Jong AZ vs Den Bosch Prediction

Eerste DivisieNetherlands Netherlands · Regular Season - 10
Jong AZ
0-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Den Bosch
AFAS Trainingscomplex, Alkmaar 09/10/2026
Jong AZJong AZ
0-1
Finished
Den BoschDen Bosch

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.31
SignalGOODModel55%SurpriseMediumGap-2.7%
Jong AZ Rest
21 days
Den Bosch Rest
6 days

Jong AZ vs Den Bosch: result, form and history

Den Bosch beat Jong AZ 1-0 in the Eerste Divisie on 9 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Jong AZ had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Den Bosch.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.1 goals, and both sides scored in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
51%1.89
X
22%4.32
2
27%3.20
Double Chance
1X
73%1.31
X2
48%1.84
Both Teams to Score
Yes
75%1.22
No
25%3.75
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.35 + 1.39 = 3.74
Over 1.5
93%1.05
Over 2.5
81%1.20
Over 3.5
63%1.55
Under 1.5
7%9.55
Under 2.5
19%4.12
Under 3.5
37%2.28
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.8 = 10.2
Over 8.5
70%1.23
Over 9.5
58%1.44
Over 10.5
47%1.78
Under 8.5
30%3.29
Under 9.5
42%2.48
Under 10.5
53%1.95
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 1.9 = 3.6
Over 3.5
48%-
Over 4.5
29%-
Under 3.5
52%-
Under 4.5
71%-

Match Events

41'Hessel EikelboomAssist: Kevin Monzialo
43'Julian OeripFoul
45'Jack de Vries INWang Bohao out
45'Jerolldino Armantrading INGijs Groot out
61'Wassim bouziane INJulian Sijbrands out
61'Kevin toppenberg INJasper Hartog out
77'Sebastian Karlsson Grach INIlias Boumassaoudi out
81'Hessel de Wit INSaviola Mourinho Simons Saffoe out
87'Andrea Natali INMathijs Menu out

Lineups

Jong AZ
4-2-3-1Coach: Norbert Alblas
Den Bosch
3-1-4-2Coach: Bart Schreuder
Avg rating6.38
Avg rating7.10
K. Zeggen6.81K. Zeggen
J. Zwart6.72J. Zwart
A. Natali6.93A. Natali
F. Andersen6.14F. Andersen
K. Inge6.55K. Inge
R. Robbemond6.66R. Robbemond
J. Oerip6.18J. Oerip
K. Toppenberg6.47K. Toppenberg
H. de Wit6.210H. de Wit
1111W. bouziane
Jerolldino Armantrading6.09J. Armantrading
P. van de Merbel7.91P. van de Merbel
Jeffry Fortes7.422J. Fortes
Silvan Broker7.425S. Broker
S. Maas7.23S. Maas
H. Eikelboom7.918H. Eikelboom
S. Barglan7.22S. Barglan
J. De Vries7.111J. De Vries
Devon Decorte6.610D. Decorte
M. Laros6.333M. Laros
K. Monzialo7.68K. Monzialo
S. Karlsson Grach6.29S. Karlsson Grach

Jong AZ Substitutes

21Julian Sijbrands61'replaced by Wassim bouziane
19Gijs Groot45'replaced by Jerolldino Armantrading
18Bohdan Budko
15J. Esajas
20J. Hartog61'for Kevin toppenberg6.4
16I. Ka
14Mathijs Menu87'for Andrea Natali6.3
17Saviola Mourinho Simons Saffoe81'replaced by Hessel de Wit
23J. Schipper
12K. van Ouytsel

Den Bosch Substitutes

31E. Bijlsma
40I. Boumassaoudi77'for Sebastian Karlsson Grach6.5
55G. Hessels
27L. Hoffman
21F. Murre
17E. Semedo
16Wang Bohao45'for Jack de Vries7.0
54Jari De Kruijff
41K. de Rooij
4J. van Heertum
35B. van Schuppen

Match Stats

Jong AZDen Bosch
62%Ball Possession38%
10Corner Kicks7
1Yellow Cards0
15Total Shots17
5Shots on Goal4
6Shots off Goal3
8Shots Inside Box9
7Shots Outside Box8
4Blocked Shots10
14Fouls7
1Offsides3
3Goalkeeper Saves5
526Total Passes316
433Passes Accurate227
6Free Kicks14

Team Comparison

Jong AZJong AZ
Den BoschDen Bosch
1532Elo Rating 1499
3.07Attack 1.36
0.50Defense 1.93
44%Hit Rate 42%
16.5Shots per Game 14.4
6.4Shots on Target 4.2
5.8Corners per Game 6.5
1.3Cards per Game 1.4

