Hercílio Luz vs Nação Prediction

Hercílio Luz
2-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Nação
Estadio Anibal Torres Costa, Tubarao 07/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
Value Analysis
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.51
SignalSTRONGModel54%SurpriseMedium
Hercílio Luz Rest
6 days
Nação Rest
4 days

Hercílio Luz vs Nação: result, form and history

Hercílio Luz beat Nação 2-1 in the Catarinense - 2 on 7 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
60%1.15
X
23%5.90
2
17%16.50
Double Chance
1X
83%1.02
X2
40%4.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%2.53
No
56%1.43
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.15
Over 2.5
39%1.55
Over 3.5
19%2.28
Under 1.5
37%4.25
Under 2.5
61%2.21
Under 3.5
81%1.51
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

45+1'
49'
87'

Team Comparison

Hercílio LuzHercílio Luz
NaçãoNação
1605Elo Rating 1426
1.07Attack 0.69
2.08Defense 1.28
39%Hit Rate 0%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+179 Elo

Game State Tendencies

Hercílio LuzHercílio Luz
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
NaçãoNação
  • Tied at half-time in 75% of matches

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

Hercílio LuzHercílio Luz0Wins · 0%
Draws1100%
NaçãoNação0Wins · 0%
4.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
100%3+ goals1 of 1

Previous meetings

Catarinense - 116/02/2024
Hercílio LuzNação
22

Recent Form

Hercílio LuzHercílio Luz
3W2D5L
31/05/2026
CaravaggioHercílio Luz
22
D
28/05/2026
Hercílio LuzTubarao
20
W
24/05/2026
Juventus SCHercílio Luz
01
W
22/02/2025
BrusqueHercílio Luz
31
L
20/02/2025
Hercílio LuzCriciuma
01
L
16/02/2025
Hercílio LuzChapecoense-sc
22
D
14/02/2025
Hercílio LuzJoinville
21
W
09/02/2025
ConcórdiaHercílio Luz
10
L
06/02/2025
Hercílio LuzAvai
03
L
02/02/2025
CaravaggioHercílio Luz
10
L
NaçãoNação
1W3D6L
03/06/2026
NaçãoBlumenau
06
L
28/05/2026
CaravaggioNação
41
L
21/05/2026
NaçãoJaraguá
30
W
17/05/2026
Fluminense-SCNação
11
D
02/03/2024
NaçãoJoinville
13
L
24/02/2024
Marcílio DiasNação
11
D
20/02/2024
NaçãoChapecoense-sc
13
L
16/02/2024
Hercílio LuzNação
22
D
11/02/2024
NaçãoFigueirense
01
L
09/02/2024
Internacional SCNação
20
L

League Table

Catarinense - 2 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BlumenauBlumenau961221:3+1819WDDLW
2MetropolitanoMetropolitano961216:6+1019WDLWW
3CaravaggioCaravaggio953125:10+1518LLWWW
4Hercílio LuzHercílio Luz952217:6+1117WWWWW
5TubaraoTubarao935111:7+414WWWLD
6Guarani de PalhoçaGuarani de Palhoça93248:14-611LWDLD
7Fluminense-SCFluminense-SC93157:10-310DLWLL
8NaçãoNação923410:19-99LDDWL
9Juventus SCJuventus SC92163:15-127DWLLL
10JaraguáJaraguá90184:32-281LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1BlumenauBlumenau921:319
2MetropolitanoMetropolitano916:619
3CaravaggioCaravaggio925:1018
4Hercílio LuzHercílio Luz917:617
5TubaraoTubarao911:714
6Guarani de PalhoçaGuarani de Palhoça98:1411
7Fluminense-SCFluminense-SC97:1010
8NaçãoNação910:199
9Juventus SCJuventus SC93:157
10JaraguáJaraguá94:321
PromotionRelegation

About the Hercílio Luz vs Nação forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Hercílio Luz and Nação in the Catarinense - 2 table

The table shows a wide gap: Hercílio Luz are 4th in the Catarinense - 2, while Nação sit 8th, 8 points behind. League goal record so far: Hercílio Luz 17-6, Nação 10-19. The full standings are on the Catarinense - 2 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Hercílio Luz and Nação have met only 1 time recently, with 4.0 goals in that meeting. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.