AD Ceuta FC vs Valladolid Prediction

AD Ceuta FC
1-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Valladolid
Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube, Ceuta·Saul Ais Reig 20/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 2.5
1.81
SignalSOLIDModel63%SurpriseMediumGap+8.0%
AD Ceuta FC Rest
8 days
Valladolid Rest
7 days

AD Ceuta FC vs Valladolid: result, form and history

AD Ceuta FC and Valladolid drew 1-1 in the Segunda División on 20 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
34%2.88
X
30%3.20
2
36%2.38
Double Chance
1X
64%1.51
X2
66%1.39
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.78
No
49%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.25 + 1.1 = 2.35
Over 1.5
71%1.33
Over 2.5
46%2.05
Over 3.5
24%3.70
Under 1.5
29%3.25
Under 2.5
54%1.75
Under 3.5
76%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4.5 = 10
Over 8.5
64%1.87
Over 9.5
52%2.33
Over 10.5
41%3.20
Under 8.5
36%1.85
Under 9.5
48%1.48
Under 10.5
59%1.26
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.4 = 4.5
Over 3.5
66%-
Over 4.5
48%1.63
Under 3.5
34%-
Under 4.5
52%2.21

Match Events

12'Juan Miguel LatasaFoul
31'Carlos HernándezFoul
45'Arick Betancourt INJosé Antonio Abad Martínez out
45'Mawuli Kwame Mensah Vadze INYann Bodiger out
53'Juan Miguel LatasaAssist: Julien Ponceau
64'Alejandro Meléndez INOmar Sadik out
64'Alejandro Camacho Ramírez INJordi Escobar out
70'Julien Ponceau INAlejandro Balboa Bandeira out
70'Víctor Fernández INKaj de Rooij out
70'Adrian Arnu INYeray Cabanzón out
70'Edgar Sevikyan INJoaquín Felipe González Rodríguez out
79'Alejandro Balboa BandeiraFoul
82'Juan Miguel Latasa INRobin van Duiven out
85'Omar SadikDissent
86'Iván GarrielFoul
87'Alejandro Balboa Bandeira
89'Luis Rodríguez Chacón INPablo Tomeo Félez out
90+1'Omar Sadik
90+11'Carlos HernándezAssist: Jordi Escobar
90+12'Pablo Tomeo FélezFoul

Lineups

AD Ceuta FC
4-3-3Coach: José Juan Romero
Valladolid
4-2-3-1Coach: Fran Escribá
Avg rating6.42
Avg rating6.78
Guille Vallejo6.813G. Vallejo
Arick Betancourt6.326A. Betancourt
Carlos Hernández7.16C. Hernández
Albert Caparrós6.94A. Caparrós
José Matos6.13J. Matos
Álex Meléndez6.420Á. Meléndez
Mawuli Mensah6.517M. Mensah
3232C. Gabriel Okoro
E. Sevikyan6.019E. Sevikyan
Kuki6.18Kuki
Alejandro Camacho Ramírez5.97A. Camacho Ramírez
Álvaro Aceves6.91Á. Aceves
Iván Alejo6.314I. Alejo
Miguel Rubio7.312M. Rubio
David Torres6.94D. Torres
Iván Garriel7.827I. Garriel
S. Jurić6.624S. Jurić
J. Ponceau7.721J. Ponceau
Luis Chacón6.17L. Chacón
Víctor Fernández7.230V. Fernández
Adrian Arnuncio6.419A. Arnuncio
Juanmi Latasa7.49J. Latasa

AD Ceuta FC Substitutes

29O. Sadik64'for Alejandro Meléndez85'90+1'5.8
9Jordi Escobar64'for Alejandro Camacho Ramírez6.6
28Abraham Bueno Espinosa
14Y. Bodiger45'for Mawuli Kwame Mensah Vadze6.4
2Toni Abad45'for Arick Betancourt6.8
15Joaquín70'for Edgar Sevikyan6.3
27U. Konare
1Pedro López
34D. Mas
31Adrián Romero

Valladolid Substitutes

17Victor Barberá
11Yeray Cabanzón70'for Adrian Arnu6.6
18Clerc
20R. Duiven82'for Juan Miguel Latasa6.5
22K. de Rooij70'for Víctor Fernández6.7
15Pablo Tomeo89'for Luis Rodríguez Chacón90+12'6.5
2Trilli
32Marcos Parriego
5Ramón Martínez
26L. Lavagnino
23T. Abed
16Álex Balboa70'for Julien Ponceau79'87'5.7

