FC ST. Gallen vs Benfica Prediction

FC ST. Gallen
2-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Benfica
Kybunpark, St.Gallen·Luca Pairetto, Italy 23/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.4 / 10
Value Analysis
64%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.64
SignalSOLIDModel57%SurpriseMediumGap+8.9%
FC ST. Gallen Rest
6 days
Benfica Rest
5 days

FC ST. Gallen vs Benfica: result, form and history

FC ST. Gallen beat Benfica 2-1 in the UEFA Europa League on 23 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
28%7.00
X
12%5.00
2
60%1.36
Double Chance
1X
40%2.98
X2
71%1.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.75
No
40%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.41 + 1.78 = 3.19
Over 1.5
81%1.15
Over 2.5
57%1.53
Over 3.5
35%2.32
Under 1.5
19%4.70
Under 2.5
43%2.35
Under 3.5
65%1.57
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 5.2 = 10
Over 8.5
63%1.42
Over 9.5
47%1.68
Over 10.5
36%2.08
Under 8.5
37%2.60
Under 9.5
53%2.00
Under 10.5
64%1.64
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 1.9 = 4
Over 3.5
39%1.35
Over 4.5
27%1.95
Under 3.5
61%2.67
Under 4.5
73%1.78

Match Events

30'L. GortlerTripping
37'A. BaldeAssist: L. Gortler
44'Rafa SilvaAssist: V. Pavlidis
62'J. StanicFoul
65'V. PavlidisTripping
66'J. Kaminski INT. Gouveia out
66'M. Figueiredo INE. Barrenechea out
72'A. Balde IND. Besio out
72'C. Boukhalfa INL. Frokaj out
72'C. Witzig INA. Hunziker out
76'V. Pavlidis INF. Ivanovic out
80'T. GaalAssist: L. Daschner
84'Manu INJ. Rego out
90+3'J. Stanic INJ. Ruiz out
90+4'T. GaalFoul

Lineups

FC ST. Gallen
3-5-2Coach: Enrico Maassen
Benfica
4-2-3-1Coach: Marco Silva
Lawrence Ati Zigi1L. Ati Zigi
Tom Gaal26T. Gaal
Jozo Stanić4J. Stanić
Chima Okoroji36C. Okoroji
Hugo Vandermersch28H. Vandermersch
Lukas Görtler16L. Görtler
Lukas Daschner10L. Daschner
Carlo Boukhalfa11C. Boukhalfa
Mihailo Stevanović64M. Stevanović
Aliou Balde14A. Balde
Christian Witzig7C. Witzig
Anatoliy Trubin1A. Trubin
Alexander Bah6A. Bah
António Silva4A. Silva
Clément Lenglet2C. Lenglet
Samuel Dahl26S. Dahl
Manu Silva16M. Silva
Jakub Kamiński13J. Kamiński
Rafa Silva27R. Silva
Georgiy Sudakov10G. Sudakov
Miguel Figueiredo73M. Figueiredo
Vangelis Pavlidis14V. Pavlidis

FC ST. Gallen Substitutes

20Leon Frokaj
31Diego Besio72'for A. Balde
9Andrin Hunziker72'for C. Witzig
74Joel Ruiz90+3'for J. Stanic
25Lukas Watkowiak
68Mostafa Heydari
63Corsin Konietzke
23Betim Fazliji
47Enoch Owusu

Benfica Substitutes

5Enzo Barrenechea66'for M. Figueiredo
47Tiago Gouveia66'for J. Kaminski
9Franjo Ivanović76'for V. Pavlidis
84João Rêgo84'for Manu
24Samuel Soares
58Daniel Banjaqui
17Amar Dedić
44Tomás Araújo
62José Neto
94Rui Silva
77Gonçalo Moreira
72Anísio Cabral

