Kyoto Sanga vs Kashiwa Reysol Prediction

Kyoto Sanga
2-3
Finished
HT 2-0
Kashiwa Reysol
Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, Kameoka 11/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
Value Analysis
56%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.83
SignalGOODModel56%RiskMediumGap+3.5%
Kyoto Sanga Rest
4 days
Kashiwa Reysol Rest
5 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
19%4.10
X
27%3.70
2
54%1.83
Double Chance
1X
46%1.94
X2
81%1.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.67
No
40%2.06
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.31 + 1.39 = 2.70
Over 1.5
77%1.22
Over 2.5
51%1.74
Over 3.5
31%2.80
Under 1.5
23%3.94
Under 2.5
49%2.05
Under 3.5
69%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.1 + 5.1 = 9.2
Over 8.5
57%1.53
Over 9.5
45%1.94
Over 10.5
33%2.44
Under 8.5
43%2.23
Under 9.5
55%1.79
Under 10.5
67%1.47
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 1.3 = 3.1
Over 3.5
38%-
Over 4.5
21%-
Under 3.5
62%-
Under 4.5
79%-

Match Events

3'Rafael PapagaioAssist: Ryuma Nakano
21'Shimpei FukuokaFoul
32'Taiyo KogaFoul
33'Rafael PapagaioAssist: Kyo Sato
45+3'Temma MatsudaFoul
45'Shota Fujio INYusuke Segawa out
45'Wataru Harada INSeiya Baba out
59'Tojiro KuboAssist: Masaki Watai
62'Card upgrade confirmedMasaki Watai
63'Masaki WataiFoul
64'Alex Souza INHaruki Arai out
67'Yusuke SegawaAssist: Masaki Watai
71'Yusuke SegawaAssist: Yoshio Koizumi
75'Masaki Watai INHinata Yamauchi out
78'Keita Endo INKenshin Yuba out
79'Kodai Nagata INHisashi Appiah Tawiah out
80'Rafael PapagaioFoul
85'Nobuteru Nakagawa INYudai Konishi out
90+1'Temma Matsuda INShun Nagasawa out
90+1'Shimpei Fukuoka INEverton Maceió out
90+1'Ren Kato INSota Yamamoto out

Lineups

Kyoto Sanga
4-2-3-1Coach: R. Popović
Kashiwa Reysol
3-4-2-1Coach: Ricardo Rodríguez
Halls90HallsHalls
R. Kato26R. KatoR. Kato
Y. Suzuki50Y. SuzukiY. Suzuki
K. Nagata15K. NagataK. Nagata
K. Sato44K. SatoK. Sato
S. Fukuoka10S. FukuokaS. Fukuoka
João Pedro6J. PedroJoão Pedro
R. Nakano48R. NakanoR. Nakano
Alex Negueba17A. NeguebaAlex Negueba
T. Matsuda18T. MatsudaT. Matsuda
Rafael Elias9R. EliasRafael Elias
R. Kojima25R. KojimaR. Kojima
W. Harada42W. HaradaW. Harada
T. Koga4T. KogaT. Koga
D. Sugioka26D. SugiokaD. Sugioka
T. Kubo24T. KuboT. Kubo
K. Kumasaka27K. KumasakaK. Kumasaka
N. Nakagawa39N. NakagawaN. Nakagawa
K. Endo5K. EndoK. Endo
Y. Koizumi8Y. KoizumiY. Koizumi
Masa11MasaMasa
S. Fujio15S. FujioS. Fujio

Kyoto Sanga Substitutes

38EvertonF
33Sota YamamotoD
16T. HiraokaM
77H. AraiM
5H. TawiahD
40Y. IshidaD
93S. NagasawaF
1G. OtaG
60R. YamanakaM

Kashiwa Reysol Substitutes

9M. HosoyaF
21Y. KonishiM
2H. MitsumaruD
29K. NagaiG
19H. NakamaM
20Y. SegawaM
87H. YamauchiM
88S. BabaD
44K. YubaM

Match Stats

Kyoto SangaKashiwa Reysol
55%Ball Possession45%
7Corner Kicks5
3Yellow Cards2
15Total Shots19
5Shots on Goal6
6Shots off Goal6
11Shots Inside Box12
4Shots Outside Box7
4Blocked Shots7
13Fouls14
2Offsides3
3Goalkeeper Saves3
376Total Passes482
302Passes Accurate402
14Free Kicks13

Team Comparison

Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga
Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol
1489Elo Rating 1578
1.07Attack 1.10
1.44Defense 1.28
27%Hit Rate 37%
10.3Shots per Game 14.3
3.4Shots on Target 3.4
4.0Corners per Game 5.9
2.3Cards per Game 0.9

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend73% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.3 in first half)

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Kyoto Sanga 27%Draw 50%23% Kashiwa Reysol
4.17Avg Goals
73%BTTS Rate
56%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga
2W1D2L
06/09/2026
FC TokyoKyoto Sanga
20
L
02/09/2026
Yokohama F. MarinosKyoto Sanga
11
D
29/08/2026
Kyoto SangaAvispa Fukuoka
21
W
26/08/2026
Kyoto SangaMaruyasu Okazaki
10
W
22/08/2026
Kyoto SangaMito Hollyhock
13
L

League Table

J1 League 2027
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia752019:6+1317DWWDW
2Vissel KobeVissel Kobe751111:5+616WWWWL
3Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol750213:10+315WLLWW
4Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima742119:6+1314WLWDD
5FC TokyoFC Tokyo742113:8+514WWDWW
6Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama741210:8+213WWWLD
7Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale733113:9+412WWLWD
8KashimaKashima740314:13+112LLLWW
9Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos732211:9+211DWDLW
10Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka73136:11-510LDWLW
11Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock723211:9+29LDWDW
12UrawaUrawa730413:17-49LWWWL
13Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse72144:7-37WLDLL
14V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki72149:14-57WLDLL
15Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka71338:13-56LLDDL
16Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus72057:13-66LLLWW
17Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga71249:14-55LLDWL
18Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka71159:11-24LDLLL
19Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy70433:9-64DDLLD
20JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba71156:16-104DWLLL
Champions LeagueRelegation

Kyoto Sanga vs Kashiwa Reysol Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this J1 League fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About J1 League

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Key Factors for This Match

Kyoto Sanga and Kashiwa Reysol have met 5 times recently, averaging 4.17 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.