FC Eindhoven vs MVV Prediction

FC Eindhoven
2-3
Finished
HT 1-1
MVV
Jan Louwers Stadion, Eindhoven·M. Vos 14/08/2026
FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven
2-3
Finished
MVVMVV

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.50
SignalGOODModel40%SurpriseMediumGap+7.4%
FC Eindhoven Rest
4 days
MVV Rest
5 days

FC Eindhoven vs MVV: the result in context

MVV beat FC Eindhoven 3-2 in the Eerste Divisie on 14 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
48%1.96
X
26%3.65
2
26%3.50
Double Chance
1X
74%1.28
X2
52%1.80
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.53
No
43%2.32
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.64 + 1.1 = 2.74
Over 1.5
80%1.18
Over 2.5
54%1.60
Over 3.5
30%2.50
Under 1.5
20%4.50
Under 2.5
46%2.25
Under 3.5
70%1.50
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 3.9 = 9.7
Over 8.5
60%1.34
Over 9.5
51%1.62
Over 10.5
40%2.00
Under 8.5
40%2.83
Under 9.5
49%2.16
Under 10.5
60%1.72
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 1.7 = 3.5
Over 3.5
35%-
Over 4.5
21%-
Under 3.5
65%-
Under 4.5
79%-

Match Events

15'M. HoflandOG
25'D. AsanteFoul
45+4'S. Van Dessel(Penalty)
46'T. Muller INE. Eksi out
51'M. de JongeAssist: G. Beaumont
73'X. Blomme INL. Netten out
76'R. Klaasen INJ. Pawirodihardjo out
84'A. Bryson INR. van de Riet out
87'T. Simons INR. Boon out
90'O. DumontAssist: F. Dicke
90+3'J. Pawirodihardjo

Lineups

FC Eindhoven
4-4-2Coach: Maurice Verberne
MVV
4-2-3-1Coach: Edwin Hermans
Avg rating6.55
Avg rating6.81
Jort Borgmans6.71J. Borgmans
Clint EssersC6.222C. Essers
Junior Poortvliet5.34J. Poortvliet
Owen Renfrum6.944O. Renfrum
Tyrese Simons6.92T. Simons
Mika de Jonge7.911M. de Jonge
Guus Beaumont7.06G. Beaumont
Amir Bryson6.513A. Bryson
Xander Blomme7.28X. Blomme
Thijs Muller6.310T. Muller
Siegert Baartmans6.219S. Baartmans
Hugo Wentges6.61H. Wentges
Delano Asante6.221D. Asante
Milan Hofland6.32M. Hofland
Finn Dicke7.56F. Dicke
Sil van der Wegen6.317S. van der Wegen
Elias Sierra6.718E. Sierra
Robert KlaasenC7.216R. Klaasen
Stan Van Dessel7.08S. Van Dessel
Olivier Dumont8.310O. Dumont
Lennerd Daneels7.97L. Daneels
Noa el Hamdaoui5.224N. el Hamdaoui

FC Eindhoven Substitutes

27Emre Eksi46'for T. Muller6.9
17Luc Netten6.3
20Raf van de Riet84'replaced by A. Bryson6.0
5Rens Boon87'for T. Simons6.0
31Niek Janssen
30Nino Fancito
35Jens Elbers
29Hyman Ali
25Lennon Smulders
14Niek Munsters
21Akin Ozcan
23Ryan Meijer

MVV Substitutes

19Jael Pawaridihadjo6.5
12Sep van der Heijden
23Timmers Sebastiaan
3Wout Coomans
26Adriano Mansala
11Thijme Verheijen
14Mats Kuipers
20Amine Amgar

Match Stats

FC EindhovenMVV
47%Ball Possession53%
6Corner Kicks2
0Yellow Cards1
13Total Shots16
2Shots on Goal7
6Shots off Goal6
9Shots Inside Box10
4Shots Outside Box6
5Blocked Shots3
9Fouls7
2Offsides2
4Goalkeeper Saves2
413Total Passes466
322Passes Accurate387
78%Pass Accuracy83%

Team Comparison

FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven
MVVMVV
1445Elo Rating 1454
0.88Attack 1.22
0.75Defense 0.46
0%Hit Rate 14%
14.7Shots per Game 9.8
4.7Shots on Target 2.8
4.5Corners per Game 4.5
2.7Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven
  • No tendency data available
MVVMVV
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven4Wins · 40%
Draws110%
MVVMVV5Wins · 50%
2.9Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Eerste Divisie30/01/2026
FC EindhovenMVV
50
Eerste Divisie03/10/2025
MVVFC Eindhoven
31
Eerste Divisie14/02/2025
MVVFC Eindhoven
20
Eerste Divisie17/11/2024
FC EindhovenMVV
11
Eerste Divisie26/01/2024
FC EindhovenMVV
03
Eerste Divisie02/10/2023
MVVFC Eindhoven
01
Eerste Divisie31/03/2023
MVVFC Eindhoven
32
Eerste Divisie09/09/2022
FC EindhovenMVV
50
Eerste Divisie29/01/2022
FC EindhovenMVV
10
Eerste Divisie17/09/2021
MVVFC Eindhoven
10