Match Stats

FC ST. GallenBenfica
6Corner Kicks5
3Yellow Cards1
17Total Shots14
6Shots on Goal4
8Shots off Goal6
14Shots Inside Box10
3Shots Outside Box4
3Blocked Shots4
15Fouls13
1Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves4
283Total Passes480
195Passes Accurate395
69%Pass Accuracy82%

Team Comparison

FC ST. GallenFC ST. Gallen
BenficaBenfica
1673Elo Rating 1888
1.52Attack 2.71
2.13Defense 2.23
77%Hit Rate 100%
15.3Shots per Game 19.0
5.5Shots on Target 7.2
4.0Corners per Game 5.8
1.4Cards per Game 2.9

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.19 goals
📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

FC ST. GallenFC ST. Gallen
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
BenficaBenfica
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.9 vs 0.8 in first half)

Recent Form

FC ST. GallenFC ST. Gallen
6W1D3L
17/07/2026
FC ST. GallenNorwich
03
L
11/07/2026
LyonFC ST. Gallen
63
L
01/07/2026
FC WinterthurFC ST. Gallen
01
W
27/06/2026
FC ST. GallenSCR Altach
32
W
24/05/2026
Stade Lausanne-OuchyFC ST. Gallen
03
W
17/05/2026
FC ST. GallenFC Thun
11
D
14/05/2026
FC Basel 1893FC ST. Gallen
13
W
10/05/2026
FC LuganoFC ST. Gallen
12
W
03/05/2026
FC ST. GallenFC Sion
03
L
26/04/2026
BSC Young BoysFC ST. Gallen
12
W
BenficaBenfica
6W3D1L
17/07/2026
BenficaVillarreal
20
W
11/07/2026
BenficaFlamengo
12
L
16/05/2026
EstorilBenfica
13
W
11/05/2026
BenficaSC Braga
22
D
02/05/2026
FamalicaoBenfica
22
D
25/04/2026
BenficaMoreirense
41
W
19/04/2026
Sporting CPBenfica
12
W
12/04/2026
BenficaNacional
20
W
06/04/2026
Casa PiaBenfica
11
D
21/03/2026
BenficaGuimaraes
30
W

Referee Profile

Luca Pairetto136 matches

4.74Cards per match
4.49Yellow cards per match
0.25Red cards per match
26.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Luca Pairetto4.74
Other referees4.62

4.74 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.62).

Cards come from 127 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

UEFA Europa League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BenficaBenfica440013:3+1012WWWW
2BournemouthBournemouth440011:2+912WWWW
3Ferencvarosi TCFerencvarosi TC440011:3+812WWWW
4Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise431010:2+810WWDW
5JuventusJuventus431011:4+710WDWW
6Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus43104:1+310DWWW
7Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen43018:1+79LWWW
8BeşiktaşBeşiktaş421111:8+37LDWW
9Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb42115:4+17WLWD
10Levski SofiaLevski Sofia42114:3+17WWDL
11SunderlandSunderland42114:407LDWW
12NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen42118:9-17WWDL
13LyonLyon42116:7-17DLWW
14AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar42027:4+36LWWL
15AnderlechtAnderlecht42026:3+36WWLL
16OFIOFI42025:4+16WLLW
17RennesRennes41304:3+16DDWD
18Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia42026:7-16LLWW
19TorreenseTorreense42027:9-26WLLW
20Real SociedadReal Sociedad41219:4+55DWDL
21Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace41219:6+35DDLW
22Sparta PrahaSparta Praha41126:604LLDW
231899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim41126:604DWLL
24Sturm GrazSturm Graz41123:6-34LWLD
25CeljeCelje41125:9-44WDLL
26Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg41123:8-54LDLW
27Celta VigoCelta Vigo41034:6-23LWLL
28AC MilanAC Milan41034:7-33LLWL
29JagielloniaJagiellonia41034:7-33LLWL
30PlzenPlzen41033:7-43WLLL
31MarseilleMarseille41032:6-43WLLL
32CelticCeltic41036:11-53WLLL
33Hapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Beer Sheva40131:8-71LLLD
34LillestromLillestrom40132:10-81LLDL
35Lech PoznanLech Poznan40132:12-101LDLL
36Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia40044:14-100LLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1BenficaBenfica413:312
2BournemouthBournemouth411:212
3Ferencvarosi TCFerencvarosi TC411:312
4Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise410:210
5JuventusJuventus411:410
6Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus44:110
7Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen48:19
8BeşiktaşBeşiktaş411:87
9Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb45:47
10Levski SofiaLevski Sofia44:37
11SunderlandSunderland44:47
12NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen48:97
13LyonLyon46:77
14AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar47:46
15AnderlechtAnderlecht46:36
16OFIOFI45:46
17RennesRennes44:36
18Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia46:76
19TorreenseTorreense47:96
20Real SociedadReal Sociedad49:45
21Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace49:65
22Sparta PrahaSparta Praha46:64
231899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim46:64
24Sturm GrazSturm Graz43:64
25CeljeCelje45:94
26Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg43:84
27Celta VigoCelta Vigo44:63
28AC MilanAC Milan44:73
29JagielloniaJagiellonia44:73
30PlzenPlzen43:73
31MarseilleMarseille42:63
32CelticCeltic46:113
33Hapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Beer Sheva41:81
34LillestromLillestrom42:101
35Lech PoznanLech Poznan42:121
36Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia44:140
Europa League

