Atyrau vs Aktobe Prediction
Kazakhstan · Regular Season - 21
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Atyrau vs Aktobe: the result in context
Atyrau and Aktobe drew 1-1 in the Premier League on 9 Aug 2026. Aktobe had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against none for Atyrau.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.
Match Forecasts
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
Lineups
Atyrau
1E. Khatkevich
5S. Satanov
17K. Kalmuratov
71F. Prce
99B. Kereev
11A. Seitkalyev
15E. Ofori
9A. Abdulla
14K. Dorofeev
44Đ. Maksimović
7H. Devens
16A. Zarutskiy
31A. Tanzharikov
9S. Ojo
4T. Kussyapov
27T. Dosmagambetov
6J. Atanasov
20G. Zhukov
7D. Sosah
21P. Alvarez
77G. Zaria
11A. ShushenachevAtyrau Substitutes
Aktobe Substitutes
Team Comparison
AtyrauAktobeAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Atyrau- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.6 in second half)
Aktobe- Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Atyrau0Wins · 0%4Wins · 40%Previous meetings
17/05/2026AktobeAtyrau05/07/2025AktobeAtyrau30/03/2025AtyrauAktobe
29/09/2024AtyrauAktobe11/08/2024AtyrauAktobe07/04/2024AktobeAtyrau27/08/2023AtyrauAktobe29/04/2023AtyrauAktobe19/04/2023AktobeAtyrau16/04/2023AktobeAtyrauRecent Form
AtyrauAtyrau
Zhetysu
FK Tobol KostanayAtyrauAtyrau
Kairat AlmatyAtyrau
KaspiyKaspiyAtyrau
Yelimay SemeyAtyrauKairat AlmatyAtyrauAtyrauFK Tobol KostanayZhetysuAtyrauAktobeAtyrauAktobe
Kyzyl-ZharAktobeAktobe
Okzhetpes
AltayAktobe
FC AstanaAktobeAktobeZhetysuZhetysuAktobeAktobeFC AstanaAktobeAltayOkzhetpesAktobeAktobeKyzyl-ZharReferee Profile
Strictness
Stricter than 39% of referees analysed
Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ordabasy | 30 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 59:23 | +36 | 68 | LDWWW |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 60:23 | +37 | 65 | DDWWL |
| 3 | FC Astana | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 48:31 | +17 | 54 | DDDWL |
| 4 | Okzhetpes | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 49:38 | +11 | 54 | WWWLW |
| 5 | Aktobe | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 47:39 | +8 | 49 | WDLWD |
| 6 | Yelimay Semey | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 43:44 | -1 | 45 | LDWWL |
| 7 | FK Tobol Kostanay | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 42:42 | 0 | 41 | LDWWL |
| 8 |  Zhenys | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 32:40 | -8 | 36 | WDLLL |
| 9 |  Ulytau | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 27:38 | -11 | 35 | LLLWD |
| 10 | Kyzyl-Zhar | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 31:42 | -11 | 33 | WWLWD |
| 11 | Kaspiy | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 32:44 | -12 | 33 | LLDWW |
| 12 |  Irtysh | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 31:44 | -13 | 32 | WWLLL |
| 13 | Atyrau | 30 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 27:35 | -8 | 30 | WLDLW |
| 14 | Altay | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 31:42 | -11 | 28 | DDDLL |
| 15 | Zhetysu | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 31:49 | -18 | 27 | DDWLL |
| 16 |  Kaisar | 30 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 25:41 | -16 | 25 | LDLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 30 | 59:23 | 68 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 30 | 60:23 | 65 |
| 3 | FC Astana | 30 | 48:31 | 54 |
| 4 | Okzhetpes | 30 | 49:38 | 54 |
| 5 | Aktobe | 30 | 47:39 | 49 |
| 6 | Yelimay Semey | 30 | 43:44 | 45 |
| 7 | FK Tobol Kostanay | 30 | 42:42 | 41 |
| 8 | Zhenys | 30 | 32:40 | 36 |
| 9 | Ulytau | 30 | 27:38 | 35 |
| 10 | Kyzyl-Zhar | 30 | 31:42 | 33 |
| 11 | Kaspiy | 30 | 32:44 | 33 |
| 12 | Irtysh | 30 | 31:44 | 32 |
| 13 | Atyrau | 30 | 27:35 | 30 |
| 14 | Altay | 30 | 31:42 | 28 |
| 15 | Zhetysu | 30 | 31:49 | 27 |
| 16 | Kaisar | 30 | 25:41 | 25 |
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About the Atyrau vs Aktobe forecast
The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Atyrau and Aktobe in the Premier League table
In the Premier League table, Aktobe are 5th and Atyrau 13th, 19 points apart. League goal record so far: Atyrau 27-35, Aktobe 47-39. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Aktobe have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.