Jeonbuk Motors vs Gwangju FC Prediction

Jeonbuk Motors
2-2
Finished
HT 1-1
Gwangju FC
Jeonju World Cup Stadium, Jeonju·Park Byung-Jin 20/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
63%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.44
SignalSOLIDModel64%SurpriseMediumGap-6.4%
Jeonbuk Motors Rest
3 days
Gwangju FC Rest
6 days

Jeonbuk Motors vs Gwangju FC: result, form and history

Jeonbuk Motors and Gwangju FC drew 2-2 in the K League 1 on 20 Sep 2026. Jeonbuk Motors had gone in with the better form, having won 2 of their previous five against none for Gwangju FC.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them. Referee Park Byung-Jin averages 3.03 cards a game, 0.58 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
65%1.44
X
22%4.33
2
13%6.50
Double Chance
1X
87%1.09
X2
35%2.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.85
No
49%1.83
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.13 + 0.86 = 2.99
Over 1.5
78%1.20
Over 2.5
56%1.72
Over 3.5
35%2.74
Under 1.5
22%4.02
Under 2.5
44%2.09
Under 3.5
65%1.40
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

29'Shin Chang-mooFoul
35'Tiago OrobóAssist: Kim Young-Bin
44'Kim Tae-hyeonOG
45'Hólmbert Aron Friðjónsson INJohn Iredale out
45'Lee Min-Ki INPark Won-Jae out
45'Jang Seok-hwan INAhn Young-Kyu out
51'Kim Young-BinFoul
59'Lee Dong-Jun INItalo Vargas out
59'Kim Jin-Gyu INVinicius Rodrigues Adelino Dos Santos out
71'João Pedro Reginaldo INMoon Min-Seo out
78'Tiago OrobóAssist: Cho Wi-Je
83'Min Sang-gi INRi Yong-jik out
84'Seung-Woo Lee INKim Seung-sub out
84'Lee Yeong-jae INMaeng Seong-ung out
90+1'John Iredale
90+3'João Gamboa INBruno Mota out

Lineups

Jeonbuk Motors
4-2-3-1Coach: Chung Jung-Yong
Gwangju FC
4-4-2Coach: Jeong-kyu Lee
Avg rating6.15
Avg rating6.18
Song Bum-Keun5.931S. Bum-Keun
Kim Tae-Hyun5.477K. Tae-Hyun
Cho Wi-Je6.34C. Wi-Je
Kim Young-Bin6.32K. Young-Bin
Kim Tae-Hwan6.123K. Tae-Hwan
João Gamboa6.016J. Gamboa
Kim Jin-Gyu5.997K. Jin-Gyu
Lee Dong-Jun5.77L. Dong-Jun
Lee Yeong-Jae5.828L. Yeong-Jae
Lee Seung-Woo6.410L. Seung-Woo
Tiago Orobó7.99T. Orobó
Kim Dong-Hwa5.723K. Dong-Hwa
Lee Min-Gi6.13L. Min-Gi
Min Sang-Gi6.039M. Sang-Gi
Jang Suk-Hwan6.12J. Suk-Hwan
João Pedro6.417J. Pedro
A. Ba Loua6.250A. Ba Loua
Choi Kyoung-Rok6.010C. Kyoung-Rok
Yu Je-Ho6.014Y. Je-Ho
Ha Seung-Un5.89H. Seung-Un
H. Friðjónsson6.511H. Friðjónsson
Shin Chang-Moo6.340S. Chang-Moo

Jeonbuk Motors Substitutes

11Kim Seung-Sub84'for Seung-Woo Lee6.5
24Lee Sang-Myung
1Lee Ju-Hyun
6Maeng Seong-Ung84'for Lee Yeong-jae5.6
5Park Ji-Soo
30Dodozinho59'for Kim Jin-Gyu6.0
99Bruno Mota90+3'for João Gamboa
3Yeon Je-Un
95Italo59'for Lee Dong-Jun6.5

Gwangju FC Substitutes

6Ahn Young-Kyu45'for Jang Seok-hwan5.8
18J. Iredale45'for Hólmbert Aron Friðjónsson90+1'7.9
8Ju Se-Jong
70Kim Woo-jin
1Kim Kyeong-Min
37Lee Yong-Jick83'for Min Sang-gi6.4
88Moon Min-seo71'for João Pedro Reginaldo5.9
33Park Won-Jae45'for Lee Min-Ki5.7
7E. Saitoski

Match Stats

Jeonbuk MotorsGwangju FC
63%Ball Possession37%
7Corner Kicks1
1Yellow Cards1
25Total Shots13
9Shots on Goal3
12Shots off Goal5
15Shots Inside Box7
10Shots Outside Box6
4Blocked Shots5
6Fouls10
0Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves7
560Total Passes372
503Passes Accurate310
9Free Kicks5

