De Graafschap vs Jong Utrecht Prediction

Eerste DivisieNetherlands Netherlands · Regular Season - 10
De Graafschap
2-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Jong Utrecht
De Vijverberg, Dutinghem 09/10/2026
De GraafschapDe Graafschap
2-1
Finished
Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.19
SignalHIGHModel61%SurpriseMediumGap-4.2%
De Graafschap Rest
6 days
Jong Utrecht Rest
21 days

De Graafschap vs Jong Utrecht: the result in context

De Graafschap beat Jong Utrecht 2-1 in the Eerste Divisie on 9 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
57%1.61
X
23%4.34
2
20%4.40
Double Chance
1X
80%1.19
X2
43%2.20
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%1.37
No
34%2.86
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.03 + 1.15 = 3.18
Over 1.5
86%1.07
Over 2.5
68%1.30
Over 3.5
47%1.83
Under 1.5
14%6.97
Under 2.5
32%3.10
Under 3.5
53%1.92
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 4.9 = 10.5
Over 8.5
70%1.24
Over 9.5
58%1.48
Over 10.5
47%1.83
Under 8.5
30%3.30
Under 9.5
42%2.44
Under 10.5
53%1.92
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 2.1 = 3.8
Over 3.5
52%-
Over 4.5
32%-
Under 3.5
48%-
Under 4.5
68%-

Match Events

24'Wessel Kooy
42'Emmanuel Chigozie OwenFoul
45'Kaya Symons INToivo Mero out
60'Noa Malik Dundas INRichie Omorowa out
60'Jannes Luca·Wieckhoff INLevi Schoppema out
60'Bjorn van Zijl INgabriele finocchiaro out
60'Jaygo van Ommeren INDriss Laaouina out
72'Kyano Kwint INJulian kania out
74'Massien Ghaddari INtijn boggende den out
74'Fedde De JongAssist: gabriele finocchiaro
77'Julian kaniaAssist: Nolan Martens
78'Mark Diemers INJoran Hardeman out
80'Emmanuel Chigozie Owen INLevi Rietveld out
80'Bjorn Menzo INDonovan Afrifa out
84'Joran HardemanArgument
88'Julian kaniaFoul

Lineups

De Graafschap
4-2-3-1Coach: T. Duivenvoorden
Jong Utrecht
4-3-3Coach: Omar Rziki
Avg rating6.75
Avg rating6.42
T. Wieggers6.31T. Wieggers
J. Wieckhoff6.92J. Wieckhoff
R. Besselink6.83R. Besselink
T. Kok6.915T. Kok
N. Martens6.516N. Martens
D. Warmerdam6.78D. Warmerdam
K. Symons6.821K. Symons
F. de Jong7.210F. de Jong
M. Diemers7.223M. Diemers
Bjorn van Zijl7.07B. van Zijl
Kyano Kwint6.440K. Kwint
M. Eppink6.01M. Eppink
Yousri Sbai6.82Y. Sbai
J. Schuldes7.03J. Schuldes
W. Kooy7.814W. Kooy
Viggo Plantinga6.45V. Plantinga
F. Pohl6.76F. Pohl
N. Dundas6.19N. Dundas
J. van Ommeren6.58J. van Ommeren
E. C. Owen6.211E. C. Owen
Massien Ghaddari5.810M. Ghaddari
Bjorn Menzo6.37B. Menzo

De Graafschap Substitutes

33R. Jonkers
17N. Kaninda
11T. Mero45'for Kaya Symons6.5
22P. Reverson
5L. Schoppema60'for Jannes Luca·Wieckhoff6.3
28J. Triep
4J. Hardeman78'for Mark Diemers84'6.2
20Gabriele Finocchiaro60'for Bjorn van Zijl6.7
18Denzel Eijken
14Gijs Bolk
27N. Ahmeti-Grainca
9J. Kania72'for Kyano Kwint77'88'7.5

