Leganes vs Granada CF Prediction

Leganes
3-2
Finished
HT 2-1
Granada CF
Municipal de Butarque, Leganes·German Cid Camacho 20/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.24
SignalGOODModel43%SurpriseMediumGap-8.5%
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 2.5
1.57
SignalGOODModel70%SurpriseMediumGap+7.9%
Leganes Rest
7 days
Granada CF Rest
8 days

Leganes vs Granada CF: the result in context

Leganes beat Granada CF 3-2 in the Segunda División on 20 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Leganes have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 1.5 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
45%2.00
X
30%3.10
2
25%3.84
Double Chance
1X
75%1.24
X2
55%1.76
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%2.00
No
53%1.75
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.32 + 0.9 = 2.22
Over 1.5
66%1.40
Over 2.5
41%2.32
Over 3.5
20%4.33
Under 1.5
34%2.75
Under 2.5
59%1.60
Under 3.5
80%1.20
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 4.4 = 9.2
Over 8.5
58%1.89
Over 9.5
49%2.35
Over 10.5
38%3.14
Under 8.5
42%1.88
Under 9.5
51%1.50
Under 10.5
62%1.27
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.2 = 4.1
Over 3.5
59%1.33
Over 4.5
39%1.73
Under 3.5
41%3.15
Under 4.5
61%2.02

Match Events

4'Naim GarciaAssist: Ismael Gharbi
6'Owen EmekaFoul
7'Patrick Soko
16'Ignasi MiquelOG
29'Zico BuurmeesterFoul
38'Sergio LópezFoul
45'Owen Emeka INSergio Rodelas Pintor out
52'Alejandro MendezAssist: Sergio Rodelas Pintor
59'Patrick Soko INÁlvaro Morata out
59'Alejandro San Cristobal Sanchez INDani Rodriguez out
59'Lalo Aguilar INRubén Pulido out
59'Ignasi Miquel INFrancisco Montero out
61'Diego Varela Pampín INÁngelo García out
66'Jorge Pascual INPedro Alemañ Serna out
66'Alejandro Mendez INChinaza Onouha out
69'Gerard GumbauFoul
78'José Manuel Arnáiz INMario Jiménez Gambín out
78'Rubén Albés YáñezDissent
80'Zico Buurmeester INSuleiman El Haddadi Mohamed out
85'Marvelous Antolín GarzónFoul
90'Ismael GharbiAssist: Suleiman El Haddadi Mohamed
90+2'Pedro Alemañ SernaPersistent infringement

Lineups

Leganes
3-2-4-1Coach: Rubén Albés
Granada CF
4-2-3-1Coach: José Rojo Martín
Avg rating6.67
Avg rating6.54
L. Zidane7.213L. Zidane
Lalo Aguilar6.76L. Aguilar
Ignasi Miquel5.75I. Miquel
Marvel6.22Marvel
Miguel Atienza6.620M. Atienza
Z. Buurmeester6.410Z. Buurmeester
Álex Sancris6.322Á. Sancris
Y. Kechta6.58Y. Kechta
Ismaël Gharbi8.917I. Gharbi
Naim García6.811N. García
P. Soko7.919P. Soko
Raúl Lizoain7.713R. Lizoain
Sergio López6.518S. López
Manu Lama6.55M. Lama
B. Gimber6.723B. Gimber
Diego Pampín6.216D. Pampín
Rubén Alcaraz6.34R. Alcaraz
Gumbau7.26Gumbau
O. M. Chukwuemeka5.636O. M. Chukwuemeka
Jorge Pascual6.410J. Pascual
José Arnáiz7.211J. Arnáiz
Alejandro Marqués7.69A. Marqués

Leganes Substitutes

18Andrés Campos
32Suleiman El Haddadi Mohamed80'replaced by Zico Buurmeester
1Raúl Fernández
33J. Herrero
31Nico Lozano
9Álex Millán
3Javi Montero59'for Ignasi Miquel6.0
21Álvaro Morata59'for Patrick Soko6.4
4Rubén Pulido59'for Lalo Aguilar6.1
14Dani Rodríguez59'for Alejandro San Cristobal Sanchez6.1
16U. del Cura

Granada CF Substitutes

2Pau Casadesús
35B. Dembele
30Juan José Flores Castro
1Alberto Flores
33A. Garcia61'for Diego Varela Pampín5.8
3Diego Hormigo
27M. Gambin78'for José Manuel Arnáiz6.0
19Chinaza Onouha66'replaced by Alejandro Mendez
7Sergio Rodelas45'for Owen Emeka7.0
32D. Rodriguez
8Pedro Alemañ66'for Jorge Pascual90+2'5.8

