HNK Hajduk Split vs Pafos Prediction

HNK Hajduk Split
2-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Pafos
Stadion Poljud, Split· Robert Harvey, Ireland 23/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
5.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
92%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.28
SignalHIGHModel63%RiskMediumGap+13.7%
Value Analysis
79%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.39
SignalGOODModel54%RiskMediumGap+12.0%
HNK Hajduk Split Rest
7 days
Pafos Rest
7 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
70%2.10
X
22%3.25
2
8%3.46
Double Chance
1X
92%1.28
X2
30%1.69
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%1.92
No
52%1.79
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.96 + 0.75 = 2.71
Over 1.5
77%1.39
Over 2.5
51%2.20
Over 3.5
23%4.00
Under 1.5
23%2.77
Under 2.5
49%1.65
Under 3.5
77%1.22
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

4'A. PajazitiHolding
55'N. IoannouRoughing
56'M. Sego
63'Pepe INA. Brito out
63'D. Goldar INBruno out
63'A. BritoHolding
64'D. MelnjakAssist: M. Acapandie
74'V. Dragomir IND. Quina out
74'I. Sunjic INGuga out
77'D. Maresic INM. Skelin out
77'M. Sego INM. Livaja out
77'D. de Almeida INA. del Moral out
83'D. Melnjak INA. Guram out
87'A. GuramHolding
88'A. del MoralRoughing
90+2'S. Hrgovic INR. Raci out

Lineups

HNK Hajduk Split
4-2-3-1Coach: Gonzalo Garcia
Pafos
3-4-3Coach: Albert Celades
Toni Silić33T. SilićToni Silić
Mathieu Acapandié22M. AcapandiéMathieu Acapandié
Dario Marešić15D. MarešićDario Marešić
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck5A. Van HoorenbeeckAlec Van Hoorenbeeck
Šimun Hrgović32Š. HrgovićŠimun Hrgović
Rokas Pukštas21R. PukštasRokas Pukštas
Adrion Pajaziti4A. PajazitiAdrion Pajaziti
Roko Brajković28R. BrajkovićRoko Brajković
Dalisson de Almeida9D. de AlmeidaDalisson de Almeida
Dario Melnjak17D. MelnjakDario Melnjak
Michele Šego11M. ŠegoMichele Šego
Radosław Majecki99R. MajeckiRadosław Majecki
David Goldar5D. GoldarDavid Goldar
David Luiz4D. LuizDavid Luiz
Samy Mmaee13S. MmaeeSamy Mmaee
Jajá11JajáJajá
Pêpê88PêpêPêpê
Ivan Šunjić26I. ŠunjićIvan Šunjić
Nikolas Ioannou14N. IoannouNikolas Ioannou
Vlad Dragomir30V. DragomirVlad Dragomir
Lelê18LelêLelê
Biel20BielBiel

HNK Hajduk Split Substitutes

36Marino SkelinD
20Alberto del MoralM
10Marko LivajaF
26Adam HuramM
14Ron RaçiD
1Ivica IvušićG
44Dante StipicaG
38Luka HodakD
7Abdoulie Sanyang BambaM
16Anđelo ŠutaloM
19Etnik BrrutiM
37Noa SkokoM

Pafos Substitutes

7BrunoD
50Alexandre BritoM
6Gonçalo RodriguesM
8Domingos QuinaM
71Michalis PapastylianouG
82Petros PetrouG
61Melinos KaisD
72Kosmas IoannouD
12Ken SemaM
42Georgios MichaelM
80Christos EfzonaM
47Murad MammadovF

Team Comparison

HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split
PafosPafos
1738Elo Rating 1711
2.12Attack 1.24
2.72Defense 2.72
86%Hit Rate 63%
15.9Shots per Game 19.0
5.4Shots on Target 7.0
5.1Corners per Game 5.0
1.6Cards per Game 6.0

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split
  • Leads at half-time in 100% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.9 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
PafosPafos
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.3 in first half)

Recent Form

HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split
4W0D1L
16/07/2026
ŽilinaHNK Hajduk Split
21
L
09/07/2026
HNK Hajduk SplitŽilina
20
W
01/07/2026
CeljeHNK Hajduk Split
01
W
27/06/2026
LNZ CherkasyHNK Hajduk Split
01
W
23/06/2026
ShkendijaHNK Hajduk Split
04
W
PafosPafos
2W1D2L
16/07/2026
Slovan BratislavaPafos
32
L
12/07/2026
JagielloniaPafos
10
L
08/07/2026
FK JablonecPafos
00
D
03/07/2026
Cracovia KrakowPafos
12
W
29/05/2026
Apollon LimassolPafos
02
W

Referee Profile

Robert Harvey, Ireland · 3 matches analysed

4.8Avg Yellows
5.0Avg Cards
25.1Avg Fouls
Stricter than 84% of referees analysed

Bracket

Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
Kairat Almaty
Seeded
Mjallby AIF
Seeded
Kauno Žalgiris
Seeded
Lillestrom
Seeded
Trabzonspor
Seeded
Ararat-Armenia
Seeded
FK Crvena Zvezda
Seeded
Plzen
Seeded
OFI
Seeded
St. Truiden
Seeded
Aarhus
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Saburtalo
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Universitatea Craiova
Seeded
Jagiellonia
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Lech Poznan
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Omonia Nicosia
Seeded
Red Bull Salzburg
Seeded
FC Thun
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Hammarby FF
Seeded
Anderlecht
Seeded
Tromso
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Beşiktaş
Seeded
FC Midtjylland
Seeded
FC ST. Gallen
Seeded
Benfica
Seeded
Twente
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded
Kairat Almaty
Seeded
Mjallby AIF
Seeded
Kauno Žalgiris
Seeded
Lillestrom
Seeded
Trabzonspor
Seeded
Ararat-Armenia
Seeded
FK Crvena Zvezda
Seeded
Plzen
Seeded
OFI
Seeded
St. Truiden
Seeded
Aarhus
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Saburtalo
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Universitatea Craiova
Seeded
Jagiellonia
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Lech Poznan
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Omonia Nicosia
Seeded
Red Bull Salzburg
Seeded
FC Thun
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Kairat Almaty
Seeded
Mjallby AIF
Seeded
Kauno Žalgiris
Seeded
Lillestrom
Seeded
Trabzonspor
Seeded
Ararat-Armenia
Seeded
FK Crvena Zvezda
Seeded
Plzen
Seeded
OFI
Seeded
St. Truiden
Seeded
Aarhus
Seeded
Kairat Almaty
Seeded
Mjallby AIF
Seeded
Kauno Žalgiris
Seeded
Lillestrom
Seeded
Trabzonspor
Seeded
Ararat-Armenia
Seeded
FK Crvena Zvezda
Seeded
Plzen
Seeded
OFI
Seeded
St. Truiden
Seeded
Aarhus
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Saburtalo
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Universitatea Craiova
Seeded
Jagiellonia
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Lech Poznan
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Omonia Nicosia
Seeded
Red Bull Salzburg
Seeded
FC Thun
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded

HNK Hajduk Split vs Pafos Prediction

As a knockout-stage UEFA Europa League fixture, this match carries added stakes for both sides. Our AI model analyses team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history to build forecasts across six independent markets.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About UEFA Europa League

ScorePredicts covers UEFA Europa League across every knockout round. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

HNK Hajduk Split have led at half-time in 100% of their recent matches. HNK Hajduk Split and Pafos have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.