Jong Utrecht Substitutes

20Tijn den Boggende74'for Massien Ghaddari6.4
32M. Tsankov
21L. Rietveld80'for Emmanuel Chigozie Owen6.1
19R. Omorowa60'for Noa Malik Dundas5.9
18D. Laaouina60'for Jaygo van Ommeren6.2
22Matyas Havelka
16Kenji Goes
31Justin Eversen
13A. Aslani
12Donovan Afrifa80'replaced by Bjorn Menzo

Match Stats

De GraafschapJong Utrecht
54%Ball Possession46%
6Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards1
16Total Shots18
5Shots on Goal3
6Shots off Goal10
9Shots Inside Box10
7Shots Outside Box8
5Blocked Shots5
10Fouls20
2Goalkeeper Saves2
425Total Passes354
337Passes Accurate265
20Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

De GraafschapDe Graafschap
Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht
1510Elo Rating 1426
1.36Attack 1.97
1.75Defense 0.00
34%Hit Rate 14%
13.8Shots per Game 18.4
4.5Shots on Target 5.9
5.4Corners per Game 7.0
1.3Cards per Game 0.9

AI Insights

âš½High Goal Expectancy3.18 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

De GraafschapDe Graafschap
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

De GraafschapDe Graafschap4Wins · 40%
Draws550%
Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1Wins · 10%
2.8Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Eerste Divisie20/02/2026
De GraafschapJong Utrecht
10
Eerste Divisie08/12/2025
Jong UtrechtDe Graafschap
23
Eerste Divisie20/01/2025
Jong UtrechtDe Graafschap
11
Eerste Divisie23/08/2024
De GraafschapJong Utrecht
22
Eerste Divisie03/05/2024
De GraafschapJong Utrecht
22
Eerste Divisie24/11/2023
Jong UtrechtDe Graafschap
20
Eerste Divisie30/01/2023
Jong UtrechtDe Graafschap
11
Eerste Divisie14/10/2022
De GraafschapJong Utrecht
20
Eerste Divisie20/12/2021
Jong UtrechtDe Graafschap
02
Eerste Divisie24/09/2021
De GraafschapJong Utrecht
22

Recent Form

De GraafschapDe Graafschap
2W2D6L
03/10/2026
FC EindhovenDe Graafschap
22
D
27/09/2026
De GraafschapDen Bosch
10
W
20/09/2026
De GraafschapNAC Breda
12
L
11/09/2026
EmmenDe Graafschap
12
W
04/09/2026
HeraclesDe Graafschap
50
L
29/08/2026
De GraafschapAlmere City FC
14
L
23/08/2026
VVV VenloDe Graafschap
21
L
17/08/2026
De GraafschapJong AZ
25
L
09/08/2026
Helmond SportDe Graafschap
11
D
01/08/2026
De GraafschapExcelsior
15
L
Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht
2W1D7L
18/09/2026
Jong UtrechtVVV Venlo
13
L
14/09/2026
Jong UtrechtJong Ajax
61
W11/09/2026
NAC BredaJong Utrecht
23
W
07/09/2026
Jong UtrechtFC Eindhoven
00
D
31/08/2026
Jong AZJong Utrecht
21
L
28/08/2026
FC OSSJong Utrecht
21
L
24/08/2026
Jong UtrechtHeracles
16
L17/08/2026
Jong UtrechtVitesse
13
L09/08/2026
MVVJong Utrecht
21
L
26/07/2026
Borussia Dortmund IIJong Utrecht
51
L