AI Insights

âš½High Goal Expectancy3.74 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Jong AZJong AZ
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 1.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Den BoschDen Bosch
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Jong AZJong AZ2Wins · 20%
Draws550%
Den BoschDen Bosch3Wins · 30%
3.1Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Eerste Divisie23/02/2026
Jong AZDen Bosch
22
Eerste Divisie26/09/2025
Den BoschJong AZ
23
Eerste Divisie28/04/2025
Jong AZDen Bosch
00
Eerste Divisie16/08/2024
Den BoschJong AZ
60
Eerste Divisie16/02/2024
Den BoschJong AZ
00
Eerste Divisie11/12/2023
Jong AZDen Bosch
00
Eerste Divisie17/02/2023
Jong AZDen Bosch
31
Eerste Divisie14/10/2022
Den BoschJong AZ
30
Eerste Divisie20/12/2021
Jong AZDen Bosch
33
Eerste Divisie17/09/2021
Den BoschJong AZ
21

Recent Form

Jong AZJong AZ
5W1D4L
18/09/2026
Jong AZFC Volendam
41
W
14/09/2026
Jong PSV U21Jong AZ
11
D
11/09/2026
HeraclesJong AZ
32
L
05/09/2026
DordrechtJong AZ
36
W
31/08/2026
Jong AZJong Utrecht
21
W
28/08/2026
Jong AZMVV
12
L
21/08/2026
EmmenJong AZ
31
L
17/08/2026
De GraafschapJong AZ
25
W
10/08/2026
Jong AZFC Eindhoven
01
L
01/08/2026
IjsselmeervogelsJong AZ
17
W
Den BoschDen Bosch
3W2D5L
03/10/2026
Den BoschDordrecht
11
D
27/09/2026
De GraafschapDen Bosch
10
L
18/09/2026
Den BoschHelmond Sport
21
W13/09/2026
FC VolendamDen Bosch
20
L
07/09/2026
Jong PSV U21Den Bosch
31
L
28/08/2026
Den BoschVitesse
14
L
21/08/2026
Den BoschFC Eindhoven
52
W
14/08/2026
HeraclesDen Bosch
32
L
08/08/2026
Den BoschAlmere City FC
11
D
31/07/2026
Den BoschAl-Fayha
20
W

League Table

Eerste Divisie 2026

Eerste Divisie: Regular season

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HeraclesHeracles1292137:14+2329DWWDW
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo1281334:20+1425WDWWL
3EmmenEmmen1281326:19+725WWWDW
4Almere City FCAlmere City FC1271425:12+1322LLWWL
5RodaRoda1264215:11+422WWDLW
6NAC BredaNAC Breda1263323:20+321DWWDW
7FC VolendamFC Volendam1261529:20+919WDWLW
8Jong AZJong AZ1252531:26+517WDLWD
9VitesseVitesse1252516:17-117LWLDL
10MVVMVV1252516:27-1117DLLLW
11WaalwijkWaalwijk1237221:17+416DDLDL
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211244417:19-216WLDLD
13Den BoschDen Bosch1243518:21-315DWWDL
14FC OSSFC OSS1241719:20-113DLWWL
15Jong AjaxJong Ajax1233618:29-1112DWLDL
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1233615:26-1112DLWDW
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1232716:25-911LLLDL
18DordrechtDordrecht1232716:31-1511LWLDW
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport1223720:26-69LLLDL
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1221919:31-127LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1HeraclesHeracles1237:1429
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo1234:2025
3EmmenEmmen1226:1925
4Almere City FCAlmere City FC1225:1222
5RodaRoda1215:1122
6NAC BredaNAC Breda1223:2021
7FC VolendamFC Volendam1229:2019
8Jong AZJong AZ1231:2617
9VitesseVitesse1216:1717
10MVVMVV1216:2717
11WaalwijkWaalwijk1221:1716
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211217:1916
13Den BoschDen Bosch1218:2115
14FC OSSFC OSS1219:2013
15Jong AjaxJong Ajax1218:2912
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1215:2612
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1216:2511
18DordrechtDordrecht1216:3111
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport1220:269
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1219:317

Eerste Divisie: Period 1

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HeraclesHeracles1081131:12+1925DWWDW
2Almere City FCAlmere City FC1071222:7+1522LLWWL
3VVV VenloVVV Venlo1070326:14+1221WDWWL
4EmmenEmmen1061322:18+419WWWDW
5NAC BredaNAC Breda1052320:19+117DWWDW
6RodaRoda1044210:8+216WWDLW
7MVVMVV1051413:20-716DLLLW
8FC VolendamFC Volendam1050522:17+515WDWLW
9WaalwijkWaalwijk1035219:15+414DDLDL
10VitesseVitesse1042415:15014LWLDL
11Jong AZJong AZ1041522:18+413WDLWD
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211034315:17-213WLDLD
13FC OSSFC OSS1040615:15012DLWWL
14Den BoschDen Bosch1032514:18-411DWWDL
15FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1032515:22-711LLLDL
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1032513:23-1011DLWDW
17Helmond SportHelmond Sport1023516:19-39LLLDL
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax1022613:25-128DWLDL
19DordrechtDordrecht1022613:27-148LWLDW
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1021716:23-77LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1HeraclesHeracles1031:1225
2Almere City FCAlmere City FC1022:722
3VVV VenloVVV Venlo1026:1421
4EmmenEmmen1022:1819
5NAC BredaNAC Breda1020:1917
6RodaRoda1010:816
7MVVMVV1013:2016
8FC VolendamFC Volendam1022:1715
9WaalwijkWaalwijk1019:1514
10VitesseVitesse1015:1514
11Jong AZJong AZ1022:1813
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211015:1713
13FC OSSFC OSS1015:1512
14Den BoschDen Bosch1014:1811
15FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1015:2211
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1013:2311
17Helmond SportHelmond Sport1016:199
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax1013:258
19DordrechtDordrecht1013:278
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1016:237