Match Stats

LeganesGranada CF
42%Ball Possession58%
6Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards4
21Total Shots21
12Shots on Goal7
7Shots off Goal9
12Shots Inside Box16
9Shots Outside Box5
2Blocked Shots5
12Fouls14
0Offsides2
6Goalkeeper Saves9
357Total Passes475
285Passes Accurate414
14Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

LeganesLeganes
Granada CFGranada CF
1541Elo Rating 1627
0.27Attack 1.97
0.97Defense 1.98
0%Hit Rate 86%
11.0Shots per Game 13.6
2.2Shots on Target 4.3
4.6Corners per Game 4.9
4.1Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

LeganesLeganes
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.3 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Granada CFGranada CF
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.5 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

LeganesLeganes3Wins · 75%
Draws00%
Granada CFGranada CF1Wins · 25%
1.5Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 4
0%3+ goals0 of 4

Previous meetings

Segunda División06/02/2026
LeganesGranada CF
10
Segunda División14/09/2025
Granada CFLeganes
02
Segunda División27/05/2023
Granada CFLeganes
20
Segunda División27/11/2022
LeganesGranada CF
10

Recent Form

LeganesLeganes
4W2D4L
13/09/2026
TenerifeLeganes
20
L
04/09/2026
Las PalmasLeganes
00
D
29/08/2026
LeganesEldense
10
W
22/08/2026
OviedoLeganes
01
W
16/08/2026
GironaLeganes
11
D
08/08/2026
LeganesTenerife
3040
L
07/08/2026
LeganesMérida AD
30
W
04/08/2026
LeganesAl-Rayyan SC
21
W
01/08/2026
SwanseaLeganes
10
L
28/07/2026
Real MadridLeganes
41
L
Granada CFGranada CF
5W2D3L
12/09/2026
Granada CFAlbacete
11
D
06/09/2026
EibarGranada CF
30
L
30/08/2026
CordobaGranada CF
13
W
24/08/2026
Granada CFMallorca
20
W
15/08/2026
OviedoGranada CF
00
D
08/08/2026
AntequeraGranada CF
03
W
05/08/2026
CadizGranada CF
20
L
29/07/2026
Granada CFAlmeria
20
W
25/07/2026
Granada CFReal Betis
10
W
30/05/2026
Granada CFSporting Gijon
12
L

Referee Profile

German Cid Camacho113 matches

5.34Cards per match
5.10Yellow cards per match
0.24Red cards per match
26.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

German Cid Camacho5.34
Other referees5.13

5.34 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.13).

Cards come from 70 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Segunda División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CastellónCastellón1182122:4+1826WWLDW
2AlmeriaAlmeria1181222:9+1325DWWWW
3EibarEibar1171320:13+722LDLWW
4GironaGirona1163222:10+1221WWDDW
5Granada CFGranada CF1162318:14+420WWWWL
6MallorcaMallorca1154213:6+719DDWDL
7Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1161411:13-219LWWWL
8OviedoOviedo1153315:12+318DWWLW
9BurgosBurgos1052313:10+317WLLWW
10SabadellSabadell1145211:9+217DLWDD
11CordobaCordoba1150617:20-315WWLWL
12TenerifeTenerife1135313:15-214DDDLD
13EldenseEldense1142513:15-214LWWWL
14Las PalmasLas Palmas1142514:19-514WLLDL
15ValladolidValladolid1133516:16012LLWDW
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1133516:21-512LDWLD
17LeganesLeganes113357:16-912DLLLL
18CadizCadiz1124514:14010WLLWD
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1031613:17-410LWDWL
20Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1122714:22-88LLLLL
21AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1112810:25-155LLLDW
22AlbaceteAlbacete111198:22-144WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1CastellónCastellón1122:426
2AlmeriaAlmeria1122:925
3EibarEibar1120:1322
4GironaGirona1122:1021
5Granada CFGranada CF1118:1420
6MallorcaMallorca1113:619
7Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1111:1319
8OviedoOviedo1115:1218
9BurgosBurgos1013:1017
10SabadellSabadell1111:917
11CordobaCordoba1117:2015
12TenerifeTenerife1113:1514
13EldenseEldense1113:1514
14Las PalmasLas Palmas1114:1914
15ValladolidValladolid1116:1612
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1116:2112
17LeganesLeganes117:1612
18CadizCadiz1114:1410
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1013:1710
20Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1114:228
21AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1110:255
22AlbaceteAlbacete118:224
PromotionRelegation

About the Leganes vs Granada CF forecast

The forecasts for this Segunda División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Leganes and Granada CF in the Segunda División table

In the Segunda División table, Granada CF are 5th and Leganes 17th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Leganes 7-16, Granada CF 18-14. The full standings are on the Segunda División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.