Ikorodu City vs Barau FC Prediction

Federation CupNigeria Nigeria · Quarter-finals
Knockout
Ikorodu City
2-2
After Penalties
HT 1-0AET 0-0PEN 5-4
Barau FC
Mobolaji Johnson Arena, Lagos 11/06/2026
Ikorodu CityIkorodu City
2-2
After Penalties
Barau FCBarau FC

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
66%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.58
SignalGOODModel9%SurpriseHighGap+8.0%
Ikorodu City Rest
18 days
Barau FC Rest
18 days

Ikorodu City vs Barau FC: the result in context

Ikorodu City beat Barau FC on penalties (5-4) after a 2-2 draw in the Federation Cup on 11 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
34%2.15
X
32%2.90
2
34%3.30
Double Chance
1X
66%1.25
X2
66%1.58
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%2.08
No
56%1.64
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.47
Over 2.5
38%2.49
Over 3.5
18%4.65
Under 1.5
37%2.35
Under 2.5
62%1.46
Under 3.5
82%1.12
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

45'I. Ayoola
49'H. Ezeonye
69'J. Atule
72'I. Ayoola

Penalty Shootout5 - 4

1A. Sugau(Penalty)
1F. Temitope(Penalty)
2S. Anthony(Penalty)
2K. Light(Penalty)
3M. Umar(Penalty missed)
3R. Owolabi(Penalty missed)
4J. Atule(Penalty)
4I. Ayoola(Penalty)
5O. K. Okagube(Penalty)
5D. Julu(Penalty)
6J. Ambrose(Penalty missed)
6M. Bada(Penalty)

Team Comparison

Ikorodu CityIkorodu City
Barau FCBarau FC
1529Elo Rating 1565
1.01Attack 1.10
2.07Defense 1.60
37%Hit Rate 14%

Game State Tendencies

Ikorodu CityIkorodu City
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Barau FCBarau FC
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

Ikorodu CityIkorodu City1Wins · 50%
Draws00%
Barau FCBarau FC1Wins · 50%
1.5Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 2
0%3+ goals0 of 2

Previous meetings

NPFL02/02/2026
Barau FCIkorodu City
10
NPFL14/09/2025
Ikorodu CityBarau FC
20

Recent Form

Ikorodu CityIkorodu City
4W1D5L
24/05/2026
Ikorodu CityEnugu Rangers
12
L
10/05/2026
Katsina UnitedIkorodu City
41
L
05/05/2026
Ikorodu CityWikki Tourist
31
W
19/04/2026
Abia WarriorsIkorodu City
21
L
12/04/2026
Ikorodu CityKano Pillars
30
W
06/04/2026
Plateau UnitedIkorodu City
41
L
29/03/2026
Ikorodu CityWarri Wolves
43
W
22/03/2026
Kun Khalifat FCIkorodu City
22
D
16/03/2026
Ikorodu CityRivers United
10
W
08/03/2026
Nasarawa UnitedIkorodu City
10
L
Barau FCBarau FC
4W3D3L
24/05/2026
Barau FCNasarawa United
30
W
10/05/2026
Shooting StarsBarau FC
10
L
03/05/2026
Barau FCEl Kanemi Warriors
30
W
19/04/2026
Kwara UnitedBarau FC
21
L
12/04/2026
Barau FCRemo Stars
21
W
05/04/2026
Enugu RangersBarau FC
00
D
29/03/2026
Barau FCKatsina United
00
D
21/03/2026
Wikki TouristBarau FC
00
D
15/03/2026
Barau FCAbia Warriors
20
W
08/03/2026
Kano PillarsBarau FC
10
L

Bracket

Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Ikorodu City25
Barau FC24
On penalties
Nasarawa United2
Plateau United1
Sokoto0
El Kanemi Warriors1
Wikki Tourist10
Flight FC Gboko10
El Kanemi Warriors3
Wikki Tourist1
Nasarawa United12
Ikorodu City14
On penalties
El Kanemi Warriors1
Ikorodu City0
Ikorodu City25
Barau FC24
On penalties
Nasarawa United2
Plateau United1
Sokoto0
El Kanemi Warriors1
Wikki Tourist10
Flight FC Gboko10

Explore more predictions

This match

All predictions

About the Ikorodu City vs Barau FC forecast

As a knockout tie in the Federation Cup, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Federation Cup

More Federation Cup fixtures and forecasts are on the Federation Cup Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Ikorodu City and Barau FC have met only 2 times recently, averaging 1.5 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.