Helmond Sport vs De Graafschap Prediction

GS Staalwerken Stadion, Helmond·W. Wiersma 09/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
74%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.51
SignalHIGHModel33%SurpriseHighGap+12.2%
Helmond Sport Rest
7 days
De Graafschap Rest
8 days

Helmond Sport vs De Graafschap: the result in context

Helmond Sport and De Graafschap drew 1-1 in the Eerste Divisie on 9 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

De Graafschap have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.0 goals a game. Referee W. Wiersma averages 4.44 cards a game, 0.98 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
32%3.27
X
26%3.50
2
42%2.10
Double Chance
1X
58%1.68
X2
68%1.32
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.47
No
44%2.47
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.18 + 1.42 = 2.60
Over 1.5
75%1.16
Over 2.5
50%1.57
Over 3.5
27%2.38
Under 1.5
25%4.50
Under 2.5
50%2.25
Under 3.5
73%1.51
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

9'D. HuibertsAssist: L. Cicero
45+3'F. de JongAssist: N. Ahmeti
46'N. Kaninda INJ. Kania out
57'L. Bajrami INK. Ekoli out
57'L. Cicero INM. Lenaerts out
61'N. Ahmeti INC. Eroglu out
65'D. HuibertsFoul
66'H. IngasonUnsportsmanlike conduct
66'D. WarmerdamUnsportsmanlike conduct
70'D. Huiberts INO. Zimuangana out
74'J. Meerstadt INJ. Wieckhoff out
74'D. Eijken INB. van Zijl out
78'C. Leemans INM. Smits out
90+2'J. WieckhoffFoul

Lineups

Helmond Sport
4-4-2Coach: Jurgen Seegers
De Graafschap
4-2-3-1Coach: Marinus Dijkhuizen
Avg rating6.95
Avg rating6.79
Menno Bergsen6.91M. Bergsen
Sem Dekkers7.520S. Dekkers
Brian KoglinC7.24B. Koglin
Tijn Landheer6.343T. Landheer
Wassim Lantaki6.317W. Lantaki
Dean Huiberts7.310D. Huiberts
Michel Ludwig7.06M. Ludwig
Xander van der Velde7.944X. van der Velde
Helgi Fróði Ingason7.219H. Fróði Ingason
Livio Cicero7.311L. Cicero
Labinot Bajrami6.79L. Bajrami
Ties Wieggers7.31T. Wieggers
Jason Meerstadt6.324J. Meerstadt
Joran Hardeman7.24J. Hardeman
Gijs Bolk7.514G. Bolk
Kaya Symons6.921K. Symons
Clint LeemansC7.96C. Leemans
Donny Warmerdam6.38D. Warmerdam
Denzel Eijken6.618D. Eijken
Fedde De Jong7.310F. De Jong
Nart Ahmeti6.727N. Ahmeti
Nathan Kaninda6.217N. Kaninda

Helmond Sport Substitutes

30Kiton Ekoli57'for L. Bajrami6.9
94Mauro Lenaerts6.5
29Onesime Zimuangana70'for D. Huiberts6.3
21Wessel van der Heijden
23Adam El Maach
26Diego van Zutphen
48Rayen van Bree
47Dayen Geerts
22Alen Dizdarević

De Graafschap Substitutes

9Julian Kania46'for N. Kaninda6.2
37Cem Eroglu61'for N. Ahmeti6.5
2Jannes Wieckhoff74'for J. Meerstadt90+2'6.7
7Bjorn van Zijl74'for D. Eijken6.3
38Milan Smits78'for C. Leemans6.7
31Sam Bouwman
23Rick Jonkers
32Tygo Grotenhuis
34Nic Hartgers
36Tim Braem

Match Stats

Helmond SportDe Graafschap
36%Ball Possession64%
7Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards2
10Total Shots16
3Shots on Goal3
6Shots off Goal10
6Shots Inside Box15
4Shots Outside Box1
1Blocked Shots3
12Fouls15
1Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves2
318Total Passes576
237Passes Accurate491
75%Pass Accuracy85%

Team Comparison

Helmond SportHelmond Sport
De GraafschapDe Graafschap
1427Elo Rating 1510
1.60Attack 1.36
0.00Defense 1.75
0%Hit Rate 34%
14.3Shots per Game 13.8
6.0Shots on Target 4.5
4.6Corners per Game 5.4
1.7Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Helmond SportHelmond Sport
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.7 in second half)
De GraafschapDe Graafschap
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Helmond SportHelmond Sport3Wins · 30%
Draws110%
De GraafschapDe Graafschap6Wins · 60%
3.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Eerste Divisie31/01/2026
Helmond SportDe Graafschap
00
Eerste Divisie21/11/2025
De GraafschapHelmond Sport
31
Eerste Divisie09/05/2025
Helmond SportDe Graafschap
14
Eerste Divisie13/09/2024
De GraafschapHelmond Sport
23
Eerste Divisie16/02/2024
Helmond SportDe Graafschap
31
Eerste Divisie18/09/2023
De GraafschapHelmond Sport
21
Eerste Divisie06/03/2023
De GraafschapHelmond Sport
20
Eerste Divisie18/11/2022
Helmond SportDe Graafschap
02
Eerste Divisie22/04/2022
Helmond SportDe Graafschap
04
Eerste Divisie10/12/2021
De GraafschapHelmond Sport
01

