IF Elfsborg vs Sirius Prediction

IF Elfsborg
1-3
Finished
HT 0-0
Sirius
Borås Arena, Boras·Joakim Sars, Sweden 19/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.18
SignalSTRONGModel45%SurpriseMediumGap-4.4%
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.49
SignalGOODModel43%SurpriseMediumGap+8.7%
IF Elfsborg Rest
7 days
Sirius Rest
7 days

IF Elfsborg vs Sirius: the result in context

Sirius beat IF Elfsborg 3-1 in the Allsvenskan on 19 Jul 2026. It was in line with recent form: Sirius had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for IF Elfsborg.

IF Elfsborg have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.7 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
30%3.68
X
29%3.65
2
41%1.90
Double Chance
1X
59%1.85
X2
70%1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.54
No
45%2.30
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.23 + 1.52 = 2.75
Over 1.5
80%1.18
Over 2.5
56%1.62
Over 3.5
29%2.50
Under 1.5
20%4.40
Under 2.5
44%2.25
Under 3.5
71%1.49
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.3 + 5.5 = 9.8
Over 8.5
63%1.33
Over 9.5
52%1.56
Over 10.5
40%1.91
Under 8.5
37%2.95
Under 9.5
48%2.27
Under 10.5
60%1.82
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 1.9 = 4.1
Over 3.5
51%-
Over 4.5
32%-
Under 3.5
49%-
Under 4.5
68%-

Match Events

19'R. Wikstrom
21'I. Bjerkebo(Penalty missed)
24'S. Holmen
37'M. Soumah
45+3'O. Krusnell
45+3'M. Lindberg
46'R. Wikstrom INA. Jensen out
63'A. Sigurpalsson INA. Zeneli out
64'J. Beck INM. Rohden out
69'F. Ihler INL. Ostman out
70'C. Nilden INV. Svensson out
82'M. SoumahAssist: I. Bjerkebo
84'R. Ure
87'N. Hult INT. Silverholt out
88'O. KrusnellOG
89'I. Bjerkebo INS. Sandberg out
90'R. Ure

Lineups

IF Elfsborg
4-2-3-1Coach: Bjorn Hamberg
Sirius
4-2-3-1Coach: Andreas Engelmark
Avg rating6.61
Avg rating6.93
Isak Pettersson6.631I. Pettersson
Rasmus Wikström6.06R. Wikström
Sebastian HolménC6.08S. Holmén
Thomas Isherwood6.34T. Isherwood
Niklas Hult6.523N. Hult
Julius Magnusson7.318J. Magnusson
Simon Olsson6.910S. Olsson
Momoh Ibrahim Kamara6.929M. Ibrahim Kamara
Julius Beck6.219J. Beck
Ari Sigurpálsson6.925A. Sigurpálsson
Frederik Ihler6.724F. Ihler
David Celic6.934D. Celic
Henrik CastegrenC6.95H. Castegren
Mohamed Soumah7.92M. Soumah
Tobias Anker6.34T. Anker
Oscar Krusnell6.222O. Krusnell
Marcus Lindberg6.66M. Lindberg
Melker Heier6.910M. Heier
Odera Samuel Adindu6.925O. Samuel Adindu
Charlie Nilden6.321C. Nilden
Isak Bjerkebo6.711I. Bjerkebo
Robbie Ure9.39R. Ure

IF Elfsborg Substitutes

12Theo Sander
28Frode Aronsson
2Rufai Mohammed
27Ozor Victor Okeke
9Arbër Zeneli63'for A. Sigurpalsson6.6
7Marcus Rohdén64'for J. Beck6.2
16Alexander Jensen46'for R. Wikstrom7.0
11Taylor Silverholt87'for N. Hult
21Leo Östman69'for F. Ihler7.0

Sirius Substitutes

1Ismael Diawara
15Simon Sandberg89'for I. Bjerkebo
20Victor Ekstrom
27Ben Magnusson
35Elliot Eld
18Adam Wikman
36August Ljungberg
24Victor Svensson70'for C. Nilden6.2
23Finlay Neat

Match Stats

IF ElfsborgSirius
49%Ball Possession51%
6Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards3
19Total Shots18
3Shots on Goal9
11Shots off Goal3
16Shots Inside Box14
3Shots Outside Box4
5Blocked Shots6
13Fouls12
6Goalkeeper Saves4
481Total Passes517
403Passes Accurate445
84%Pass Accuracy86%

Team Comparison

IF ElfsborgIF Elfsborg
SiriusSirius
1732Elo Rating 1774
1.87Attack 1.07
1.93Defense 1.47
31%Hit Rate 31%
15.9Shots per Game 14.2
4.6Shots on Target 4.2
8.4Corners per Game 8.0
1.3Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

