Lens vs Villarreal Prediction

Lens
3-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Villarreal
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como 01/08/2026
LensLens
3-1
Finished
VillarrealVillarreal

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
6.2 / 10
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.36
SignalGOODModel37%SurpriseMediumGap+6.0%
Lens Rest
7 days
Villarreal Rest
7 days

Lens vs Villarreal: result, form and history

Lens beat Villarreal 3-1 in the Como Cup on 1 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Lens had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Villarreal.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
43%2.12
X
27%3.60
2
30%2.96
Double Chance
1X
70%1.36
X2
57%1.66
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.43
No
56%2.60
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.13
Over 2.5
39%1.49
Over 3.5
19%2.20
Under 1.5
37%4.95
Under 2.5
61%2.39
Under 3.5
81%1.62
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

4'A. Perez
6'A. Bulatovic
8'M. Udol
46'O. Edouard INR. Fofana out
46'S. Abdulhamid INM. Skoras out
46'I. Ganiou INS. Sagnan out
61'F. Thauvin(Penalty)
62'A. Bulatovic INF. Sotoca out
62'K. Antonio INT. Hazard out
62'F. Thauvin INR. Aguilar out
62'A. Sima INM. Mesloub out
67'
69'
72'M. Udol INN. Kemtchoum-Stasiowski out
72'M. Cuisance INA. Haidara out
79'C. Romero INT. Fernandez out
82'
82'S. Cardona
82'S. Cardona
87'
90+1'R. Fofana
90+5'P. Navarro

Team Comparison

LensLens
VillarrealVillarreal
1800Elo Rating 1771
1.08Attack 1.73
0.00Defense 0.42
34%Hit Rate 36%
10.8Shots per Game 15.0
3.7Shots on Target 3.3
4.4Corners per Game 5.5
2.0Cards per Game 3.4

AI Insights

📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

LensLens
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
VillarrealVillarreal
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break

Recent Form

LensLens
6W3D1L
25/07/2026
LensCharleroi
22
D
18/07/2026
LensBoulogne
41
W
22/05/2026
LensNice
31
W
17/05/2026
LyonLens
04
W
13/05/2026
LensParis Saint Germain
02
L
08/05/2026
LensNantes
10
W
02/05/2026
NiceLens
11
D
24/04/2026
Stade Brestois 29Lens
33
D
21/04/2026
LensToulouse
41
W
17/04/2026
LensToulouse
32
W
VillarrealVillarreal
4W2D4L
25/07/2026
PSV EindhovenVillarreal
13
W
17/07/2026
BenficaVillarreal
20
L
17/05/2026
Rayo VallecanoVillarreal
20
L
13/05/2026
VillarrealSevilla
23
L
10/05/2026
MallorcaVillarreal
11
D
02/05/2026
VillarrealLevante
51
W
26/04/2026
VillarrealCelta Vigo
21
W
23/04/2026
OviedoVillarreal
11
D
12/04/2026
Athletic ClubVillarreal
12
W
06/04/2026
GironaVillarreal
10
L

About the Lens vs Villarreal forecast

As a knockout tie in the Como Cup, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

About Como Cup

More Como Cup fixtures and forecasts are on the Como Cup Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Lens and Villarreal have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.