Recent Form

Helmond SportHelmond Sport
2W4D4L
01/08/2026
Helmond SportSt. Truiden
10
W
07/07/2026
GemertHelmond Sport
11
D
04/07/2026
Helmond SportAEK Larnaca
12
L
01/07/2026
Helmond SportPanathinaikos
04
L
24/04/2026
FC EindhovenHelmond Sport
10
L
17/04/2026
Helmond SportVVV Venlo
20
W
10/04/2026
MVVHelmond Sport
00
D
06/04/2026
Helmond SportWaalwijk
22
D
03/04/2026
Jong AZHelmond Sport
20
L
20/03/2026
RodaHelmond Sport
11
D
De GraafschapDe Graafschap
3W1D6L
01/08/2026
De GraafschapExcelsior
15
L
25/07/2026
De GraafschapKifisia
42
W
17/07/2026
De GraafschapTelstar
36
L
12/07/2026
De GraafschapAEK Athens FC
12
L
03/07/2026
HeerenveenDe Graafschap
72
L
27/06/2026
UtrechtDe Graafschap
12
W
09/05/2026
De GraafschapAlmere City FC
22
D
06/05/2026
Almere City FCDe Graafschap
31
L
24/04/2026
EmmenDe Graafschap
10
L
17/04/2026
De GraafschapCambuur
31
W

Referee Profile

W. Wiersma104 matches

4.44Cards per match
4.28Yellow cards per match
0.15Red cards per match
24.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

W. Wiersma4.44
Other referees3.46

4.44 cards a match, 0.98 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.46).

Cards come from 71 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eerste Divisie 2026

Eerste Divisie: Regular season

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HeraclesHeracles1292137:14+2329DWWDW
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo1281334:20+1425WDWWL
3EmmenEmmen1281326:19+725WWWDW
4Almere City FCAlmere City FC1271425:12+1322LLWWL
5RodaRoda1264215:11+422WWDLW
6NAC BredaNAC Breda1263323:20+321DWWDW
7FC VolendamFC Volendam1261529:20+919WDWLW
8Jong AZJong AZ1252531:26+517WDLWD
9VitesseVitesse1252516:17-117LWLDL
10MVVMVV1252516:27-1117DLLLW
11WaalwijkWaalwijk1237221:17+416DDLDL
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211244417:19-216WLDLD
13Den BoschDen Bosch1243518:21-315DWWDL
14FC OSSFC OSS1241719:20-113DLWWL
15Jong AjaxJong Ajax1233618:29-1112DWLDL
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1233615:26-1112DLWDW
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1232716:25-911LLLDL
18DordrechtDordrecht1232716:31-1511LWLDW
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport1223720:26-69LLLDL
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1221919:31-127LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1HeraclesHeracles1237:1429
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo1234:2025
3EmmenEmmen1226:1925
4Almere City FCAlmere City FC1225:1222
5RodaRoda1215:1122
6NAC BredaNAC Breda1223:2021
7FC VolendamFC Volendam1229:2019
8Jong AZJong AZ1231:2617
9VitesseVitesse1216:1717
10MVVMVV1216:2717
11WaalwijkWaalwijk1221:1716
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211217:1916
13Den BoschDen Bosch1218:2115
14FC OSSFC OSS1219:2013
15Jong AjaxJong Ajax1218:2912
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1215:2612
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1216:2511
18DordrechtDordrecht1216:3111
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport1220:269
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1219:317

Eerste Divisie: Period 1

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HeraclesHeracles1081131:12+1925DWWDW
2Almere City FCAlmere City FC1071222:7+1522LLWWL
3VVV VenloVVV Venlo1070326:14+1221WDWWL
4EmmenEmmen1061322:18+419WWWDW
5NAC BredaNAC Breda1052320:19+117DWWDW
6RodaRoda1044210:8+216WWDLW
7MVVMVV1051413:20-716DLLLW
8FC VolendamFC Volendam1050522:17+515WDWLW
9WaalwijkWaalwijk1035219:15+414DDLDL
10VitesseVitesse1042415:15014LWLDL
11Jong AZJong AZ1041522:18+413WDLWD
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211034315:17-213WLDLD
13FC OSSFC OSS1040615:15012DLWWL
14Den BoschDen Bosch1032514:18-411DWWDL
15FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1032515:22-711LLLDL
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1032513:23-1011DLWDW
17Helmond SportHelmond Sport1023516:19-39LLLDL
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax1022613:25-128DWLDL
19DordrechtDordrecht1022613:27-148LWLDW
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1021716:23-77LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1HeraclesHeracles1031:1225
2Almere City FCAlmere City FC1022:722
3VVV VenloVVV Venlo1026:1421
4EmmenEmmen1022:1819
5NAC BredaNAC Breda1020:1917
6RodaRoda1010:816
7MVVMVV1013:2016
8FC VolendamFC Volendam1022:1715
9WaalwijkWaalwijk1019:1514
10VitesseVitesse1015:1514
11Jong AZJong AZ1022:1813
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211015:1713
13FC OSSFC OSS1015:1512
14Den BoschDen Bosch1014:1811
15FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1015:2211
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1013:2311
17Helmond SportHelmond Sport1016:199
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax1013:258
19DordrechtDordrecht1013:278
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1016:237

