Hamrun Spartans vs Hibernians Prediction

Hamrun Spartans
2-2
Finished
HT 1-1
Hibernians
Tony Bezzina Stadium, Paola 11/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
66%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.55
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap+1.7%
Hamrun Spartans Rest
22 days
Hibernians Rest
20 days

Hamrun Spartans vs Hibernians: the result in context

Hamrun Spartans and Hibernians drew 2-2 in the Premier League on 11 Oct 2026. Hamrun Spartans had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against none for Hibernians.

Hamrun Spartans have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.2 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
63%1.55
X
22%3.92
2
15%5.05
Double Chance
1X
85%1.12
X2
36%2.24
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

16'J. Grech
44'M. Romling
46'M. Guillaumier ING. Virano out
61'M. Trotta
69'M. El Fanis
69'M. Trotta
70'D. Xuereb INI. Chukunyere out
70'J. Wahling INF. Jankovic out
71'Rafael Compri INJ. Ipalibo out
75'A. Coric INS. Attard out
81'M. Trotta IND. Ceter out
81'Emerson IND. Letherby out
81'A. Sobczyk INB. Druga out
83'M. El Fanis INMatos out
90+2'L. Villela
90+4'
90+5'
90+5'

Team Comparison

Hamrun SpartansHamrun Spartans
HiberniansHibernians
1604Elo Rating 1481
2.06Attack 1.30
1.72Defense 1.54
31%Hit Rate 50%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+123 Elo
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Hamrun SpartansHamrun Spartans
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
HiberniansHibernians
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Hamrun SpartansHamrun Spartans6Wins · 60%
Draws220%
HiberniansHibernians2Wins · 20%
2.2Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Premier League18/02/2026
HiberniansHamrun Spartans
01
Super Cup10/02/2026
Hamrun SpartansHibernians
1121
Premier League27/09/2025
Hamrun SpartansHibernians
20
FA Trophy14/05/2025
Hamrun SpartansHibernians
12
Premier League19/01/2025
HiberniansHamrun Spartans
12
Premier League21/12/2024
HiberniansHamrun Spartans
03
Premier League02/10/2024
Hamrun SpartansHibernians
02
Premier League04/05/2024
Hamrun SpartansHibernians
11
Premier League20/01/2024
HiberniansHamrun Spartans
12
Premier League08/01/2023
Hamrun SpartansHibernians
10

Recent Form

Hamrun SpartansHamrun Spartans
4W2D4L
18/09/2026
Hamrun SpartansMarsaxlokk
41
W
11/09/2026
BirzebbugaHamrun Spartans
02
W
06/09/2026
Zabbar St. PatrickHamrun Spartans
12
W
29/08/2026
Hamrun SpartansFloriana
11
D
22/08/2026
BirkirkaraHamrun Spartans
10
L
17/08/2026
Hamrun SpartansMosta
02
L
16/07/2026
Hamrun SpartansNSI Runavik
12
L
09/07/2026
NSI RunavikHamrun Spartans
11
D
15/05/2026
Valletta FCHamrun Spartans
02
W
09/05/2026
MarsaxlokkHamrun Spartans
2111
L
HiberniansHibernians
2W3D5L
20/09/2026
HiberniansFloriana
04
L
12/09/2026
BirkirkaraHibernians
11
D
02/09/2026
HiberniansValletta FC
02
L
28/08/2026
HiberniansZabbar St. Patrick
11
D
21/08/2026
MarsaxlokkHibernians
10
L
16/08/2026
Sliema WanderersHibernians
02
W
30/04/2026
Zabbar St. PatrickHibernians
30
L
24/04/2026
HiberniansMosta
20
W
18/04/2026
HiberniansBirkirkara
00
D
14/04/2026
Tarxien RainbowsHibernians
32
L

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Valletta FCValletta FC1071222:9+1322LWWWW
2MarsaxlokkMarsaxlokk1052316:14+217LLWWL
3Sliema WanderersSliema Wanderers1052314:13+117WWLDD
4FlorianaFloriana1044222:14+816LDDDW
5Hamrun SpartansHamrun Spartans1044216:12+416WDDDW
6BirkirkaraBirkirkara1042412:9+314WDLLW
7MostaMosta1035215:15014DLDDD
8HiberniansHibernians1034311:14-313DWWDL
9Balzan FCBalzan FC1025312:12011LDLDD
10Zabbar St. PatrickZabbar St. Patrick1032512:16-411WLWLL
11Gzira UnitedGzira United100559:21-125DLDDD
12BirzebbugaBirzebbuga101277:19-125DWLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Valletta FCValletta FC1022:922
2MarsaxlokkMarsaxlokk1016:1417
3Sliema WanderersSliema Wanderers1014:1317
4FlorianaFloriana1022:1416
5Hamrun SpartansHamrun Spartans1016:1216
6BirkirkaraBirkirkara1012:914
7MostaMosta1015:1514
8HiberniansHibernians1011:1413
9Balzan FCBalzan FC1012:1211
10Zabbar St. PatrickZabbar St. Patrick1012:1611
11Gzira UnitedGzira United109:215
12BirzebbugaBirzebbuga107:195
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About the Hamrun Spartans vs Hibernians forecast

The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Hamrun Spartans and Hibernians in the Premier League table

In the Premier League table, Hamrun Spartans are 5th and Hibernians 8th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Hamrun Spartans 16-12, Hibernians 11-14. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.