Match Stats

AD Ceuta FCValladolid
44%Ball Possession56%
3Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards3
1Red Cards1
12Total Shots11
3Shots on Goal6
4Shots off Goal3
8Shots Inside Box6
4Shots Outside Box5
5Blocked Shots2
14Fouls17
3Offsides0
5Goalkeeper Saves2
316Total Passes401
242Passes Accurate316
17Free Kicks14

Team Comparison

AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC
ValladolidValladolid
1503Elo Rating 1544
1.33Attack 2.46
1.50Defense 1.30
17%Hit Rate 34%
20.1Shots per Game 15.3
5.3Shots on Target 6.8
7.8Corners per Game 6.7
2.7Cards per Game 4.0

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.2 in first half)
ValladolidValladolid
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.5 vs 1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
ValladolidValladolid2Wins · 100%
3.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 2
100%3+ goals2 of 2

Previous meetings

Segunda División17/01/2026
AD Ceuta FCValladolid
03
Segunda División15/08/2025
ValladolidAD Ceuta FC
30

Recent Form

AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC
4W0D6L
11/09/2026
BurgosAD Ceuta FC
31
L
05/09/2026
AD Ceuta FCCelta de Vigo II
02
L
30/08/2026
MallorcaAD Ceuta FC
30
L
22/08/2026
AD Ceuta FCLas Palmas
02
L
15/08/2026
FC AndorraAD Ceuta FC
51
L
07/08/2026
AD Ceuta FCMalaga
21
W
29/07/2026
CadizAD Ceuta FC
13
W
26/07/2026
SevillaAD Ceuta FC
21
L
30/05/2026
AD Ceuta FCAlbacete
10
W
24/05/2026
FC AndorraAD Ceuta FC
02
W
ValladolidValladolid
4W2D4L
13/09/2026
ValladolidOviedo
03
L
05/09/2026
ValladolidFC Andorra
10
W
30/08/2026
CadizValladolid
11
D
23/08/2026
EibarValladolid
10
L
15/08/2026
MallorcaValladolid
20
L
08/08/2026
Sporting GijonValladolid
24
W
05/08/2026
Gimnástica SegovianaValladolid
03
W
01/08/2026
GroningenValladolid
10
L
29/07/2026
ValladolidCD Coria
41
W
25/07/2026
ValladolidGetafe
00
D

Referee Profile

Saul Ais Reig139 matches

4.98Cards per match
4.72Yellow cards per match
0.26Red cards per match
24.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Saul Ais Reig4.98
Other referees5.16

4.98 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.16).

Cards come from 133 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Segunda División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1AlmeriaAlmeria1181222:9+1325DWWWW
2CastellónCastellón1072118:4+1423WLDWW
3EibarEibar1171320:13+722LDLWW
4GironaGirona1163222:10+1221WWDDW
5Granada CFGranada CF1162318:14+420WWWWL
6MallorcaMallorca1154213:6+719DDWDL
7Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1061311:9+219WWWLW
8OviedoOviedo1153315:12+318DWWLW
9BurgosBurgos1052313:10+317WLLWW
10SabadellSabadell1145211:9+217DLWDD
11CordobaCordoba1150617:20-315WWLWL
12TenerifeTenerife1135313:15-214DDDLD
13EldenseEldense1142513:15-214LWWWL
14Las PalmasLas Palmas1142514:19-514WLLDL
15ValladolidValladolid1133516:16012LLWDW
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1133516:21-512LDWLD
17LeganesLeganes113357:16-912DLLLL
18CadizCadiz1124514:14010WLLWD
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1031613:17-410LWDWL
20Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1122714:22-88LLLLL
21AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1112810:25-155LLLDW
22AlbaceteAlbacete111198:22-144WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1AlmeriaAlmeria1122:925
2CastellónCastellón1018:423
3EibarEibar1120:1322
4GironaGirona1122:1021
5Granada CFGranada CF1118:1420
6MallorcaMallorca1113:619
7Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1011:919
8OviedoOviedo1115:1218
9BurgosBurgos1013:1017
10SabadellSabadell1111:917
11CordobaCordoba1117:2015
12TenerifeTenerife1113:1514
13EldenseEldense1113:1514
14Las PalmasLas Palmas1114:1914
15ValladolidValladolid1116:1612
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1116:2112
17LeganesLeganes117:1612
18CadizCadiz1114:1410
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1013:1710
20Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1114:228
21AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1110:255
22AlbaceteAlbacete118:224
PromotionRelegation

About the AD Ceuta FC vs Valladolid forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

AD Ceuta FC and Valladolid in the Segunda División table

In the Segunda División table, Valladolid are 15th and AD Ceuta FC 21st, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: AD Ceuta FC 10-25, Valladolid 16-16. The full standings are on the Segunda División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

AD Ceuta FC and Valladolid have met only 2 times recently, averaging 3.0 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.