Recent Form

FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven
4W3D3L
10/08/2026
Jong AZFC Eindhoven
01
W
01/08/2026
SK BeverenFC Eindhoven
10
L
28/07/2026
PSV EindhovenFC Eindhoven
30
L
25/07/2026
KRC Genk IIFC Eindhoven
42
L
18/07/2026
FC EindhovenDen Bosch
00
D
11/07/2026
Willem IIFC Eindhoven
22
D
08/07/2026
NAC BredaFC Eindhoven
02
W
04/07/2026
De TreffersFC Eindhoven
11
D
30/06/2026
FC EindhovenUNA
31
W
24/04/2026
FC EindhovenHelmond Sport
10
W
MVVMVV
2W4D4L
09/08/2026
MVVJong Utrecht
21
W
01/08/2026
MVVPatro Eisden
5141
W
28/07/2026
KAA Gent IIMVV
10
L
25/07/2026
MVVSK Beveren
34
L
21/07/2026
EVVMVV
22
D
18/07/2026
MVVRacing FC Union Luxembourg
00
D
14/07/2026
Seraing UnitedMVV
00
D
12/07/2026
FC Viktoria KölnMVV
14
D
07/07/2026
MeerssenMVV
21
L
24/04/2026
MVVFC OSS
02
L

Referee Profile

M. Vos156 matches

3.32Cards per match
3.15Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
22.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

M. Vos3.32
Other referees3.28

3.32 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.28).

Cards come from 136 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eerste Divisie 2026

Eerste Divisie: Regular season

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HeraclesHeracles1292137:14+2329DWWDW
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo1281334:20+1425WDWWL
3EmmenEmmen1281326:19+725WWWDW
4Almere City FCAlmere City FC1271425:12+1322LLWWL
5RodaRoda1264215:11+422WWDLW
6NAC BredaNAC Breda1263323:20+321DWWDW
7FC VolendamFC Volendam1261529:20+919WDWLW
8Jong AZJong AZ1252531:26+517WDLWD
9VitesseVitesse1252516:17-117LWLDL
10MVVMVV1252516:27-1117DLLLW
11WaalwijkWaalwijk1237221:17+416DDLDL
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211244417:19-216WLDLD
13Den BoschDen Bosch1243518:21-315DWWDL
14FC OSSFC OSS1241719:20-113DLWWL
15Jong AjaxJong Ajax1233618:29-1112DWLDL
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1233615:26-1112DLWDW
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1232716:25-911LLLDL
18DordrechtDordrecht1232716:31-1511LWLDW
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport1223720:26-69LLLDL
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1221919:31-127LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1HeraclesHeracles1237:1429
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo1234:2025
3EmmenEmmen1226:1925
4Almere City FCAlmere City FC1225:1222
5RodaRoda1215:1122
6NAC BredaNAC Breda1223:2021
7FC VolendamFC Volendam1229:2019
8Jong AZJong AZ1231:2617
9VitesseVitesse1216:1717
10MVVMVV1216:2717
11WaalwijkWaalwijk1221:1716
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211217:1916
13Den BoschDen Bosch1218:2115
14FC OSSFC OSS1219:2013
15Jong AjaxJong Ajax1218:2912
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1215:2612
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1216:2511
18DordrechtDordrecht1216:3111
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport1220:269
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1219:317

Eerste Divisie: Period 1

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HeraclesHeracles1081131:12+1925DWWDW
2Almere City FCAlmere City FC1071222:7+1522LLWWL
3VVV VenloVVV Venlo1070326:14+1221WDWWL
4EmmenEmmen1061322:18+419WWWDW
5NAC BredaNAC Breda1052320:19+117DWWDW
6RodaRoda1044210:8+216WWDLW
7MVVMVV1051413:20-716DLLLW
8FC VolendamFC Volendam1050522:17+515WDWLW
9WaalwijkWaalwijk1035219:15+414DDLDL
10VitesseVitesse1042415:15014LWLDL
11Jong AZJong AZ1041522:18+413WDLWD
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211034315:17-213WLDLD
13FC OSSFC OSS1040615:15012DLWWL
14Den BoschDen Bosch1032514:18-411DWWDL
15FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1032515:22-711LLLDL
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1032513:23-1011DLWDW
17Helmond SportHelmond Sport1023516:19-39LLLDL
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax1022613:25-128DWLDL
19DordrechtDordrecht1022613:27-148LWLDW
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1021716:23-77LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1HeraclesHeracles1031:1225
2Almere City FCAlmere City FC1022:722
3VVV VenloVVV Venlo1026:1421
4EmmenEmmen1022:1819
5NAC BredaNAC Breda1020:1917
6RodaRoda1010:816
7MVVMVV1013:2016
8FC VolendamFC Volendam1022:1715
9WaalwijkWaalwijk1019:1514
10VitesseVitesse1015:1514
11Jong AZJong AZ1022:1813
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211015:1713
13FC OSSFC OSS1015:1512
14Den BoschDen Bosch1014:1811
15FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1015:2211
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1013:2311
17Helmond SportHelmond Sport1016:199
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax1013:258
19DordrechtDordrecht1013:278
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1016:237

