Hercílio Luz vs Fluminense-SC Prediction

28/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.46
SignalSTRONGModel68%SurpriseMediumGap+12.4%
Hercílio Luz Rest
7 days
Fluminense-SC Rest
7 days

Hercílio Luz vs Fluminense-SC: result, form and history

Hercílio Luz beat Fluminense-SC 4-2 in the Catarinense - 2 on 28 Jun 2026. It was in line with recent form: Hercílio Luz had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Fluminense-SC.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
57%1.17
X
21%5.93
2
22%14.00
Double Chance
1X
77%1.03
X2
43%3.80
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%2.43
No
56%1.48
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.15
Over 2.5
39%1.57
Over 3.5
19%2.38
Under 1.5
37%4.25
Under 2.5
61%2.21
Under 3.5
81%1.46
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

15'
33'
63'
74'(Penalty missed)
74'
82'
90+3'

Team Comparison

Hercílio LuzHercílio Luz
Fluminense-SCFluminense-SC
1605Elo Rating 1472
1.07Attack 0.91
2.08Defense 1.07
39%Hit Rate 37%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+133 Elo
💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

Hercílio LuzHercílio Luz
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Fluminense-SCFluminense-SC
  • Tied at half-time in 75% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Recent Form

Hercílio LuzHercílio Luz
6W2D2L
21/06/2026
Hercílio LuzMetropolitano
30
W
14/06/2026
JaraguáHercílio Luz
02
W
07/06/2026
Hercílio LuzNação
21
W
31/05/2026
CaravaggioHercílio Luz
22
D
28/05/2026
Hercílio LuzTubarao
20
W
24/05/2026
Juventus SCHercílio Luz
01
W
22/02/2025
BrusqueHercílio Luz
31
L
20/02/2025
Hercílio LuzCriciuma
01
L
16/02/2025
Hercílio LuzChapecoense-sc
22
D
14/02/2025
Hercílio LuzJoinville
21
W
Fluminense-SCFluminense-SC
1W1D5L
21/06/2026
Fluminense-SCJaraguá
10
W
14/06/2026
CaravaggioFluminense-SC
10
L
11/06/2026
Fluminense-SCMetropolitano
13
L
31/05/2026
TubaraoFluminense-SC
10
L
28/05/2026
Fluminense-SCJuventus SC
01
L
23/05/2026
Guarani de PalhoçaFluminense-SC
10
L
17/05/2026
Fluminense-SCNação
11
D

League Table

Catarinense - 2 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BlumenauBlumenau961221:3+1819WDDLW
2MetropolitanoMetropolitano961216:6+1019WDLWW
3CaravaggioCaravaggio953125:10+1518LLWWW
4Hercílio LuzHercílio Luz952217:6+1117WWWWW
5TubaraoTubarao935111:7+414WWWLD
6Guarani de PalhoçaGuarani de Palhoça93248:14-611LWDLD
7Fluminense-SCFluminense-SC93157:10-310DLWLL
8NaçãoNação923410:19-99LDDWL
9Juventus SCJuventus SC92163:15-127DWLLL
10JaraguáJaraguá90184:32-281LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1BlumenauBlumenau921:319
2MetropolitanoMetropolitano916:619
3CaravaggioCaravaggio925:1018
4Hercílio LuzHercílio Luz917:617
5TubaraoTubarao911:714
6Guarani de PalhoçaGuarani de Palhoça98:1411
7Fluminense-SCFluminense-SC97:1010
8NaçãoNação910:199
9Juventus SCJuventus SC93:157
10JaraguáJaraguá94:321
PromotionRelegation

About the Hercílio Luz vs Fluminense-SC forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Hercílio Luz and Fluminense-SC in the Catarinense - 2 table

The table shows a wide gap: Hercílio Luz are 4th in the Catarinense - 2, while Fluminense-SC sit 7th, 7 points behind. League goal record so far: Hercílio Luz 17-6, Fluminense-SC 7-10. The full standings are on the Catarinense - 2 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Hercílio Luz and Fluminense-SC have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.