Bracket

Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
Kairat Almaty
Seeded
Mjallby AIF
Seeded
Trabzonspor
Seeded
Lillestrom
Seeded
Ararat-Armenia
Seeded
Kauno Žalgiris
Seeded
St. Truiden
Seeded
FK Crvena Zvezda
Seeded
Plzen
Seeded
OFI
Seeded
Aarhus
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Saburtalo
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Universitatea Craiova
Seeded
Jagiellonia
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Lech Poznan
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Omonia Nicosia
Seeded
Red Bull Salzburg
Seeded
FC Thun
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Tromso
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Hammarby FF
Seeded
Anderlecht
Seeded
FC ST. Gallen
Seeded
Benfica
Seeded
Twente
Seeded
Beşiktaş
Seeded
FC Midtjylland
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded
Kairat Almaty
Seeded
Mjallby AIF
Seeded
Trabzonspor
Seeded
Lillestrom
Seeded
Ararat-Armenia
Seeded
Kauno Žalgiris
Seeded
St. Truiden
Seeded
FK Crvena Zvezda
Seeded
Plzen
Seeded
OFI
Seeded
Aarhus
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Saburtalo
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Universitatea Craiova
Seeded
Jagiellonia
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Lech Poznan
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Omonia Nicosia
Seeded
Red Bull Salzburg
Seeded
FC Thun
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Kairat Almaty
Seeded
Mjallby AIF
Seeded
Trabzonspor
Seeded
Lillestrom
Seeded
Ararat-Armenia
Seeded
Kauno Žalgiris
Seeded
St. Truiden
Seeded
FK Crvena Zvezda
Seeded
Plzen
Seeded
OFI
Seeded
Aarhus
Seeded
Kairat Almaty
Seeded
Mjallby AIF
Seeded
Trabzonspor
Seeded
Lillestrom
Seeded
Ararat-Armenia
Seeded
Kauno Žalgiris
Seeded
St. Truiden
Seeded
FK Crvena Zvezda
Seeded
Plzen
Seeded
OFI
Seeded
Aarhus
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Saburtalo
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Universitatea Craiova
Seeded
Jagiellonia
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Lech Poznan
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Omonia Nicosia
Seeded
Red Bull Salzburg
Seeded
FC Thun
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded

About the FC ST. Gallen vs Benfica forecast

This is a UEFA Europa League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About UEFA Europa League

More UEFA Europa League fixtures and forecasts are on the UEFA Europa League Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

FC ST. Gallen have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. FC ST. Gallen and Benfica have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.