Eerste Divisie: Period 2

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1EmmenEmmen22004:1+36WWWDW
2RodaRoda22005:3+26WWDLW
3FC VolendamFC Volendam21107:3+44WDWLW
4HeraclesHeracles21106:2+44DWWDW
5VVV VenloVVV Venlo21108:6+24WDWWL
6NAC BredaNAC Breda21103:1+24DWWDW
7Den BoschDen Bosch21104:3+14DWWDL
8Jong AjaxJong Ajax21105:4+14DWLDL
9Jong AZJong AZ21109:8+14WDLWD
10Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2121012:203WLDLD
11DordrechtDordrecht21013:4-13LWLDW
12VitesseVitesse21011:2-13LWLDL
13WaalwijkWaalwijk20202:202DDLDL
14De GraafschapDe Graafschap20112:3-11DLWDW
15FC OSSFC OSS20114:5-11DLWWL
16MVVMVV20113:7-41DLLLW
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven20021:3-20LLLDL
18Almere City FCAlmere City FC20023:5-20LLWWL
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport20024:7-30LLLDL
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht20023:8-50LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1EmmenEmmen24:16
2RodaRoda25:36
3FC VolendamFC Volendam27:34
4HeraclesHeracles26:24
5VVV VenloVVV Venlo28:64
6NAC BredaNAC Breda23:14
7Den BoschDen Bosch24:34
8Jong AjaxJong Ajax25:44
9Jong AZJong AZ29:84
10Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2122:23
11DordrechtDordrecht23:43
12VitesseVitesse21:23
13WaalwijkWaalwijk22:22
14De GraafschapDe Graafschap22:31
15FC OSSFC OSS24:51
16MVVMVV23:71
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven21:30
18Almere City FCAlmere City FC23:50
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport24:70
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht23:80

Eerste Divisie: Period 3

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00000:000DLWDW
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00000:000WDWWL
3Den BoschDen Bosch00000:000DWWDL
4DordrechtDordrecht00000:000LWLDW
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00000:000LLLDL
6EmmenEmmen00000:000WWWDW
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00000:000LLLDL
8MVVMVV00000:000DLLLW
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00000:000LLWWL
10FC OSSFC OSS00000:000DLWWL
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00000:000WDWLW
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00000:000DDLDL
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00000:000DWWDW
14RodaRoda00000:000WWDLW
15VitesseVitesse00000:000LWLDL
16HeraclesHeracles00000:000DWWDW
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100000:000WLDLD
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00000:000DWLDL
19Jong AZJong AZ00000:000WDLWD
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00000:000LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00:00
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00:00
3Den BoschDen Bosch00:00
4DordrechtDordrecht00:00
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00:00
6EmmenEmmen00:00
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00:00
8MVVMVV00:00
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00:00
10FC OSSFC OSS00:00
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00:00
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00:00
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00:00
14RodaRoda00:00
15VitesseVitesse00:00
16HeraclesHeracles00:00
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100:00
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00:00
19Jong AZJong AZ00:00
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00:00

Eerste Divisie: Period 4

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00000:000DLWDW
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00000:000WDWWL
3Den BoschDen Bosch00000:000DWWDL
4DordrechtDordrecht00000:000LWLDW
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00000:000LLLDL
6EmmenEmmen00000:000WWWDW
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00000:000LLLDL
8MVVMVV00000:000DLLLW
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00000:000LLWWL
10FC OSSFC OSS00000:000DLWWL
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00000:000WDWLW
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00000:000DDLDL
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00000:000DWWDW
14RodaRoda00000:000WWDLW
15VitesseVitesse00000:000LWLDL
16HeraclesHeracles00000:000DWWDW
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100000:000WLDLD
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00000:000DWLDL
19Jong AZJong AZ00000:000WDLWD
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00000:000LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00:00
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00:00
3Den BoschDen Bosch00:00
4DordrechtDordrecht00:00
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00:00
6EmmenEmmen00:00
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00:00
8MVVMVV00:00
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00:00
10FC OSSFC OSS00:00
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00:00
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00:00
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00:00
14RodaRoda00:00
15VitesseVitesse00:00
16HeraclesHeracles00:00
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100:00
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00:00
19Jong AZJong AZ00:00
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00:00
Promotion

Explore more predictions

This match

More Eerste Divisie matches

All predictions

About the Jong AZ vs Den Bosch forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Jong AZ and Den Bosch in the Eerste Divisie table

In the Eerste Divisie table, Jong AZ are 8th and Den Bosch 13th, 2 points apart. League goal record so far: Jong AZ 31-26, Den Bosch 18-21. The full standings are on the Eerste Divisie Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Den Bosch have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.