League Table

Eerste Divisie 2026

Eerste Divisie: Regular season

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HeraclesHeracles1292137:14+2329DWWDW
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo1281334:20+1425WDWWL
3EmmenEmmen1281326:19+725WWWDW
4Almere City FCAlmere City FC1271425:12+1322LLWWL
5RodaRoda1264215:11+422WWDLW
6NAC BredaNAC Breda1263323:20+321DWWDW
7FC VolendamFC Volendam1261529:20+919WDWLW
8Jong AZJong AZ1252531:26+517WDLWD
9VitesseVitesse1252516:17-117LWLDL
10MVVMVV1252516:27-1117DLLLW
11WaalwijkWaalwijk1237221:17+416DDLDL
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211244417:19-216WLDLD
13Den BoschDen Bosch1243518:21-315DWWDL
14FC OSSFC OSS1241719:20-113DLWWL
15Jong AjaxJong Ajax1233618:29-1112DWLDL
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1233615:26-1112DLWDW
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1232716:25-911LLLDL
18DordrechtDordrecht1232716:31-1511LWLDW
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport1223720:26-69LLLDL
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1221919:31-127LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1HeraclesHeracles1237:1429
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo1234:2025
3EmmenEmmen1226:1925
4Almere City FCAlmere City FC1225:1222
5RodaRoda1215:1122
6NAC BredaNAC Breda1223:2021
7FC VolendamFC Volendam1229:2019
8Jong AZJong AZ1231:2617
9VitesseVitesse1216:1717
10MVVMVV1216:2717
11WaalwijkWaalwijk1221:1716
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211217:1916
13Den BoschDen Bosch1218:2115
14FC OSSFC OSS1219:2013
15Jong AjaxJong Ajax1218:2912
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1215:2612
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1216:2511
18DordrechtDordrecht1216:3111
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport1220:269
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1219:317

Eerste Divisie: Period 1

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HeraclesHeracles1081131:12+1925DWWDW
2Almere City FCAlmere City FC1071222:7+1522LLWWL
3VVV VenloVVV Venlo1070326:14+1221WDWWL
4EmmenEmmen1061322:18+419WWWDW
5NAC BredaNAC Breda1052320:19+117DWWDW
6RodaRoda1044210:8+216WWDLW
7MVVMVV1051413:20-716DLLLW
8FC VolendamFC Volendam1050522:17+515WDWLW
9WaalwijkWaalwijk1035219:15+414DDLDL
10VitesseVitesse1042415:15014LWLDL
11Jong AZJong AZ1041522:18+413WDLWD
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211034315:17-213WLDLD
13FC OSSFC OSS1040615:15012DLWWL
14Den BoschDen Bosch1032514:18-411DWWDL
15FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1032515:22-711LLLDL
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1032513:23-1011DLWDW
17Helmond SportHelmond Sport1023516:19-39LLLDL
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax1022613:25-128DWLDL
19DordrechtDordrecht1022613:27-148LWLDW
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1021716:23-77LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1HeraclesHeracles1031:1225
2Almere City FCAlmere City FC1022:722
3VVV VenloVVV Venlo1026:1421
4EmmenEmmen1022:1819
5NAC BredaNAC Breda1020:1917
6RodaRoda1010:816
7MVVMVV1013:2016
8FC VolendamFC Volendam1022:1715
9WaalwijkWaalwijk1019:1514
10VitesseVitesse1015:1514
11Jong AZJong AZ1022:1813
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211015:1713
13FC OSSFC OSS1015:1512
14Den BoschDen Bosch1014:1811
15FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1015:2211
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1013:2311
17Helmond SportHelmond Sport1016:199
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax1013:258
19DordrechtDordrecht1013:278
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1016:237