Team Comparison

Jeonbuk MotorsJeonbuk Motors
Gwangju FCGwangju FC
1627Elo Rating 1474
1.40Attack 2.52
1.27Defense 1.26
23%Hit Rate 46%
14.9Shots per Game 13.2
6.0Shots on Target 4.9
4.0Corners per Game 1.4
1.6Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+153 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.99 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Jeonbuk MotorsJeonbuk Motors
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.5 in first half)
Gwangju FCGwangju FC
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.4 vs 1.1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Jeonbuk MotorsJeonbuk Motors5Wins · 50%
Draws440%
Gwangju FCGwangju FC1Wins · 10%
2.3Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

K League 105/05/2026
Jeonbuk MotorsGwangju FC
40
K League 114/03/2026
Gwangju FCJeonbuk Motors
00
FA Cup06/12/2025
Gwangju FCJeonbuk Motors
1121
K League 126/07/2025
Gwangju FCJeonbuk Motors
12
K League 111/05/2025
Gwangju FCJeonbuk Motors
01
K League 123/02/2025
Jeonbuk MotorsGwangju FC
22
K League 124/11/2024
Gwangju FCJeonbuk Motors
11
K League 109/08/2024
Jeonbuk MotorsGwangju FC
01
K League 119/05/2024
Gwangju FCJeonbuk Motors
03
K League 113/04/2024
Jeonbuk MotorsGwangju FC
21

Recent Form

Jeonbuk MotorsJeonbuk Motors
3W3D4L
16/09/2026
Jeonbuk MotorsKashiwa Reysol
21
W
12/09/2026
Jeonbuk MotorsFC Seoul
12
L
09/09/2026
Gangwon FCJeonbuk Motors
11
D
05/09/2026
Jeonbuk MotorsPohang Steelers
20
W
30/08/2026
Incheon UnitedJeonbuk Motors
11
D
25/08/2026
Gimcheon Sangmu FCJeonbuk Motors
00
D
22/08/2026
Jeonbuk MotorsUlsan Hyundai FC
10
W
19/08/2026
Jeonbuk MotorsDangjin Citizen
3252
L
16/08/2026
Bucheon FC 1995Jeonbuk Motors
32
L
08/08/2026
Jeonbuk MotorsJeju United FC
13
L
Gwangju FCGwangju FC
1W4D5L
13/09/2026
Gwangju FCFC Anyang
11
D
09/09/2026
Gwangju FCJeju United FC
01
L
06/09/2026
Gimcheon Sangmu FCGwangju FC
22
D
30/08/2026
Gwangju FCFC Seoul
25
L
26/08/2026
Gangwon FCGwangju FC
22
D
23/08/2026
Gwangju FCIncheon United
01
L
19/08/2026
Ulsan CitizenGwangju FC
01
W
15/08/2026
Gwangju FCPohang Steelers
12
L
08/08/2026
Bucheon FC 1995Gwangju FC
00
D
02/08/2026
Daejeon CitizenGwangju FC
20
L

Referee Profile

Park Byung-Jin97 matches

3.03Cards per match
2.90Yellow cards per match
0.13Red cards per match
25.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Park Byung-Jin3.03
Other referees3.61

3.03 cards a match, 0.58 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.61).

Cards come from 71 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

K League 1 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC SeoulFC Seoul33207661:29+3267DDWLW
2Ulsan Hyundai FCUlsan Hyundai FC331561252:47+551DWLLW
3Daejeon CitizenDaejeon Citizen3313101053:41+1249WWWDD
4Jeonbuk MotorsJeonbuk Motors331212943:33+1048DWLDL
5Gangwon FCGangwon FC331115740:30+1048DDWDL
6Incheon UnitedIncheon United3312101143:35+846WDWDD
7Jeju United FCJeju United FC3312101139:37+246LLLWD
8FC AnyangFC Anyang3310131040:48-843DDWWD
9Pohang SteelersPohang Steelers331191330:39-942DDLWD
10Gimcheon Sangmu FCGimcheon Sangmu FC33519933:41-834LDLWD
11Bucheon FC 1995Bucheon FC 1995337111532:47-1532LLLLD
12Gwangju FCGwangju FC333121830:69-3921WLWDD
#TeamMPGPts
1FC SeoulFC Seoul3361:2967
2Ulsan Hyundai FCUlsan Hyundai FC3352:4751
3Daejeon CitizenDaejeon Citizen3353:4149
4Jeonbuk MotorsJeonbuk Motors3343:3348
5Gangwon FCGangwon FC3340:3048
6Incheon UnitedIncheon United3343:3546
7Jeju United FCJeju United FC3339:3746
8FC AnyangFC Anyang3340:4843
9Pohang SteelersPohang Steelers3330:3942
10Gimcheon Sangmu FCGimcheon Sangmu FC3333:4134
11Bucheon FC 1995Bucheon FC 19953332:4732
12Gwangju FCGwangju FC3330:6921
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About the Jeonbuk Motors vs Gwangju FC forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Jeonbuk Motors and Gwangju FC in the K League 1 table

The table shows a wide gap: Jeonbuk Motors are 4th in the K League 1, while Gwangju FC sit 12th, 27 points behind. League goal record so far: Jeonbuk Motors 43-33, Gwangju FC 30-69. The full standings are on the K League 1 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.