Lech Poznan vs Piast Gliwice Prediction

Lech Poznan
3-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Piast Gliwice
Enea Poznań, Poznan· Patryk Gryckiewicz, Poland 09/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
56%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Over 1.5
2.05
SignalHIGHModel61%RiskMediumGap+10.5%
Lech Poznan Rest
2 days
Piast Gliwice Rest
8 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
66%1.55
X
21%4.30
2
13%5.00
Double Chance
1X
87%1.15
X2
34%2.34
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.62
No
46%2.17
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.15 + 0.85 = 3.00
Over 1.5
82%1.17
Over 2.5
59%1.57
Over 3.5
33%2.40
Under 1.5
18%4.75
Under 2.5
41%2.35
Under 3.5
67%1.54
Corners
Projected Corners: 7.1 + 3.4 = 10.6
Over 8.5
75%1.33
Over 9.5
65%1.53
Over 10.5
53%1.91
Under 8.5
25%2.85
Under 9.5
35%2.29
Under 10.5
47%1.81
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.2 = 4.2
Over 3.5
51%1.83
Over 4.5
31%2.60
Under 3.5
49%1.88
Under 4.5
69%1.40

Match Events

46'A. Kozubal INP. Rodriguez out
56'Q. Boisgard INL. Sanca out
56'F. Borowski INE. Twumasi out
57'I. Lima INJ. Lokilo out
61'P. Walemark INA. Sayyadmanesh out
61'Y. Agnero INM. Ishak out
63'M. IshakAssist: D. Hakans
66'E. TwumasiFoul
71'M. IshakFoul
77'J. Czerwinski INE. Fikaj out
78'L. SancaFoul
78'D. Hakans INK. Delikat out
79'K. DelikatAssist: L. Palma
81'L. Palma INR. Gumny out
84'S. Ntamack INA. Katsantonis out
90'A. SayyadmaneshAssist: P. Rodriguez

Lineups

Lech Poznan
4-4-2Coach: Niels Frederiksen
Piast Gliwice
4-4-1-1Coach: Daniel Mysliwiec
Mateusz Lis1M. LisMateusz Lis
Joel Pereira2J. PereiraJoel Pereira
Mateusz Skrzypczak72M. SkrzypczakMateusz Skrzypczak
Wojciech Mońka27W. MońkaWojciech Mońka
Michal Gurgul15M. GurgulMichal Gurgul
Patrik Wålemark10P. WålemarkPatrik Wålemark
Radosław Murawski22R. MurawskiRadosław Murawski
Antoni Kozubal43A. KozubalAntoni Kozubal
Daniel Håkans11D. HåkansDaniel Håkans
Yannick Agnero7Y. AgneroYannick Agnero
Luis Palma77L. PalmaLuis Palma
Domen Gril75D. GrilDomen Gril
Filip Borowski28F. BorowskiFilip Borowski
Juande Rivas5J. RivasJuande Rivas
Jakub Czerwiński4J. CzerwińskiJakub Czerwiński
Jakub Lewicki36J. LewickiJakub Lewicki
Ivan Lima90I. LimaIvan Lima
Oskar Lesniak31O. LesniakOskar Lesniak
Jakub Łabojko27J. ŁabojkoJakub Łabojko
Hugo Vallejo80H. VallejoHugo Vallejo
Quentin Boisgard17Q. BoisgardQuentin Boisgard
Samuel Ntamack Ndimba19S. Ntamack NdimbaSamuel Ntamack Ndimba

Lech Poznan Substitutes

21Pablo RodríguezM
31Wiktor ObremskiG
41Bartosz MrozekG
20Robert GumnyD
90Hubert JanyszkaD
59Terry YegbeD
53Karol DelikatM
17Allahyar SayyadmaneshM
56Wojciech SzymczakF
9Mikael IshakF

Piast Gliwice Substitutes

12Marcel Mendes-DudzinskiG
15Levis PitanD
3Elton FikajD
99Ema TwumasiD
77Szczepan MuchaM
18Oliwier MaziarzM
98Jason LokiloF
11Leandro SancaM
7Jorge FélixF
10Andreas KatsantonisF
91Maciej KucharskiF

Match Stats

Lech PoznanPiast Gliwice
48%Ball Possession52%
6Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards2
19Total Shots12
7Shots on Goal3
7Shots off Goal7
12Shots Inside Box5
7Shots Outside Box7
5Blocked Shots2
16Fouls15
1Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves4
388Total Passes443
311Passes Accurate372
80%Pass Accuracy84%

Team Comparison

Lech PoznanLech Poznan
Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice
1757Elo Rating 1590
1.67Attack 2.28
1.65Defense 2.86
59%Hit Rate 86%
17.2Shots per Game 12.8
4.7Shots on Target 4.9
5.8Corners per Game 3.9
2.2Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+167 Elo
High Goal Expectancy2.99 goals
📈BTTS Trend
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Lech PoznanLech Poznan
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.7 in second half)
Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.9 in first half)

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Lech Poznan 63%Draw 14%23% Piast Gliwice
1.59Avg Goals
0%BTTS Rate
27%Over 2.5

Referee Profile

Patryk Gryckiewicz, Poland · 23 matches analysed

4.5Avg Yellows
4.8Avg Cards
25.4Avg Fouls
Stricter than 65% of referees analysed

League Table

Ekstraklasa 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze870116:8+821WWWWL
2Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa844016:7+916DWDDW
3Lech PoznanLech Poznan751112:6+616LWWWW
4Zaglebie LubinZaglebie Lubin843111:8+315WWDDD
5Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow842215:11+414WDWDL
6Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice841315:13+213WWWDL
7Pogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin733110:5+512WDDDW
8JagielloniaJagiellonia740311:10+112LWLWL
9Korona KielceKorona Kielce83329:8+112LWDWD
10GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice730413:11+29LLWWL
11Widzew ŁódźWidzew Łódź916213:1309DDDLD
12Cracovia KrakowCracovia Krakow82247:11-48LLLWW
13Wisla PlockWisla Plock72237:12-58WDLLL
14Radomiak RadomRadomiak Radom82246:15-98LDWDL
15Slask WroclawSlask Wroclaw813410:13-36LLDDL
16Wieczysta KrakówWieczysta Kraków812511:17-65DLDLL
17Motor LublinMotor Lublin81259:15-65LLLDW
18Raków CzęstochowaRaków Częstochowa810710:18-83LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze816:821
2Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa816:716
3Lech PoznanLech Poznan712:616
4Zaglebie LubinZaglebie Lubin811:815
5Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow815:1114
6Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice815:1313
7Pogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin710:512
8JagielloniaJagiellonia711:1012
9Korona KielceKorona Kielce89:812
10GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice713:119
11Widzew ŁódźWidzew Łódź913:139
12Cracovia KrakowCracovia Krakow87:118
13Wisla PlockWisla Plock77:128
14Radomiak RadomRadomiak Radom86:158
15Slask WroclawSlask Wroclaw810:136
16Wieczysta KrakówWieczysta Kraków811:175
17Motor LublinMotor Lublin89:155
18Raków CzęstochowaRaków Częstochowa810:183
Relegation

Lech Poznan vs Piast Gliwice Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Ekstraklasa fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Ekstraklasa

ScorePredicts covers Poland football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Piast Gliwice have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Lech Poznan and Piast Gliwice have met 5 times recently, averaging 1.59 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.