KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liege Prediction

Het Kuipje, Westerlo 12/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
83%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.15
SignalSTRONGModel43%SurpriseMediumGap-4.2%
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Under 5.5
1.69
SignalGOODModel67%SurpriseMediumGap+8.7%
KVC Westerlo Rest
7 days
Standard Liege Rest
6 days

KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liege: the result in context

KVC Westerlo beat Standard Liege 4-2 in the Jupiler Pro League on 12 Sep 2026. That went against recent form: Standard Liege had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for KVC Westerlo.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.0 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 6.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.43
X
28%3.54
2
32%2.63
Double Chance
1X
68%1.44
X2
60%1.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.47
No
40%2.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.4 + 1.53 = 2.93
Over 1.5
84%1.15
Over 2.5
61%1.60
Over 3.5
34%2.38
Under 1.5
16%4.80
Under 2.5
39%2.31
Under 3.5
66%1.51
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.9 + 5.5 = 10.5
Over 8.5
68%1.40
Over 9.5
56%1.72
Over 10.5
44%2.11
Under 8.5
32%2.65
Under 9.5
44%2.02
Under 10.5
56%1.62
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 1.7 = 3.8
Over 3.5
52%1.57
Over 4.5
33%2.12
Under 3.5
48%2.30
Under 4.5
67%1.67

Match Events

12'Norman BassetteAssist: Cameron Congreve
56'Amando Lapage
61'Rayan Touzghar INSalieu Drammeh out
61'Dennis Dargahi INBruny Nsimba out
61'Bernard Nguene INSylvester Jasper out
66'Bruny NsimbaAssist: Ibrahim Karamoko
71'Adnane Abid
72'Shunsuke Saito INNikola Storm out
72'Isa Sakamoto INPape Daouda Diong out
77'Pape Daouda DiongAssist: Ibrahim Cheick Fofana
81'Cameron Congreve INThomas Van Den Keybus out
81'Norman Bassette INLucas Mbamba-Muanda out
88'Tobias Mohr INRyan Fosso out
88'Marlon Fossey INHenry Lawrence out
90+2'Thomas Van Den KeybusAssist: Lasse Flo

Lineups

KVC Westerlo
4-2-3-1Coach: I. Charaï
Standard Liege
4-3-3Coach: V. Euvrard
Avg rating6.91
Avg rating6.24
A. Jungdal6.899A. Jungdal
L. Flø6.92L. Flø
S. Kimura7.05S. Kimura
A. Lapage8.24A. Lapage
D. Ourega6.728D. Ourega
I. Fofana7.745I. Fofana
C. Sandra6.514C. Sandra
C. Congreve6.420C. Congreve
I. Sakamoto6.213I. Sakamoto
S. Saito6.57S. Saito
N. Bassette8.09N. Bassette
M. Epolo5.91M. Epolo
M. Fossey5.913M. Fossey
I. Karamoko6.720I. Karamoko
I. Hautekiet6.325I. Hautekiet
T. Mohr5.57T. Mohr
C. Nielsen6.294C. Nielsen
A. Trouillet7.022A. Trouillet
R. Touzghar6.484R. Touzghar
Bernard Nguene6.317B. Nguene
D. Eckert Ayensa6.110D. Eckert Ayensa
A. Abid7.511A. Abid

KVC Westerlo Substitutes

40B. Balogh
11N. Bohamdi-Kamoni
26D. Diongu72'for Isa Sakamoto77'7.4
88F. Ferraro
1B. Lathouwers
23L. Mbamba-Muanda81'for Norman Bassette6.3
10N. Storm72'for Shunsuke Saito6.4
8S. Sydorchuk
39T. Van den Keybus81'for Cameron Congreve90+2'6.9

Standard Liege Substitutes

21L. Pirard
18H. Lawrence88'for Marlon Fossey5.4
6L. Goemaere
80R. Fosso88'for Tobias Mohr6.1
19S. Jasper61'for Bernard Nguene5.8
15S. Drammeh61'for Rayan Touzghar5.9
29D. Dierckx
39Noah Abdoulaye Sy
77B. Nsimba61'for Dennis Dargahi66'7.1

Match Stats

KVC WesterloStandard Liege
43%Ball Possession57%
1Corner Kicks7
10Total Shots12
7Shots on Goal6
3Shots off Goal4
7Shots Inside Box8
3Shots Outside Box4
0Blocked Shots2
8Fouls7
1Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves3
418Total Passes548
343Passes Accurate452
82%Pass Accuracy82%

