Hamrun Spartans vs Balzan FC Prediction

Hamrun Spartans
1-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Balzan FC
Centenary Stadium 21/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.19
SignalSTRONGModel61%SurpriseMediumGap-2.5%
Hamrun Spartans Rest
3 days
Balzan FC Rest
4 days

Hamrun Spartans vs Balzan FC: the result in context

Hamrun Spartans and Balzan FC drew 1-1 in the Premier League on 21 Oct 2026. Hamrun Spartans had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for Balzan FC.

Hamrun Spartans have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.7 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
56%1.73
X
24%3.50
2
20%4.15
Double Chance
1X
80%1.19
X2
44%1.95
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

11'Gabriel Santos
28'L. Villela
43'N. Ignjatovic
48'M. Djalo
57'M. Trotta IND. Ceter out
61'Rafael Compri
64'S. Arab INRosiel out
64'Gabriel Santos INZ. Grech out
68'L. Villela
72'M. Yahaya
76'O. Bjelicic INA. Coric out
80'S. Cipriott INN. Pulis out
90+2'
90+4'

Team Comparison

Hamrun SpartansHamrun Spartans
Balzan FCBalzan FC
1604Elo Rating 1570
2.06Attack 0.98
1.72Defense 1.80
31%Hit Rate 0%

Game State Tendencies

Hamrun SpartansHamrun Spartans
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
Balzan FCBalzan FC
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.3 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Hamrun SpartansHamrun Spartans6Wins · 60%
Draws330%
Balzan FCBalzan FC1Wins · 10%
2.7Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Premier League22/02/2025
Hamrun SpartansBalzan FC
10
Premier League21/09/2024
Balzan FCHamrun Spartans
11
Premier League27/01/2024
Balzan FCHamrun Spartans
17
Premier League16/09/2023
Hamrun SpartansBalzan FC
10
Premier League01/04/2023
Balzan FCHamrun Spartans
04
Premier League06/11/2022
Hamrun SpartansBalzan FC
10
FA Trophy15/03/2022
Balzan FCHamrun Spartans
1010
Premier League22/01/2022
Balzan FCHamrun Spartans
22
Premier League19/09/2021
Hamrun SpartansBalzan FC
01
Premier League21/02/2021
Hamrun SpartansBalzan FC
32

Recent Form

Hamrun SpartansHamrun Spartans
3W4D3L
18/10/2026
Gzira UnitedHamrun Spartans
22
D
11/10/2026
Hamrun SpartansHibernians
22
D
18/09/2026
Hamrun SpartansMarsaxlokk
41
W
11/09/2026
BirzebbugaHamrun Spartans
02
W
06/09/2026
Zabbar St. PatrickHamrun Spartans
12
W
29/08/2026
Hamrun SpartansFloriana
11
D
22/08/2026
BirkirkaraHamrun Spartans
10
L
17/08/2026
Hamrun SpartansMosta
02
L
16/07/2026
Hamrun SpartansNSI Runavik
12
L
09/07/2026
NSI RunavikHamrun Spartans
11
D
Balzan FCBalzan FC
3W5D2L
17/10/2026
Balzan FCZabbar St. Patrick
12
L
11/10/2026
FlorianaBalzan FC
11
D
20/09/2026
Balzan FCSliema Wanderers
00
D
13/09/2026
Valletta FCBalzan FC
22
D
05/09/2026
Balzan FCBirzebbuga
30
W
29/08/2026
Balzan FCGzira United
21
W
23/08/2026
MostaBalzan FC
21
L
14/08/2026
Balzan FCMarsaxlokk
11
D
19/04/2026
Balzan FCMelita
20
W
12/04/2026
Balzan FCBirzebbuga
33
D

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Valletta FCValletta FC1071222:9+1322LWWWW
2MarsaxlokkMarsaxlokk1052316:14+217LLWWL
3Sliema WanderersSliema Wanderers1052314:13+117WWLDD
4FlorianaFloriana1044222:14+816LDDDW
5Hamrun SpartansHamrun Spartans1044216:12+416WDDDW
6BirkirkaraBirkirkara1042412:9+314WDLLW
7MostaMosta1035215:15014DLDDD
8HiberniansHibernians1034311:14-313DWWDL
9Balzan FCBalzan FC1025312:12011LDLDD
10Zabbar St. PatrickZabbar St. Patrick1032512:16-411WLWLL
11Gzira UnitedGzira United100559:21-125DLDDD
12BirzebbugaBirzebbuga101277:19-125DWLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Valletta FCValletta FC1022:922
2MarsaxlokkMarsaxlokk1016:1417
3Sliema WanderersSliema Wanderers1014:1317
4FlorianaFloriana1022:1416
5Hamrun SpartansHamrun Spartans1016:1216
6BirkirkaraBirkirkara1012:914
7MostaMosta1015:1514
8HiberniansHibernians1011:1413
9Balzan FCBalzan FC1012:1211
10Zabbar St. PatrickZabbar St. Patrick1012:1611
11Gzira UnitedGzira United109:215
12BirzebbugaBirzebbuga107:195
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About the Hamrun Spartans vs Balzan FC forecast

The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Hamrun Spartans and Balzan FC in the Premier League table

In the Premier League table, Hamrun Spartans are 5th and Balzan FC 9th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Hamrun Spartans 16-12, Balzan FC 12-12. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.