Eerste Divisie: Period 2

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1EmmenEmmen22004:1+36WWWDW
2RodaRoda22005:3+26WWDLW
3FC VolendamFC Volendam21107:3+44WDWLW
4HeraclesHeracles21106:2+44DWWDW
5VVV VenloVVV Venlo21108:6+24WDWWL
6NAC BredaNAC Breda21103:1+24DWWDW
7Den BoschDen Bosch21104:3+14DWWDL
8Jong AjaxJong Ajax21105:4+14DWLDL
9Jong AZJong AZ21109:8+14WDLWD
10Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2121012:203WLDLD
11DordrechtDordrecht21013:4-13LWLDW
12VitesseVitesse21011:2-13LWLDL
13WaalwijkWaalwijk20202:202DDLDL
14De GraafschapDe Graafschap20112:3-11DLWDW
15FC OSSFC OSS20114:5-11DLWWL
16MVVMVV20113:7-41DLLLW
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven20021:3-20LLLDL
18Almere City FCAlmere City FC20023:5-20LLWWL
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport20024:7-30LLLDL
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht20023:8-50LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1EmmenEmmen24:16
2RodaRoda25:36
3FC VolendamFC Volendam27:34
4HeraclesHeracles26:24
5VVV VenloVVV Venlo28:64
6NAC BredaNAC Breda23:14
7Den BoschDen Bosch24:34
8Jong AjaxJong Ajax25:44
9Jong AZJong AZ29:84
10Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2122:23
11DordrechtDordrecht23:43
12VitesseVitesse21:23
13WaalwijkWaalwijk22:22
14De GraafschapDe Graafschap22:31
15FC OSSFC OSS24:51
16MVVMVV23:71
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven21:30
18Almere City FCAlmere City FC23:50
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport24:70
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht23:80

Eerste Divisie: Period 3

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00000:000DLWDW
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00000:000WDWWL
3Den BoschDen Bosch00000:000DWWDL
4DordrechtDordrecht00000:000LWLDW
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00000:000LLLDL
6EmmenEmmen00000:000WWWDW
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00000:000LLLDL
8MVVMVV00000:000DLLLW
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00000:000LLWWL
10FC OSSFC OSS00000:000DLWWL
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00000:000WDWLW
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00000:000DDLDL
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00000:000DWWDW
14RodaRoda00000:000WWDLW
15VitesseVitesse00000:000LWLDL
16HeraclesHeracles00000:000DWWDW
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100000:000WLDLD
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00000:000DWLDL
19Jong AZJong AZ00000:000WDLWD
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00000:000LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00:00
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00:00
3Den BoschDen Bosch00:00
4DordrechtDordrecht00:00
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00:00
6EmmenEmmen00:00
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00:00
8MVVMVV00:00
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00:00
10FC OSSFC OSS00:00
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00:00
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00:00
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00:00
14RodaRoda00:00
15VitesseVitesse00:00
16HeraclesHeracles00:00
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100:00
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00:00
19Jong AZJong AZ00:00
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00:00

Eerste Divisie: Period 4

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00000:000DLWDW
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00000:000WDWWL
3Den BoschDen Bosch00000:000DWWDL
4DordrechtDordrecht00000:000LWLDW
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00000:000LLLDL
6EmmenEmmen00000:000WWWDW
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00000:000LLLDL
8MVVMVV00000:000DLLLW
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00000:000LLWWL
10FC OSSFC OSS00000:000DLWWL
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00000:000WDWLW
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00000:000DDLDL
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00000:000DWWDW
14RodaRoda00000:000WWDLW
15VitesseVitesse00000:000LWLDL
16HeraclesHeracles00000:000DWWDW
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100000:000WLDLD
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00000:000DWLDL
19Jong AZJong AZ00000:000WDLWD
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00000:000LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00:00
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00:00
3Den BoschDen Bosch00:00
4DordrechtDordrecht00:00
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00:00
6EmmenEmmen00:00
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00:00
8MVVMVV00:00
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00:00
10FC OSSFC OSS00:00
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00:00
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00:00
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00:00
14RodaRoda00:00
15VitesseVitesse00:00
16HeraclesHeracles00:00
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100:00
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00:00
19Jong AZJong AZ00:00
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00:00
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About the De Graafschap vs Jong Utrecht forecast

The forecasts for this Eerste Divisie match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

De Graafschap and Jong Utrecht in the Eerste Divisie table

In the Eerste Divisie table, De Graafschap are 16th and Jong Utrecht 20th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: De Graafschap 15-26, Jong Utrecht 19-31. The full standings are on the Eerste Divisie Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Jong Utrecht have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.