Libertad Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta Prediction

Estadio Tigo La Huerta, Asuncion· David Ojeda, Paraguay 30/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.80
SignalGOODModel37%RiskMediumGap+10.1%
Libertad Asuncion Rest
4 days
Deportivo Recoleta Rest
5 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%1.85
X
28%3.42
2
32%4.00
Double Chance
1X
68%1.20
X2
59%1.85
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.78
No
56%1.90
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.30
Over 2.5
38%1.95
Over 3.5
19%3.35
Under 1.5
36%3.30
Under 2.5
62%1.80
Under 3.5
81%1.30
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

-5'Alejandro SilvaArgument
10'Aldo GonzalezAssist: Giuseppe Guggiari
12'Claudio Figueredo INFacundo Echeguren out
14'Agustín ManzurAssist: Ivan Ramirez
23'Ivan RamirezFoul
39'Juan FrancoFoul
52'Giuseppe GuggiariFoul
60'Matías EspinozaAssist: Álvaro Campuzano
61'Dairon Mosquera INAlejandro Silva out
61'Giuseppe Guggiari INWilfrido Baez out
61'Richard Ortiz INKevin Parzajuk out
66'Marcelo Fernandez INElvio Vera out
66'Federico Carrizo INJoaquin Bogarin out
66'Ivan Ramirez INIván Franco out
72'Álvaro Campuzano INLucas Sanabria out
77'Rodrigo Villalba INNéstor Giménez out
78'Juan Franco INOrlín Barreto out
85'Joaquin BogarinAssist: Elvio Vera
89'Nelson FerreiraFoul
90+1'Elvio VeraAssist: Iván Franco

Lineups

Libertad Asuncion
Coach: Francisco Arce
Deportivo Recoleta
Coach: Jorge Gonzalez

Libertad Asuncion Starting XI

12Rodrigo MorínigoG
2Alan BenítezD
5Gilberto FloresD
23Nicolás FreireD
17Matías EspinozaD
6Álvaro CampuzanoM
8Federico CarrizoM
24Rodrigo VillalbaM
7Agustín ManzurM
28Marcelo FernandezM
26Ivan RamirezF

Deportivo Recoleta Starting XI

12Nelson FerreiraG
14Claudio FigueredoD
5Nicolás MarottaD
3Luis CardozoD
25Dairon MosqueraD
39Giuseppe GuggiariM
38Juan FrancoM
6Jose EspinolaM
18Pedro RiosM
9Richard OrtizF
33Aldo GonzalezF

Libertad Asuncion Substitutes

19Iván FrancoM
13Joaquin BogarinM
11Elvio VeraM
21Lucas SanabriaM
4Néstor GiménezD
29Victor RojasG
3Robert RojasD
14Alexis FretesD
34Estiven VillalbaD
22Pedro VillalbaM
33Cristhian MartínezM
30Oscar AcuñaF

Deportivo Recoleta Substitutes

2Facundo EchegurenD
17Wilfrido BaezF
10Alejandro SilvaM
11Kevin ParzajukF
22Orlín BarretoM
13Oscar ToledoG
32Lucas MonzonD
4Marcos PereiraD
37Juan FalconF
7Ronal DominguezM
19Héctor LópezM
30Paul CharpentierF

Match Stats

Libertad AsuncionDeportivo Recoleta
60%Ball Possession40%
6Corner Kicks8
1Yellow Cards4
20Total Shots7
6Shots on Goal3
7Shots off Goal0
12Shots Inside Box6
8Shots Outside Box1
7Blocked Shots4
7Fouls9
1Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves2
566Total Passes367
500Passes Accurate290
88%Pass Accuracy79%

Team Comparison

Libertad AsuncionLibertad Asuncion
Deportivo RecoletaDeportivo Recoleta
1570Elo Rating 1457
1.76Attack 0.91
1.79Defense 0.82
64%Hit Rate 14%
11.8Shots per Game 8.9
3.9Shots on Target 2.5
5.7Corners per Game 3.1
1.9Cards per Game 2.1

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+113 Elo
📈BTTS Trend69% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Libertad AsuncionLibertad Asuncion
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
Deportivo RecoletaDeportivo Recoleta
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.3 in first half)

Head to Head

Based on 4 historical meetings

Libertad Asuncion 51%Draw 23%27% Deportivo Recoleta
2.92Avg Goals
69%BTTS Rate
46%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Libertad AsuncionLibertad Asuncion
1W1D3L
26/07/2026
OlimpiaLibertad Asuncion
01
W
28/05/2026
Libertad AsuncionUCV
01
L
24/05/2026
Nacional AsuncionLibertad Asuncion
21
L
20/05/2026
Independiente del ValleLibertad Asuncion
41
L
14/05/2026
Libertad Asuncion2 de Mayo
00
D
Deportivo RecoletaDeportivo Recoleta
2W2D1L
25/07/2026
Deportivo RecoletaClub Sp. San Lorenzo
11
D
27/05/2026
San LorenzoDeportivo Recoleta
01
W
23/05/2026
Deportivo RecoletaClub Guarani
21
W
20/05/2026
Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Recoleta
22
D
15/05/2026
OlimpiaDeportivo Recoleta
32
L

Referee Profile

David Ojeda, Paraguay · 17 matches analysed

4.8Avg Yellows
5.1Avg Cards
22.9Avg Fouls
Stricter than 82% of referees analysed

League Table

Division Profesional - Clausura 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Libertad AsuncionLibertad Asuncion1071218:11+722WWLDW
2Nacional AsuncionNacional Asuncion1163218:6+1221WWLWW
32 de Mayo2 de Mayo1163212:11+121LLWDW
4OlimpiaOlimpia1061317:9+819WWDWW
5Club GuaraniClub Guarani1145212:9+317WDWDD
6Sportivo TrinidenseSportivo Trinidense1152418:10+817LWLWL
7Sportivo AmelianoSportivo Ameliano1044212:11+116WWLDW
8Cerro PortenoCerro Porteno1042413:10+314DWWDL
9Sportivo LuquenoSportivo Luqueno1031611:20-910LLDWL
10Rubio NURubio NU1022611:20-98LLWLD
11Deportivo RecoletaDeportivo Recoleta1021713:23-107LLLLL
12Club Sp. San LorenzoClub Sp. San Lorenzo100193:18-151LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Libertad AsuncionLibertad Asuncion1018:1122
2Nacional AsuncionNacional Asuncion1118:621
32 de Mayo2 de Mayo1112:1121
4OlimpiaOlimpia1017:919
5Club GuaraniClub Guarani1112:917
6Sportivo TrinidenseSportivo Trinidense1118:1017
7Sportivo AmelianoSportivo Ameliano1012:1116
8Cerro PortenoCerro Porteno1013:1014
9Sportivo LuquenoSportivo Luqueno1011:2010
10Rubio NURubio NU1011:208
11Deportivo RecoletaDeportivo Recoleta1013:237
12Club Sp. San LorenzoClub Sp. San Lorenzo103:181
Promotion

Libertad Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Division Profesional - Clausura fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Division Profesional - Clausura

ScorePredicts covers Paraguay football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Libertad Asuncion and Deportivo Recoleta have met 4 times recently, averaging 2.92 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.