Leioa vs Real Sociedad III Prediction
Spain · Group 4 - 11
Leioa vs Real Sociedad III in numbers
This is a meeting of two teams in form, with 4 wins from five for Leioa and 3 for Real Sociedad III. They meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 on 15 Nov 2026.
Match Forecasts
Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match
Goal forecasts not available for this match
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
Team Comparison
Leioa
Real Sociedad IIIAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Leioa- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (2.2 vs 1 in first half)
Real Sociedad III- Tied at half-time in 50% of matches
- Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.7 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Recent Form
LeioaLeioa
Touring
ErandioLeioaLeioa
Sodupe
Deportivo Alavés IIILeioaLeioa
Aurrerá Vitoria
Amurrio ClubLeioaLeioa
Eibar III
R. Union BLeioaLeioa
Pasaia KE
BergantiñosLeioaReal Sociedad IIIReal Sociedad IIIErandioSodupeReal Sociedad IIIReal Sociedad IIIDeportivo Alavés IIIAurrerá VitoriaReal Sociedad IIIReal Sociedad IIIAmurrio ClubEibar IIIReal Sociedad IIIReal Sociedad IIIR. Union BPasaia KEReal Sociedad IIIReal Sociedad III
Lagun Onak
DerioReal Sociedad IIILeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leioa | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 28:12 | +16 | 22 | WWWDW |
| 2 | Aurrerá Vitoria | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 17:16 | +1 | 22 | LWWLW |
| 3 | Deportivo Alavés III | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 26:12 | +14 | 21 | WWWDD |
| 4 | Real Sociedad III | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20:13 | +7 | 18 | WWDLW |
| 5 | Touring | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:11 | +4 | 18 | WLDWW |
| 6 | Derio | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:13 | +2 | 18 | LLWWL |
| 7 |  Beasain | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 21:13 | +8 | 17 | WWDDW |
| 8 |  San Ignacio | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18:12 | +6 | 17 | WLLWW |
| 9 |  Durango | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 16:11 | +5 | 17 | WDWWD |
| 10 | Eibar III | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18:14 | +4 | 17 | WLDWW |
| 11 |  Aretxabaleta | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 17 | LLWLW |
| 12 | Sodupe | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 17 | WWLLW |
| 13 | Lagun Onak | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 11 | WDLLL |
| 14 | R. Union B | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12:18 | -6 | 10 | WDDLL |
| 15 | Pasaia KE | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 14:25 | -11 | 10 | LLLLL |
| 16 |  Santurtzi | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 7:14 | -7 | 9 | LLLWL |
| 17 | Erandio | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 9:19 | -10 | 6 | LLLLL |
| 18 | Amurrio Club | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3:24 | -21 | 1 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leioa | 10 | 28:12 | 22 |
| 2 | Aurrerá Vitoria | 11 | 17:16 | 22 |
| 3 | Deportivo Alavés III | 11 | 26:12 | 21 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad III | 10 | 20:13 | 18 |
| 5 | Touring | 11 | 15:11 | 18 |
| 6 | Derio | 11 | 15:13 | 18 |
| 7 | Beasain | 11 | 21:13 | 17 |
| 8 | San Ignacio | 11 | 18:12 | 17 |
| 9 | Durango | 10 | 16:11 | 17 |
| 10 | Eibar III | 11 | 18:14 | 17 |
| 11 | Aretxabaleta | 11 | 14:16 | 17 |
| 12 | Sodupe | 11 | 8:15 | 17 |
| 13 | Lagun Onak | 10 | 11:14 | 11 |
| 14 | R. Union B | 10 | 12:18 | 10 |
| 15 | Pasaia KE | 11 | 14:25 | 10 |
| 16 | Santurtzi | 11 | 7:14 | 9 |
| 17 | Erandio | 11 | 9:19 | 6 |
| 18 | Amurrio Club | 10 | 3:24 | 1 |
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This match
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About the Leioa vs Real Sociedad III forecast
The forecasts for this Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
Leioa and Real Sociedad III in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 table
This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Leioa are 1st in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4, 4 points ahead of Real Sociedad III in 4th. League goal record so far: Leioa 28-12, Real Sociedad III 20-13. The full standings are on the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Leioa have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Leioa and Real Sociedad III have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some of the data for this fixture is limited, so the model gives it a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.