 1.40
2.50Defense 1.02
100%Hit Rate 23%
18.3Shots per Game 13.4
5.1Shots on Target 3.8
7.0Corners per Game 7.7
1.5Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+124 Elo
📈BTTS Trend20% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Hammarby FFHammarby FF
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.9 vs 0.5 in first half)
IF ElfsborgIF Elfsborg
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Hammarby FFHammarby FF7Wins · 70%
Draws110%
IF ElfsborgIF Elfsborg2Wins · 20%
2.1Avg Goals
20%Both teams scored2 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Allsvenskan05/07/2026
IF ElfsborgHammarby FF
12
Allsvenskan09/11/2025
Hammarby FFIF Elfsborg
30
Allsvenskan31/05/2025
IF ElfsborgHammarby FF
02
Allsvenskan22/09/2024
IF ElfsborgHammarby FF
00
Allsvenskan15/04/2024
Hammarby FFIF Elfsborg
30
Allsvenskan13/08/2023
Hammarby FFIF Elfsborg
10
Allsvenskan03/07/2023
IF ElfsborgHammarby FF
20
Allsvenskan23/10/2022
IF ElfsborgHammarby FF
21
Allsvenskan17/07/2022
Hammarby FFIF Elfsborg
30
Svenska Cupen19/03/2022
Hammarby FFIF Elfsborg
10

Referee Profile

Kristoffer Karlsson164 matches

4.07Cards per match
3.93Yellow cards per match
0.15Red cards per match
25.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Kristoffer Karlsson4.07
Other referees3.65

4.07 cards a match, 0.42 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.65).

Cards come from 137 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Allsvenskan 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Hammarby FFHammarby FF28184660:23+3758WWWWW
2SiriusSirius28184658:35+2358LWLLD
3Djurgardens IFDjurgardens IF28164856:27+2952LWDDW
4BK HackenBK Hacken281310550:33+1749LWDWW
5IF ElfsborgIF Elfsborg281210642:31+1146LWDDD
6Vasteras SK FKVasteras SK FK28136940:38+245DWWLW
7Malmo FFMalmo FF281251142:36+641DLWDL
8AIK StockholmAIK Stockholm28118946:49-341WLDWD
9GaisGais281171036:28+840WWWDL
10IFK GoteborgIFK Goteborg28109936:46-1039DLDDD
11IF BrommapojkarnaIF Brommapojkarna28981139:44-535DLDWL
12Mjallby AIFMjallby AIF286101230:43-1328DDWLL
13Kalmar FFKalmar FF28751624:42-1826WDLLW
14Degerfors IFDegerfors IF28551823:48-2520LLLLL
15Orgryte ISOrgryte IS28481633:60-2720DLLDW
16HalmstadHalmstad28551820:52-3220WLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Hammarby FFHammarby FF2860:2358
2SiriusSirius2858:3558
3Djurgardens IFDjurgardens IF2856:2752
4BK HackenBK Hacken2850:3349
5IF ElfsborgIF Elfsborg2842:3146
6Vasteras SK FKVasteras SK FK2840:3845
7Malmo FFMalmo FF2842:3641
8AIK StockholmAIK Stockholm2846:4941
9GaisGais2836:2840
10IFK GoteborgIFK Goteborg2836:4639
11IF BrommapojkarnaIF Brommapojkarna2839:4435
12Mjallby AIFMjallby AIF2830:4328
13Kalmar FFKalmar FF2824:4226
14Degerfors IFDegerfors IF2823:4820
15Orgryte ISOrgryte IS2833:6020
16HalmstadHalmstad2820:5220
Relegation

About the Hammarby FF vs IF Elfsborg forecast

The forecasts for this Allsvenskan match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Hammarby FF and IF Elfsborg in the Allsvenskan table

In the Allsvenskan table, Hammarby FF are 1st and IF Elfsborg 5th, 12 points apart. League goal record so far: Hammarby FF 60-23, IF Elfsborg 42-31. The full standings are on the Allsvenskan Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.