Independiente del Valle vs Manta FC Prediction

Estadio Banco Guayaquil, Quito 04/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
83%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.19
SignalSOLIDModel63%RiskMediumGap-1.1%
Value Analysis
64%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.62
SignalGOODModel51%RiskMediumGap+7.3%
Independiente del Valle Rest
33 days
Manta FC Rest
34 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
68%1.19
X
25%5.75
2
7%13.00
Double Chance
1X
93%1.03
X2
32%4.32
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%2.28
No
49%1.54
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.46 + 0.77 = 3.23
Over 1.5
83%1.19
Over 2.5
64%1.62
Over 3.5
41%2.57
Under 1.5
17%4.33
Under 2.5
36%2.19
Under 3.5
59%1.45
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

23'C. GonzalezAssist: J. Sornoza
42'J. Espinoza
46'R. Schunke INJ. Viacava out
50'J. Mendez(Penalty missed)
55'C. Gonzalez
55'M. Ortiz
62'M. Ortiz
62'M. Ortiz
69'J. Alman INJ. Nazareno out
69'J. Angulo INJ. Blanco out
69'B. Ramirez INJ. Verges out
75'R. Briones
76'J. Espinoza IND. A. Romero Padilla out
76'R. Briones INH. Quintana out
76'E. Pata INM. Perello out
80'J. Jimenez INM. Valencia out
80'J. Troya INR. Burbano out
80'H. QuintanaAssist: D. A. Romero Padilla
84'A. Rodriguez INE. Quintero out
87'E. QuinteroAssist: H. Quintana

Match Stats

Independiente del ValleManta FC
58%Ball Possession42%
4Corner Kicks1
1Yellow Cards0
7Total Shots4
1Shots on Goal1
4Shots off Goal3
2Blocked Shots0
7Fouls3
0Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves1
3Free Kicks6

Team Comparison

Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle
Manta FCManta FC
1805Elo Rating 1395
1.59Attack 1.06
1.44Defense 1.29
39%Hit Rate 17%
13.2Shots per Game 9.9
4.8Shots on Target 3.4
5.2Corners per Game 2.9
1.2Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+410 Elo
High Goal Expectancy3.23 goals

Game State Tendencies

Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.4 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Manta FCManta FC
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Independiente del Valle 46%Draw 39%14% Manta FC
1.68Avg Goals
31%BTTS Rate
14%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle
4W0D1L
31/05/2026
Guayaquil City FCIndependiente del Valle
24
W
28/05/2026
Independiente del ValleRosario Central
10
W
23/05/2026
Independiente del ValleLibertad
23
L
20/05/2026
Independiente del ValleLibertad Asuncion
41
W
16/05/2026
MacaraIndependiente del Valle
03
W
Manta FCManta FC
2W1D2L
30/05/2026
Manta FCLibertad
21
W
26/05/2026
AucasManta FC
31
L
22/05/2026
9 de OctubreManta FC
3050
W
18/05/2026
Manta FCEmelec
00
D
11/05/2026
Manta FCMacara
01
L

League Table

Liga Pro 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle30242473:33+4074WWLDW
2Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica30149751:27+2451WWDDW
3MacaraMacara30156941:33+851WWLWW
4AucasAucas30148833:28+550LDDDW
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito301371031:24+746DWDLW
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC301111832:25+744DDWLW
7LibertadLibertad301181133:34-141LWDLW
8Leones del NorteLeones del Norte301091131:32-139LDWLL
9Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC301091133:36-339WLLWW
10Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC309111035:38-338LDDWD
11EmelecEmelec301091125:34-936LLWDW
12Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca301061425:37-1236DLWLD
13Orense SCOrense SC30961536:47-1133LWLLL
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario301021828:42-1432DWLLW
15Delfin SCDelfin SC30771619:31-1228DLWLL
16Manta FCManta FC30561917:42-2521DLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle3073:3374
2Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica3051:2751
3MacaraMacara3041:3351
4AucasAucas3033:2850
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito3031:2446
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC3032:2544
7LibertadLibertad3033:3441
8Leones del NorteLeones del Norte3031:3239
9Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC3033:3639
10Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC3035:3838
11EmelecEmelec3025:3436
12Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca3025:3736
13Orense SCOrense SC3036:4733
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario3028:4232
15Delfin SCDelfin SC3019:3128
16Manta FCManta FC3017:4221
Relegation

Independiente del Valle vs Manta FC Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Liga Pro fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

Independiente del Valle have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Independiente del Valle and Manta FC have met 5 times recently, averaging 1.68 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.