Las Vegas Lights vs El Paso Locomotive Prediction

Cashman Field 05/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.47
SignalGOODModel39%RiskHighGap+13.0%
Value Analysis
68%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.53
SignalSOLIDModel28%RiskHighGap+7.3%
Las Vegas Lights Rest
14 days
El Paso Locomotive Rest
14 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
35%2.25
X
29%3.50
2
36%2.75
Double Chance
1X
64%1.38
X2
65%1.53
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.53
No
56%2.35
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.18
Over 2.5
39%1.62
Over 3.5
19%2.50
Under 1.5
36%4.33
Under 2.5
61%2.20
Under 3.5
81%1.47
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

20'A. MendezAssist: R. Rubin
43'B. MinesFoul
45+6'J. RodriguezAssist: T. Antonoglou
46'K. Hoban INN. Cardona out
46'O. Mora INA. Quezada out
52'A. QuezadaAssist: A. Mendez
66'M. Arteaga INO. Anderson out
66'B. Mines INA. Okyere out
66'K. Scott ING. Probo out
66'Gabriel Torres INC. Sainte out
67'D. Abitia ING. Diaz out
69'M. YbarraFoul
77'R. Ruiz INA. Ortiz out
80'A. OrtizDelay of game
86'M. Ybarra INC. Locker out

Team Comparison

Las Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights
El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive
1423Elo Rating 1531
1.05Attack 2.43
1.68Defense 2.31
41%Hit Rate 100%

AI Insights

💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

Las Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.6 vs 0.8 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Las Vegas Lights 31%Draw 0%69% El Paso Locomotive
3.78Avg Goals
46%BTTS Rate
69%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Las Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights
2W1D2L
El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive
0W2D3L

League Table

USL Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive25144744:31+1346WWWWW
2New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United24127537:27+1043DDDWL
3Colorado SpringsColorado Springs25115940:37+338DWWWL
4LexingtonLexington251141043:30+1337WWLLL
5FC TulsaFC Tulsa24107729:23+637DLDWW
6Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic2399530:20+1036WDDDW
7Orange County SCOrange County SC2599734:40-636LLDDL
8San AntonioSan Antonio2499629:28+136LDWLL
9Las Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights25961032:35-333DWLLL
10Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising2589835:35033LWDWD
11Oakland RootsOakland Roots2469929:35-627LDWDL
12Monterey BayMonterey Bay25461525:43-1818LDDLD
#TeamMPGPts
1El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive2544:3146
2New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United2437:2743
3Colorado SpringsColorado Springs2540:3738
4LexingtonLexington2543:3037
5FC TulsaFC Tulsa2429:2337
6Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic2330:2036
7Orange County SCOrange County SC2534:4036
8San AntonioSan Antonio2429:2836
9Las Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights2532:3533
10Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising2535:3533
11Oakland RootsOakland Roots2429:3527
12Monterey BayMonterey Bay2525:4318

Las Vegas Lights vs El Paso Locomotive Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this USL Championship fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About USL Championship

ScorePredicts covers USA football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

El Paso Locomotive have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Las Vegas Lights and El Paso Locomotive have met 5 times recently, averaging 3.78 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.