Genk vs Gent Prediction

Genk
1-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Gent
Cegeka Arena, Genk 13/09/2026
GenkGenk
1-1
Finished
GentGent

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.25
SignalSTRONGModel41%SurpriseMediumGap+0.4%
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.88
SignalSOLIDModel63%SurpriseMediumGap+11.6%
Genk Rest
6 days
Gent Rest
7 days

Genk vs Gent: the result in context

Genk and Gent drew 1-1 in the Jupiler Pro League on 13 Sep 2026. Gent had gone in with the better form, having won 4 of their previous five against 2 for Genk.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them. Gent tend to win more corners, 7.4 a game to 3.7 for Genk.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
44%2.08
X
25%3.31
2
31%3.42
Double Chance
1X
69%1.29
X2
56%1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.68
No
40%2.06
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.56 + 1.35 = 2.91
Over 1.5
84%1.25
Over 2.5
60%1.88
Over 3.5
33%3.15
Under 1.5
16%3.50
Under 2.5
40%1.92
Under 3.5
67%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 4.2 = 9.3
Over 8.5
54%1.44
Over 9.5
40%1.75
Over 10.5
33%2.20
Under 8.5
46%2.60
Under 9.5
60%2.00
Under 10.5
67%1.60
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 1.8 = 3.4
Over 3.5
44%1.70
Over 4.5
26%2.37
Under 3.5
56%2.07
Under 4.5
74%1.55

Match Events

10'Momodou SonkoAssist: Tiago Araújo
21'Momodou SonkoFoul
32'Josue VergaraFoul
45'Ibrahima Sory Bangoura INBenjamin Tahirovic out
45'Ayumu Yokoyama INNoah Adedeji-Sternberg out
45+4'Tiago AraújoFoul
47'Rafiu DurosinmiAssist: Junya Ito
53'Benjamin TahirovicFoul
57'Kyrell Wilson INLeonardo Da Silva Lopes out
66'Mathias DelorgeFoul
73'Junya Ito INJerry Afriyie out
73'Jeppe Erenbjerg INDaan Heymans out
78'Leonardo Da Silva LopesArgument
80'Michel Ange Balikwisha INHyllarion Goore out
80'Momodou Sonko INEl Hadji Seck out
80'Josue KongoloTime wasting
80'Mathias Delorge INAbdelkahar Kadri out
86'Josue Vergara INIbrahima Cisse out
87'Rafiu Durosinmi INAaron Bibout out

Lineups

Genk
4-2-3-1Coach: J. Thorup
Gent
3-4-2-1Coach: R. Demil
Avg rating6.92
Avg rating6.68
L. Kiaba Mounganga7.928L. Kiaba Mounganga
K. Amaro7.320K. Amaro
M. Smets7.06M. Smets
J. Kongolo6.444J. Kongolo
J. Kayembe7.118J. Kayembe
I. Bangoura6.121I. Bangoura
B. Heynen7.28B. Heynen
J. Ito7.010J. Ito
J. Erenbjerg6.611J. Erenbjerg
A. Yokoyama6.630A. Yokoyama
R. Durosinmi8.117R. Durosinmi
D. Roef7.533D. Roef
M. Ngom6.45M. Ngom
C. Burgess6.916C. Burgess
S. Van der Heyden6.744S. Van der Heyden
M. Balikwisha6.37M. Balikwisha
T. De Vlieger6.927T. De Vlieger
M. Delorge-Knieper6.717M. Delorge-Knieper
Tiago Araújo7.020T. Araújo
Kyrell Wilson6.614K. Wilson
M. Sonko7.811M. Sonko
J. Y. Vergara Ortega6.447J. Y. Vergara Ortega

Genk Substitutes

33J. Afriyie73'for Junya Ito6.3
23A. Bibout87'for Rafiu Durosinmi6.8
32Noah Adedeji-Sternberg45'for Ayumu Yokoyama7.1
38D. Heymans73'for Jeppe Erenbjerg6.4
4B. Tahirović45'for Ibrahima Sory Bangoura53'6.8
24N. Sattlberger
5C. Ravych
25M. Roganović
1T. Leysen