Eerste Divisie: Period 2

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1EmmenEmmen22004:1+36WWWDW
2RodaRoda22005:3+26WWDLW
3FC VolendamFC Volendam21107:3+44WDWLW
4HeraclesHeracles21106:2+44DWWDW
5VVV VenloVVV Venlo21108:6+24WDWWL
6NAC BredaNAC Breda21103:1+24DWWDW
7Den BoschDen Bosch21104:3+14DWWDL
8Jong AjaxJong Ajax21105:4+14DWLDL
9Jong AZJong AZ21109:8+14WDLWD
10Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2121012:203WLDLD
11DordrechtDordrecht21013:4-13LWLDW
12VitesseVitesse21011:2-13LWLDL
13WaalwijkWaalwijk20202:202DDLDL
14De GraafschapDe Graafschap20112:3-11DLWDW
15FC OSSFC OSS20114:5-11DLWWL
16MVVMVV20113:7-41DLLLW
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven20021:3-20LLLDL
18Almere City FCAlmere City FC20023:5-20LLWWL
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport20024:7-30LLLDL
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht20023:8-50LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1EmmenEmmen24:16
2RodaRoda25:36
3FC VolendamFC Volendam27:34
4HeraclesHeracles26:24
5VVV VenloVVV Venlo28:64
6NAC BredaNAC Breda23:14
7Den BoschDen Bosch24:34
8Jong AjaxJong Ajax25:44
9Jong AZJong AZ29:84
10Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2122:23
11DordrechtDordrecht23:43
12VitesseVitesse21:23
13WaalwijkWaalwijk22:22
14De GraafschapDe Graafschap22:31
15FC OSSFC OSS24:51
16MVVMVV23:71
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven21:30
18Almere City FCAlmere City FC23:50
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport24:70
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht23:80

Eerste Divisie: Period 3

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00000:000DLWDW
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00000:000WDWWL
3Den BoschDen Bosch00000:000DWWDL
4DordrechtDordrecht00000:000LWLDW
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00000:000LLLDL
6EmmenEmmen00000:000WWWDW
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00000:000LLLDL
8MVVMVV00000:000DLLLW
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00000:000LLWWL
10FC OSSFC OSS00000:000DLWWL
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00000:000WDWLW
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00000:000DDLDL
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00000:000DWWDW
14RodaRoda00000:000WWDLW
15VitesseVitesse00000:000LWLDL
16HeraclesHeracles00000:000DWWDW
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100000:000WLDLD
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00000:000DWLDL
19Jong AZJong AZ00000:000WDLWD
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00000:000LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00:00
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00:00
3Den BoschDen Bosch00:00
4DordrechtDordrecht00:00
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00:00
6EmmenEmmen00:00
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00:00
8MVVMVV00:00
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00:00
10FC OSSFC OSS00:00
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00:00
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00:00
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00:00
14RodaRoda00:00
15VitesseVitesse00:00
16HeraclesHeracles00:00
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100:00
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00:00
19Jong AZJong AZ00:00
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00:00

Eerste Divisie: Period 4

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00000:000DLWDW
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00000:000WDWWL
3Den BoschDen Bosch00000:000DWWDL
4DordrechtDordrecht00000:000LWLDW
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00000:000LLLDL
6EmmenEmmen00000:000WWWDW
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00000:000LLLDL
8MVVMVV00000:000DLLLW
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00000:000LLWWL
10FC OSSFC OSS00000:000DLWWL
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00000:000WDWLW
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00000:000DDLDL
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00000:000DWWDW
14RodaRoda00000:000WWDLW
15VitesseVitesse00000:000LWLDL
16HeraclesHeracles00000:000DWWDW
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100000:000WLDLD
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00000:000DWLDL
19Jong AZJong AZ00000:000WDLWD
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00000:000LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00:00
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00:00
3Den BoschDen Bosch00:00
4DordrechtDordrecht00:00
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00:00
6EmmenEmmen00:00
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00:00
8MVVMVV00:00
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00:00
10FC OSSFC OSS00:00
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00:00
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00:00
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00:00
14RodaRoda00:00
15VitesseVitesse00:00
16HeraclesHeracles00:00
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100:00
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00:00
19Jong AZJong AZ00:00
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00:00
Promotion

About the Helmond Sport vs De Graafschap forecast

The forecasts for this Eerste Divisie match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Helmond Sport and De Graafschap in the Eerste Divisie table

In the Eerste Divisie table, De Graafschap are 16th and Helmond Sport 19th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Helmond Sport 20-26, De Graafschap 15-26. The full standings are on the Eerste Divisie Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.