Team Comparison

KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo
Standard LiegeStandard Liege
1634Elo Rating 1631
2.69Attack 1.56
0.84Defense 2.24
50%Hit Rate 44%
14.5Shots per Game 15.1
5.7Shots on Target 4.1
3.7Corners per Game 5.2
1.2Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.93 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 1 in first half)
Standard LiegeStandard Liege
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.4 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo4Wins · 40%
Draws440%
Standard LiegeStandard Liege2Wins · 20%
3.0Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Jupiler Pro League19/05/2026
KVC WesterloStandard Liege
12
Jupiler Pro League11/04/2026
Standard LiegeKVC Westerlo
12
Jupiler Pro League22/03/2026
Standard LiegeKVC Westerlo
00
Jupiler Pro League21/09/2025
KVC WesterloStandard Liege
02
Jupiler Pro League24/05/2025
KVC WesterloStandard Liege
00
Jupiler Pro League19/04/2025
Standard LiegeKVC Westerlo
11
Jupiler Pro League09/02/2025
KVC WesterloStandard Liege
42
Jupiler Pro League28/09/2024
Standard LiegeKVC Westerlo
12
Jupiler Pro League10/05/2024
Standard LiegeKVC Westerlo
05
Jupiler Pro League20/04/2024
KVC WesterloStandard Liege
33

Recent Form

KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo
1W3D6L
05/09/2026
KV MechelenKVC Westerlo
04
W
30/08/2026
KVC WesterloZulte Waregem
22
D
23/08/2026
Lommel UnitedKVC Westerlo
40
L
15/08/2026
GenkKVC Westerlo
32
L
08/08/2026
KVC WesterloUnion St. Gilloise
15
L
01/08/2026
KVC WesterloSamsunspor
12
L
29/07/2026
KVC WesterloKifisia
11
D
25/07/2026
DunkerqueKVC Westerlo
31
L
22/07/2026
KVC WesterloAl-Fayha
00
D
18/07/2026
KVC WesterloBeerschot VA
02
L
Standard LiegeStandard Liege
5W2D3L
05/09/2026
Standard LiegeAntwerp
10
W
29/08/2026
OH LeuvenStandard Liege
12
W
21/08/2026
Standard LiegeRAAL La Louvière
20
W
16/08/2026
KV MechelenStandard Liege
33
D
08/08/2026
Standard LiegeCercle Brugge
22
D
01/08/2026
Standard LiegeFC Viktoria Köln
03
L
25/07/2026
Standard LiegeJuventus
01
L
18/07/2026
DunkerqueStandard Liege
20
L
11/07/2026
Standard LiegeFrancs Borains
10
W
08/07/2026
AubelStandard Liege
04
W

League Table

Jupiler Pro League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise1192030:7+2329WWWDW
2Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV1191127:9+1828DWWWW
3GentGent1191120:6+1428WLWWW
4CharleroiCharleroi1190226:13+1327WWLWW
5AnderlechtAnderlecht1162314:12+220DWLWW
6Lommel UnitedLommel United1144315:13+216DWDWD
7GenkGenk1143418:15+315LLWWL
8Standard LiegeStandard Liege1143418:16+215WDLLL
9KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo1142526:30-414LLDWW
10OH LeuvenOH Leuven1133512:17-512WWDDW
11KV MechelenKV Mechelen1133513:20-712LWWWD
12St. TruidenSt. Truiden1132622:22011WLLLL
13AntwerpAntwerp1132618:24-611DLWLL
14Zulte WaregemZulte Waregem1132613:20-711LLLLL
15SK BeverenSK Beveren1131713:23-1010LLDLL
16Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge1123614:22-89WWLLL
17RAAL La LouvièreRAAL La Louvière1121813:24-117LLWLL
18KortrijkKortrijk111194:23-194LLDLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise1130:729
2Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV1127:928
3GentGent1120:628
4CharleroiCharleroi1126:1327
5AnderlechtAnderlecht1114:1220
6Lommel UnitedLommel United1115:1316
7GenkGenk1118:1515
8Standard LiegeStandard Liege1118:1615
9KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo1126:3014
10OH LeuvenOH Leuven1112:1712
11KV MechelenKV Mechelen1113:2012
12St. TruidenSt. Truiden1122:2211
13AntwerpAntwerp1118:2411
14Zulte WaregemZulte Waregem1113:2011
15SK BeverenSK Beveren1113:2310
16Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge1114:229
17RAAL La LouvièreRAAL La Louvière1113:247
18KortrijkKortrijk114:234
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liege forecast

The forecasts for this Jupiler Pro League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

KVC Westerlo and Standard Liege in the Jupiler Pro League table

Standard Liege and KVC Westerlo are close in the Jupiler Pro League table, 8th and 9th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: KVC Westerlo 26-30, Standard Liege 18-16. The full standings are on the Jupiler Pro League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

KVC Westerlo have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.