Irapuato vs Tritons Vallarta Prediction

Irapuato
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Tritons Vallarta
11/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.20
SignalGOODModel71%SurpriseMediumGap-12.1%
Irapuato Rest
13 days
Tritons Vallarta Rest
6 days

Irapuato vs Tritons Vallarta: the result in context

Irapuato beat Tritons Vallarta 1-0 in the Primera Premier on 11 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Irapuato had won 5 of their previous five, compared with none for Tritons Vallarta.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
68%1.20
X
18%5.50
2
14%11.00
Double Chance
1X
86%1.04
X2
32%3.86
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Team Comparison

IrapuatoIrapuato
Tritons VallartaTritons Vallarta
1627Elo Rating 1482
2.13Attack 0.63
2.53Defense 1.54
100%Hit Rate 0%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+145 Elo

Game State Tendencies

IrapuatoIrapuato
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Tritons VallartaTritons Vallarta
  • Tied at half-time in 50% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Recent Form

IrapuatoIrapuato
7W2D1L
27/09/2026
IrapuatoLobos ULMX
30
W
22/09/2026
Reboceros La PiedadIrapuato
23
W
13/09/2026
IrapuatoTigres de Alica
21
W
06/09/2026
CordobésIrapuato
03
W
30/08/2026
IrapuatoLos Cabos United
21
W
19/04/2026
IrapuatoMineros de Zacatecas
00
D
12/04/2026
TapatíoIrapuato
12
W
04/04/2026
IrapuatoCA La Paz
31
W
29/03/2026
MonarcasIrapuato
20
L
22/03/2026
IrapuatoCancún
22
D
Tritons VallartaTritons Vallarta
1W4D5L
04/10/2026
Lobos ULMXTritons Vallarta
21
L
27/09/2026
Tigres de AlicaTritons Vallarta
11
D
20/09/2026
Los Cabos UnitedTritons Vallarta
10
L
11/09/2026
Tritons VallartaZacatepec 1948
11
D
28/08/2026
Tritons VallartaReboceros La Piedad
01
L
26/04/2026
Deportiva VenadosTritons Vallarta
10
L
23/04/2026
Tritons VallartaDeportiva Venados
11
D
19/04/2026
TapachulaTritons Vallarta
11
D
16/04/2026
Tritons VallartaTapachula
10
W
11/04/2026
Leones NegrosTritons Vallarta
10
L

League Table

Primera Premier 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1IrapuatoIrapuato880020:5+1524WWWWW
2Racing de VeracruzRacing de Veracruz853019:7+1218DWWDD
3Pioneros de CancúnPioneros de Cancún852118:7+1117DDWWW
4CelayaCelaya851214:8+616WLLDW
5Reboceros La PiedadReboceros La Piedad850315:14+115DLWDL
6Tigres de AlicaTigres de Alica942314:10+414LWLWD
7Jaguares de ChiapasJaguares de Chiapas84229:8+114DDWWD
8Deportiva VenadosDeportiva Venados832317:16+111WWLLD
9Zacatepec 1948Zacatepec 194883238:10-211DLDWW
10ChapulinerosChapulineros832310:14-411WWWLD
11Lobos ULMXLobos ULMX831410:11-110WWLWL
12Los Cabos UnitedLos Cabos United83147:9-210DLLWW
13MontañesesMontañeses931513:18-510LLWLW
14CordobésCordobés82156:11-57LLWWL
15TapachulaTapachula82068:20-126WLLLL
16H2O PurepechasH2O Purepechas71153:8-54LWLLL
17Inter Playa del CarmenInter Playa del Carmen81166:16-104LLLWL
18Tritons VallartaTritons Vallarta70254:9-52LLLDL

About the Irapuato vs Tritons Vallarta forecast

The forecasts for this Primera Premier match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Irapuato and Tritons Vallarta in the Primera Premier table

The table shows a wide gap: Irapuato are 1st in the Primera Premier, while Tritons Vallarta sit 18th, 22 points behind. League goal record so far: Irapuato 20-5, Tritons Vallarta 4-9. The full standings are on the Primera Premier Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Irapuato have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Irapuato and Tritons Vallarta have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.