Marsaxlokk vs Zabbar St. Patrick Prediction

10/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.17
SignalSTRONGModel62%SurpriseMediumGap-3.0%
Marsaxlokk Rest
21 days
Zabbar St. Patrick Rest
22 days

Marsaxlokk vs Zabbar St. Patrick: the result in context

Marsaxlokk beat Zabbar St. Patrick 2-1 in the Premier League on 10 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Marsaxlokk had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Zabbar St. Patrick.

Marsaxlokk have had the better of this fixture, winning 4 of the 5 previous meetings, which averaged 3.2 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
58%1.70
X
25%3.58
2
17%4.32
Double Chance
1X
83%1.17
X2
42%1.96
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

18'Z. Leonardi
23'J. Minala(Penalty)
36'Dodo
46'P. F. Gouhon INC. M'Mombwa out
46'M. Jovicic INA. Agyeman out
55'T. Melillo INJ. Micallef out
56'N. Muscat
63'Vinicius Kanu INM. Fontanella out
69'N. Lancioni INN. Agius out
70'M. Garcia INR. Mihana out
70'R. Linden INS. Smajlagic out
77'J. Micallef
88'M. Fontanella

Team Comparison

MarsaxlokkMarsaxlokk
Zabbar St. PatrickZabbar St. Patrick
1547Elo Rating 1456
1.13Attack 1.19
1.27Defense 1.24
36%Hit Rate 23%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

MarsaxlokkMarsaxlokk
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Zabbar St. PatrickZabbar St. Patrick
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

MarsaxlokkMarsaxlokk4Wins · 80%
Draws120%
Zabbar St. PatrickZabbar St. Patrick0Wins · 0%
3.2Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored4 of 5
80%3+ goals4 of 5

Previous meetings

Premier League07/02/2026
Zabbar St. PatrickMarsaxlokk
12
Premier League29/10/2025
MarsaxlokkZabbar St. Patrick
10
Premier League19/01/2025
MarsaxlokkZabbar St. Patrick
31
Premier League22/12/2024
MarsaxlokkZabbar St. Patrick
22
Premier League02/10/2024
Zabbar St. PatrickMarsaxlokk
13

Recent Form

MarsaxlokkMarsaxlokk
4W2D4L
18/09/2026
Hamrun SpartansMarsaxlokk
41
L
12/09/2026
FlorianaMarsaxlokk
25
W
05/09/2026
MarsaxlokkMosta
11
D
28/08/2026
Valletta FCMarsaxlokk
12
W
21/08/2026
MarsaxlokkHibernians
10
W
14/08/2026
Balzan FCMarsaxlokk
11
D
16/07/2026
Pyunik YerevanMarsaxlokk
10
L
09/07/2026
MarsaxlokkPyunik Yerevan
03
L
16/05/2026
FlorianaMarsaxlokk
21
L
09/05/2026
MarsaxlokkHamrun Spartans
2111
W
Zabbar St. PatrickZabbar St. Patrick
3W3D4L
18/09/2026
Zabbar St. PatrickBirkirkara
02
L
14/09/2026
Gzira UnitedZabbar St. Patrick
00
D
06/09/2026
Zabbar St. PatrickHamrun Spartans
12
L
28/08/2026
HiberniansZabbar St. Patrick
11
D
22/08/2026
Zabbar St. PatrickBirzebbuga
10
W
16/08/2026
Valletta FCZabbar St. Patrick
42
L
10/05/2026
Zabbar St. PatrickTarxien Rainbows
2000
W
05/05/2026
Zabbar St. PatrickTarxien Rainbows
2131
L
30/04/2026
Zabbar St. PatrickHibernians
30
W
26/04/2026
Zabbar St. PatrickSliema Wanderers
11
D

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Valletta FCValletta FC1071222:9+1322LWWWW
2MarsaxlokkMarsaxlokk1052316:14+217LLWWL
3Sliema WanderersSliema Wanderers1052314:13+117WWLDD
4FlorianaFloriana1044222:14+816LDDDW
5Hamrun SpartansHamrun Spartans1044216:12+416WDDDW
6BirkirkaraBirkirkara1042412:9+314WDLLW
7MostaMosta1035215:15014DLDDD
8HiberniansHibernians1034311:14-313DWWDL
9Balzan FCBalzan FC1025312:12011LDLDD
10Zabbar St. PatrickZabbar St. Patrick1032512:16-411WLWLL
11Gzira UnitedGzira United100559:21-125DLDDD
12BirzebbugaBirzebbuga101277:19-125DWLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Valletta FCValletta FC1022:922
2MarsaxlokkMarsaxlokk1016:1417
3Sliema WanderersSliema Wanderers1014:1317
4FlorianaFloriana1022:1416
5Hamrun SpartansHamrun Spartans1016:1216
6BirkirkaraBirkirkara1012:914
7MostaMosta1015:1514
8HiberniansHibernians1011:1413
9Balzan FCBalzan FC1012:1211
10Zabbar St. PatrickZabbar St. Patrick1012:1611
11Gzira UnitedGzira United109:215
12BirzebbugaBirzebbuga107:195
Promotion

About the Marsaxlokk vs Zabbar St. Patrick forecast

The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Marsaxlokk and Zabbar St. Patrick in the Premier League table

The table shows a wide gap: Marsaxlokk are 2nd in the Premier League, while Zabbar St. Patrick sit 10th, 6 points behind. League goal record so far: Marsaxlokk 16-14, Zabbar St. Patrick 12-16. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.