Gent Substitutes

30K. Peersman
3M. Paskotši
37A. Kadri80'for Mathias Delorge6.5
45B. Goore80'for Michel Ange Balikwisha6.6
39A. Ayindé
57M. Volckaert
59E. Seck80'for Momodou Sonko6.5
22Leonardo Lopes57'for Kyrell Wilson78'6.1
75I. Cisse86'for Josue Vergara6.3

Match Stats

GenkGent
63%Ball Possession37%
4Corner Kicks9
2Yellow Cards5
17Total Shots16
6Shots on Goal5
6Shots off Goal6
10Shots Inside Box11
7Shots Outside Box5
5Blocked Shots5
8Fouls10
0Offsides4
5Goalkeeper Saves5
616Total Passes354
557Passes Accurate288
90%Pass Accuracy81%

Team Comparison

GenkGenk
GentGent
1699Elo Rating 1750
1.39Attack 1.90
2.25Defense 1.88
50%Hit Rate 59%
14.5Shots per Game 15.7
4.2Shots on Target 5.4
3.7Corners per Game 7.4
1.5Cards per Game 2.1

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.91 goals
📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

GenkGenk
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.4 in second half)
GentGent
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

GenkGenk4Wins · 40%
Draws550%
GentGent1Wins · 10%
2.3Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Jupiler Pro League31/05/2026
GentGenk
5040
Jupiler Pro League01/03/2026
GenkGent
30
Jupiler Pro League09/11/2025
GentGenk
11
Jupiler Pro League18/05/2025
GentGenk
14
Jupiler Pro League30/03/2025
GenkGent
40
Jupiler Pro League23/02/2025
GenkGent
00
Jupiler Pro League27/10/2024
GentGenk
02
Jupiler Pro League02/06/2024
GenkGent
01
Jupiler Pro League03/12/2023
GenkGent
22
Jupiler Pro League08/10/2023
GentGenk
11

Recent Form

GenkGenk
4W2D4L
06/09/2026
AnderlechtGenk
00
D
28/08/2026
GenkSK Beveren
40
W
22/08/2026
AntwerpGenk
44
D
15/08/2026
GenkKVC Westerlo
32
W
09/08/2026
Zulte WaregemGenk
21
L
02/08/2026
GenkTwente
21
W
01/08/2026
GenkFC OSS
31
W
29/07/2026
Bayer LeverkusenGenk
40
L
22/07/2026
AZ AlkmaarGenk
40
L
18/07/2026
FalkirkGenk
10
L

League Table

Jupiler Pro League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1GentGent871015:4+1122WWDWW
2Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV870119:4+1521WWWWL
3CharleroiCharleroi870116:7+921WWWLW
4Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise862022:4+1820DWWWW
5AnderlechtAnderlecht85129:6+316WWWDW
6KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo841320:17+313WWWWD
7GenkGenk833216:12+412WLDDW
8Zulte WaregemZulte Waregem832310:9+111LLLWD
9Standard LiegeStandard Liege832313:13011LLLWW
10Lommel UnitedLommel United83239:9011WDLLW
11SK BeverenSK Beveren83058:14-69LLWWL
12St. TruidenSt. Truiden822415:16-18LLLWL
13AntwerpAntwerp821512:20-87LLLLL
14KV MechelenKV Mechelen81349:17-86WDLLD
15OH LeuvenOH Leuven81256:14-85DWDLL
16RAAL La LouvièreRAAL La Louvière81168:18-104LLWLD
17KortrijkKortrijk81072:18-163LWLLL
18Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge80359:16-73LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1GentGent815:422
2Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV819:421
3CharleroiCharleroi816:721
4Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise822:420
5AnderlechtAnderlecht89:616
6KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo820:1713
7GenkGenk816:1212
8Zulte WaregemZulte Waregem810:911
9Standard LiegeStandard Liege813:1311
10Lommel UnitedLommel United89:911
11SK BeverenSK Beveren88:149
12St. TruidenSt. Truiden815:168
13AntwerpAntwerp812:207
14KV MechelenKV Mechelen89:176
15OH LeuvenOH Leuven86:145
16RAAL La LouvièreRAAL La Louvière88:184
17KortrijkKortrijk82:183
18Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge89:163
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Genk vs Gent forecast

The forecasts for this Jupiler Pro League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Genk and Gent in the Jupiler Pro League table

In the Jupiler Pro League table, Gent are 1st and Genk 7th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Genk 16-12, Gent 15-4. The full standings are on the Jupiler Pro League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.