Kaspiy vs Ulytau Prediction

Kaspiy
1-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Ulytau
Zhestar Stadium, Aktau·S. Nozhenko 08/08/2026
KaspiyKaspiy
1-1
Finished
UlytauUlytau

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.73
SignalSOLIDModel36%SurpriseHighGap+8.5%
Kaspiy Rest
7 days
Ulytau Rest
6 days

Kaspiy vs Ulytau: the result in context

Kaspiy and Ulytau drew 1-1 in the Premier League on 8 Aug 2026. Kaspiy had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for Ulytau.

Their history points to a close game: 3 previous meetings produced 2.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
50%2.10
X
29%3.04
2
21%3.42
Double Chance
1X
79%1.26
X2
50%1.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.76
No
56%1.92
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.29
Over 2.5
38%2.00
Over 3.5
18%3.34
Under 1.5
36%3.10
Under 2.5
62%1.73
Under 3.5
82%1.26
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

19'V. Afanasenko
20'R. Abylaykhan(Penalty missed)
28'V. Klimovich
36'B. Vachiberadze
45+1'K. SyllaAssist: N. Ndombasi
46'G. Bugulov INM. Chalkin out
46'H. Harada INI. Chernyak out
58'M. Taykenov
66'R. Abylaykhan IND. Usenov out
68'R. Serikkul INK. Nursultanov out
68'D. Martin INA. Taubay out
72'B. ZulfikarovAssist: K. Kishi
80'N. Ndombasi INB. Kabylan out
87'K. Sylla INI. Umaev out
88'P. Sedko INM. Kucheriavyi out
88'V. Klimovich INM. Serikbay out
88'D. Carmona Sierra INB. Daniyarov out
90+2'K. Nursultanov

Lineups

Kaspiy
4-2-3-1Coach: Piraly Aliev
Ulytau
4-4-2Coach: Nurken Mazbaev
Nurlybek Ayazbaev1N. Ayazbaev
Dierzhon Aripov21D. Aripov
Meyrambek Kalmyrza67M. Kalmyrza
Bernardo Morgado30B. Morgado
Maksat Taykenov12M. Taykenov
David Epton15D. Epton
Vladislav Klimovich17V. Klimovich
Pavel Sedko26P. Sedko
Ramazan Abylaykhan96R. Abylaykhan
Noha Ndombasi11N. Ndombasi
Keba Sylla93K. Sylla
Dmytro Nepohodov1D. Nepohodov
David Carmona2D. Carmona
Georgiy Bugulov28G. Bugulov
Glib Bukhal25G. Bukhal
Vadim Afanasenko12V. Afanasenko
David Martin Anane90D. Martin Anane
Rinat Serikkul9R. Serikkul
Hiroki Harada14H. Harada
Kotaro Kishi7K. Kishi
Bakdaulet Zulfikarov45B. Zulfikarov
Beka Vachiberadze8B. Vachiberadze

Kaspiy Substitutes

47Daniyar Usenov66'for R. Abylaykhan
18Maksym Kucheryavyi88'for P. Sedko
10Idris Umaev87'for K. Sylla
7Bekzat Kabylan80'for N. Ndombasi
13Meyrambek Serikbay88'for V. Klimovich
60Beibarys Kaldybay
49Jan Andrin
23Amandyk Nabikhanov
27Danila Nechaev
16Ayan Baydavletov

Ulytau Substitutes

4Maksim Chalkin46'for G. Bugulov
22Ilya Chernyak46'for H. Harada
6Kuandyk Nursultanov68'for R. Serikkul90+2'
10Abzal Taubay68'for D. Martin
17Bagdat Daniyarov88'replaced by D. Carmona Sierra
40Stanislav Shcherbakov
78Timurbek Zakirov
69Daniel Maulenov
18Arthur Bougnone
13Aslan Akhmedov
21Orken Nurali
11Ariagner Smith

Team Comparison

KaspiyKaspiy
UlytauUlytau
1506Elo Rating 1424
1.13Attack 0.81
1.22Defense 1.29
31%Hit Rate 17%

Game State Tendencies

KaspiyKaspiy
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
UlytauUlytau
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

KaspiyKaspiy1Wins · 34%
Draws133%
UlytauUlytau1Wins · 33%
2.0Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored1 of 3
33%3+ goals1 of 3

Previous meetings

Premier League16/05/2026
UlytauKaspiy
10
1. Division26/07/2024
UlytauKaspiy
00
1. Division25/04/2024
KaspiyUlytau
32

Recent Form

KaspiyKaspiy
4W2D4L

Referee Profile

S. Nozhenko4 matches analysed

4.55Cards per match
4.40Yellow cards per match
0.14Red cards per match
23.1Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 60% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1OrdabasyOrdabasy30215459:23+3668LDWWW
2Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty30198360:23+3765DDWWL
3FC AstanaFC Astana30159648:31+1754DDDWL
4OkzhetpesOkzhetpes30166849:38+1154WWWLW
5AktobeAktobe30147947:39+849WDLWD
6Yelimay SemeyYelimay Semey30129943:44-145LDWWL
7FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay301251342:42041LDWWL
8ZhenysZhenys30991232:40-836WDLLL
9UlytauUlytau30981327:38-1135LLLWD
10Kyzyl-ZharKyzyl-Zhar30961531:42-1133WWLWD
11KaspiyKaspiy30961532:44-1233LLDWW
12IrtyshIrtysh30881431:44-1332WWLLL
13AtyrauAtyrau306121227:35-830WLDLW
14AltayAltay306101431:42-1128DDDLL
15ZhetysuZhetysu30691531:49-1827DDWLL
16KaisarKaisar304131325:41-1625LDLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1OrdabasyOrdabasy3059:2368
2Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty3060:2365
3FC AstanaFC Astana3048:3154
4OkzhetpesOkzhetpes3049:3854
5AktobeAktobe3047:3949
6Yelimay SemeyYelimay Semey3043:4445
7FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay3042:4241
8ZhenysZhenys3032:4036
9UlytauUlytau3027:3835
10Kyzyl-ZharKyzyl-Zhar3031:4233
11KaspiyKaspiy3032:4433
12IrtyshIrtysh3031:4432
13AtyrauAtyrau3027:3530
14AltayAltay3031:4228
15ZhetysuZhetysu3031:4927
16KaisarKaisar3025:4125
Relegation

About the Kaspiy vs Ulytau forecast

The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Kaspiy and Ulytau in the Premier League table

Ulytau and Kaspiy are close in the Premier League table, 9th and 11th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Kaspiy 32-44, Ulytau 27-38. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.