Eerste Divisie: Period 2

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1EmmenEmmen22004:1+36WWWDW
2RodaRoda22005:3+26WWDLW
3FC VolendamFC Volendam21107:3+44WDWLW
4HeraclesHeracles21106:2+44DWWDW
5VVV VenloVVV Venlo21108:6+24WDWWL
6NAC BredaNAC Breda21103:1+24DWWDW
7Den BoschDen Bosch21104:3+14DWWDL
8Jong AjaxJong Ajax21105:4+14DWLDL
9Jong AZJong AZ21109:8+14WDLWD
10Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2121012:203WLDLD
11DordrechtDordrecht21013:4-13LWLDW
12VitesseVitesse21011:2-13LWLDL
13WaalwijkWaalwijk20202:202DDLDL
14De GraafschapDe Graafschap20112:3-11DLWDW
15FC OSSFC OSS20114:5-11DLWWL
16MVVMVV20113:7-41DLLLW
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven20021:3-20LLLDL
18Almere City FCAlmere City FC20023:5-20LLWWL
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport20024:7-30LLLDL
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht20023:8-50LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1EmmenEmmen24:16
2RodaRoda25:36
3FC VolendamFC Volendam27:34
4HeraclesHeracles26:24
5VVV VenloVVV Venlo28:64
6NAC BredaNAC Breda23:14
7Den BoschDen Bosch24:34
8Jong AjaxJong Ajax25:44
9Jong AZJong AZ29:84
10Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2122:23
11DordrechtDordrecht23:43
12VitesseVitesse21:23
13WaalwijkWaalwijk22:22
14De GraafschapDe Graafschap22:31
15FC OSSFC OSS24:51
16MVVMVV23:71
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven21:30
18Almere City FCAlmere City FC23:50
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport24:70
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht23:80

Eerste Divisie: Period 3

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00000:000DLWDW
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00000:000WDWWL
3Den BoschDen Bosch00000:000DWWDL
4DordrechtDordrecht00000:000LWLDW
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00000:000LLLDL
6EmmenEmmen00000:000WWWDW
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00000:000LLLDL
8MVVMVV00000:000DLLLW
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00000:000LLWWL
10FC OSSFC OSS00000:000DLWWL
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00000:000WDWLW
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00000:000DDLDL
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00000:000DWWDW
14RodaRoda00000:000WWDLW
15VitesseVitesse00000:000LWLDL
16HeraclesHeracles00000:000DWWDW
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100000:000WLDLD
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00000:000DWLDL
19Jong AZJong AZ00000:000WDLWD
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00000:000LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00:00
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00:00
3Den BoschDen Bosch00:00
4DordrechtDordrecht00:00
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00:00
6EmmenEmmen00:00
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00:00
8MVVMVV00:00
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00:00
10FC OSSFC OSS00:00
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00:00
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00:00
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00:00
14RodaRoda00:00
15VitesseVitesse00:00
16HeraclesHeracles00:00
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100:00
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00:00
19Jong AZJong AZ00:00
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00:00

Eerste Divisie: Period 4

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00000:000DLWDW
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00000:000WDWWL
3Den BoschDen Bosch00000:000DWWDL
4DordrechtDordrecht00000:000LWLDW
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00000:000LLLDL
6EmmenEmmen00000:000WWWDW
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00000:000LLLDL
8MVVMVV00000:000DLLLW
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00000:000LLWWL
10FC OSSFC OSS00000:000DLWWL
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00000:000WDWLW
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00000:000DDLDL
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00000:000DWWDW
14RodaRoda00000:000WWDLW
15VitesseVitesse00000:000LWLDL
16HeraclesHeracles00000:000DWWDW
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100000:000WLDLD
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00000:000DWLDL
19Jong AZJong AZ00000:000WDLWD
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00000:000LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00:00
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00:00
3Den BoschDen Bosch00:00
4DordrechtDordrecht00:00
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00:00
6EmmenEmmen00:00
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00:00
8MVVMVV00:00
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00:00
10FC OSSFC OSS00:00
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00:00
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00:00
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00:00
14RodaRoda00:00
15VitesseVitesse00:00
16HeraclesHeracles00:00
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100:00
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00:00
19Jong AZJong AZ00:00
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00:00
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About the FC Eindhoven vs MVV forecast

The forecasts for this Eerste Divisie match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

FC Eindhoven and MVV in the Eerste Divisie table

In the Eerste Divisie table, MVV are 10th and FC Eindhoven 17th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: FC Eindhoven 16-25, MVV 16-27. The full standings are on the Eerste Divisie Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.