IF ElfsborgIF Elfsborg
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
SiriusSirius
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

IF ElfsborgIF Elfsborg6Wins · 60%
Draws00%
SiriusSirius4Wins · 40%
3.7Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Svenska Cupen08/03/2026
IF ElfsborgSirius
12
Allsvenskan26/10/2025
SiriusIF Elfsborg
40
Allsvenskan23/04/2025
IF ElfsborgSirius
43
Allsvenskan06/10/2024
SiriusIF Elfsborg
41
Allsvenskan29/04/2024
IF ElfsborgSirius
20
Allsvenskan06/08/2023
IF ElfsborgSirius
10
Allsvenskan08/05/2023
SiriusIF Elfsborg
34
Allsvenskan18/09/2022
IF ElfsborgSirius
30
Allsvenskan14/05/2022
SiriusIF Elfsborg
20
Allsvenskan24/10/2021
IF ElfsborgSirius
30

Recent Form

IF ElfsborgIF Elfsborg
2W5D3L
12/07/2026
GaisIF Elfsborg
10
L
05/07/2026
IF ElfsborgHammarby FF
12
L
29/05/2026
Orgryte ISIF Elfsborg
22
D
25/05/2026
IF ElfsborgBK Hacken
11
D
21/05/2026
IF ElfsborgMjallby AIF
11
D
16/05/2026
HalmstadIF Elfsborg
11
D
08/05/2026
IF ElfsborgIF Brommapojkarna
20
W
03/05/2026
IF ElfsborgAIK Stockholm
11
D
27/04/2026
Kalmar FFIF Elfsborg
21
L
22/04/2026
IF ElfsborgDjurgardens IF
21
W
SiriusSirius
7W3D0L
12/07/2026
IF BrommapojkarnaSirius
12
W
03/07/2026
SiriusMjallby AIF
44
D
26/06/2026
SiriusDjurgardens IF
11
D
30/05/2026
AIK StockholmSirius
03
W
24/05/2026
SiriusGais
21
W
18/05/2026
Djurgardens IFSirius
23
W
11/05/2026
SiriusOrgryte IS
20
W
02/05/2026
SiriusKalmar FF
32
W
27/04/2026
BK HackenSirius
22
D
23/04/2026
Malmo FFSirius
23
W

League Table

Allsvenskan 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Hammarby FFHammarby FF27174656:22+3455WWWWL
2SiriusSirius26174556:34+2255LLDWW
3Djurgardens IFDjurgardens IF27164755:25+3052WDDWW
4BK HackenBK Hacken271310448:30+1849WDWWW
5IF ElfsborgIF Elfsborg271210541:27+1446WDDDW
6Vasteras SK FKVasteras SK FK27135940:38+244WWLWL
7Malmo FFMalmo FF271241142:36+640LWDLW
8AIK StockholmAIK Stockholm26108842:45-338DWDLL
9IFK GoteborgIFK Goteborg27108936:46-1038LDDDW
10GaisGais26971032:26+634WDLLW
11IF BrommapojkarnaIF Brommapojkarna27971139:44-534LDWLW
12Mjallby AIFMjallby AIF26681230:43-1326WLLDL
13Kalmar FFKalmar FF26641623:42-1922LLWLL
14Degerfors IFDegerfors IF27551722:46-2420LLLLD
15Orgryte ISOrgryte IS27471633:60-2719LLDWL
16HalmstadHalmstad26451718:49-3117LWLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Hammarby FFHammarby FF2756:2255
2SiriusSirius2656:3455
3Djurgardens IFDjurgardens IF2755:2552
4BK HackenBK Hacken2748:3049
5IF ElfsborgIF Elfsborg2741:2746
6Vasteras SK FKVasteras SK FK2740:3844
7Malmo FFMalmo FF2742:3640
8AIK StockholmAIK Stockholm2642:4538
9IFK GoteborgIFK Goteborg2736:4638
10GaisGais2632:2634
11IF BrommapojkarnaIF Brommapojkarna2739:4434
12Mjallby AIFMjallby AIF2630:4326
13Kalmar FFKalmar FF2623:4222
14Degerfors IFDegerfors IF2722:4620
15Orgryte ISOrgryte IS2733:6019
16HalmstadHalmstad2618:4917
Relegation

About the IF Elfsborg vs Sirius forecast

The forecasts for this Allsvenskan match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

IF Elfsborg and Sirius in the Allsvenskan table

In the Allsvenskan table, Sirius are 2nd and IF Elfsborg 5th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: IF Elfsborg 41-27, Sirius 56-34. The full standings are on the Allsvenskan Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

IF Elfsborg have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.